Business Buyer School Research · Industry Atlas · Version atlas-2026.2

What Are the Best Small Businesses to Buy? 152 Industries Compared Across Supply, Resilience, Durability, Succession and AI

Business Buyer School Small Business Acquisition Industry Atlas · Version atlas-2026.2 · Published October 6, 2026. Five measures from five Business Buyer School studies, side by side for 152 industries. There is no combined score.

By David Wright, Founder, Business Buyer School · Published October 6, 2026 · Last updated October 6, 2026 · Version atlas-2026.2 · What this does not prove

Direct answer

The short answer

There is no single “best” small business to buy. An industry can have abundant acquisition supply but high establishment churn, strong recession behavior but little seller supply, or attractive succession demographics but meaningful owner dependence. Buyer School compares industries across separate measures instead of collapsing them into one opaque score. Use the Atlas to identify industries worth investigating, then verify the actual business's earnings, customers, workforce, licenses, assets, financing and seller dependence before making a decision.

Key facts

The Atlas compares 152 four digit NAICS industries, the ranked universe shared by the supply, recession resistance and durability studies.
Owner age is attached for 123 of 152 industries through the Report 4 crosswalk; 75 of those rest on High or Medium confidence ACS groups. The rest are blank, not estimated.
AI exposure ranks join for 60 of 152 industries; 23 match an AI study row the study did not rank, and 69 have no exact match.
52 of 152 industries rank in the top quarter on one of supply, recession resistance or durability and in the bottom quarter on another.
Across the 152 industries, supply scores and durability scores move in opposite directions (rank correlation -0.53); supply and recession resistance barely move together (0.14).
No combined score is computed. Each column is a separate study, and each buyer lens is a filter rule printed on this page.

Industry data is context. It cannot establish that a particular business is good, fairly priced, financeable or transferable.

How to use the Atlas

Start from your Buy Box: the size, location, role and hard exclusions you have already decided.
Use the table below, or pick a buyer lens, to see which industries fit the measures you care about. Each lens prints its rule.
Open an industry record for the values behind each rank, the confidence of each source, and any grouping note.
Read the source study before relying on a measure; each one defines what it does and does not show.
Then verify the actual business. Industry data does not replace diligence.

Why no single best-industry score exists

The five measures answer different questions, come from different sources and years, and do not move together. Across the 152 industries, higher supply scores go with lower durability scores (rank correlation -0.53), and supply says little about recession resistance (0.14). A combined score would need weights, and the weights would decide the answer. No such model has been approved, so each measure keeps its own column and each lens is a rule you can read.

Five dimensions and what each measures

The five measures and their sources
Measure	Study	Source and period	What it measures	What it does not show
Acquisition supply	Acquisition Supply Study (Report 4)	Census SUSB 2022, NAICS 2017 codes	How many small employer firms the industry has, from the density, share and count of firms under 20 employees. Rank 1 = most supply.	Firms that exist, not businesses for sale. No prices, profits or owner intent. A franchise location counts as a small firm.
Recession resistance	Recession Resistance Study (Report 1)	Census BDS 2007 to 2023; BLS QCEW monthly 2019 to 2021	How industry employment and locations held up and recovered in the 2008 to 2012 recession and the 2020 shock. Rank 1 = held up best.	Whole industries, not profit, price or any one business.
Durability	Establishment Durability Study (Report 2)	Census BDS 2014 to 2023	How often business locations exit each year, with firm shutdowns, job destruction and exit volatility. Rank 1 = most durable.	An exit is a location leaving the data, not a failed business, and not the odds for a business you buy.
Owner age	Owner Age Study (Report 3), attached by Report 4	ACS 2019 to 2023 5-year PUMS, NAICS 2022 groups	Share of incorporated self-employed people aged 65 or older in the ACS industry group that contains the industry.	People, not firms, and not a list of sellers. Age is not intent. Many groups are shared by several industries.
AI exposure	AI Exposure Study, edition 3.0	BLS OEWS May 2025 staffing; published occupation level AI exposure measures	A Business Buyer School modeled estimate of how exposed the industry's occupational mix is. Rank 1 = most exposed of 81.	Not a share of tasks, jobs or revenue. Ranked only where occupation coverage meets the study's gate.

NAICS vintages differ: the supply, recession and durability studies use NAICS 2017 codes; owner age (ACS) and AI exposure (OEWS) use NAICS 2022. Owner age and AI values are attached only where the codes line up exactly or through the crosswalk the owner age and supply studies already used. See the methodology.

Compare all 152 industries

Every industry, one row each, ordered by supply rank. Select an industry for its full record. With JavaScript on, you can sort by any column and filter by keyword, NAICS code, quarter, owner age, AI exposure, confidence or buyer lens. To see where an industry's establishments with 5 to 99 employees are, open the state view.

All 152 industries, ordered by supply rank. Ranks are of 152 (1 = most supply, held up best, most durable) except AI exposure, of 81 (1 = most exposed). Owners 65+ is a share of people in the ACS group; "pooled" means the group also covers other industries.
Industry (NAICS)	Supply rank	Recession rank	Durability rank	Owners 65+	AI exposure rank	Confidence / coverage
Home builders (residential building construction) 2361	1	120	148	9.9% pooled	57 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Real estate agent and broker offices 5312	2	96	140	17.5% pooled	not joined	High owner age High · AI none
Personal care (salons, barbers, nails) 8121	3	39	138	6.1% pooled	38 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Auto repair and maintenance 8111	4	68	72	10.9%	70 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Law firms 5411	5	38	41	21.2%	1 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Chiropractors, optometrists, physical therapists and similar practices 6213	6	19	45	13.8%	13 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Management and technical consulting 5416	7	5	137	18.7%	4 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Lessors of real estate (landlords, self-storage) 5311	8	36	105	17.5% pooled	not joined	High owner age High · AI none
Finishing contractors (drywall, painting, flooring) 2383	9	136	126	9.9% pooled	75 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Specialized design (interior, graphic, industrial) 5414	10	101	136	13.4%	12 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Insurance agencies 5242	11	35	62	17.6%	2 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Dentists 6212	12	33	23	12.2%	27 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Janitorial, landscaping and pest control 5617	13	24	117	7.1%	80 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Liquor stores 4453	14	12	40	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Accounting, tax and bookkeeping 5412	15	10	79	23.1%	3 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Personal and household goods repair 8114	16	107	121	16.1%	62 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Other personal services 8129	17	34	146	8.2%	47 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Wholesale agents and brokers 4251	18	71	127	25.2%	not ranked	High owner age Medium · AI none
Real estate services (property management, appraisal) 5313	18	20	96	22.6%	not joined	High owner age High · AI none
Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers 4539	20	73	110	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Other Financial Investment Activities 5239	21	1	89	17.3% pooled	not joined	High owner age Not rated · AI none
Foundation, framing, roofing and exterior contractors 2381	22	123	123	9.9% pooled	79 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
General Freight Trucking 4841	23	65	132	7.3% pooled	not joined	High owner age High · AI none
Other specialty trade contractors 2389	24	105	99	9.9% pooled	76 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
HVAC, plumbing and electrical contractors 2382	25	92	57	9.9% pooled	64 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Other Schools and Instruction 6116	26	32	111	10.8% pooled	not joined	High owner age High · AI none
Direct Selling Establishments 4543	27	85	100	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Other professional services (includes veterinary) 5419	28	29	103	10.8%	16 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Florists 4531	29	142	116	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Dry cleaning and laundry 8123	30	126	109	19.4%	68 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Jewelry, Luggage, and Leather Goods Stores 4483	31	141	82	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses 4541	32	22	128	not mapped	not joined	Medium owner age none · AI none
Specialized Freight Trucking 4842	32	90	130	7.3% pooled	not joined	High owner age High · AI none
Gasoline Stations 4471	34	30	50	11.5%	not joined	High owner age High · AI none
Specialty Food Stores 4452	35	56	131	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Computer Systems Design and Related Services 5415	36	3	142	7.5%	not ranked	Medium owner age High · AI none
Motion Picture and Video Industries 5121	37	82	141	6.1%	17 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services 5418	38	81	113	11.6%	6 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Office Supplies, Stationery, and Gift Stores 4532	39	144	129	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Offices of Physicians 6211	40	9	55	19.8%	11 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages) 7224	41	94	139	7.9% pooled	51 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance 8113	42	45	53	14.5%	65 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services 5413	43	40	63	20.5%	10 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Miscellaneous Durable Goods Merchant Wholesalers 4239	44	62	85	19.4%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores 4511	45	88	90	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Death Care Services 8122	46	43	9	29.2%	33 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Land Subdivision 2372	47	146	125	9.9% pooled	23 of 81	Medium owner age High · AI ranked
Support Activities for Road Transportation 4884	48	26	108	9.3% pooled	74 of 81	Medium owner age High · AI ranked
Taxi and Limousine Service 4853	49	93	152	9.4%	not ranked	High owner age High · AI none
Home Furnishings Stores 4422	50	147	64	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Electronic and Precision Equipment Repair and Maintenance 8112	51	95	107	12.1%	31 of 81	High owner age Low · AI ranked
Business Schools and Computer and Management Training 6114	52	53	118	21.3% pooled	not joined	Medium owner age Low · AI none
Health and Personal Care Stores 4461	53	50	51	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services 5615	54	134	147	18.2%	not ranked	High owner age Medium · AI none
Automotive Parts, Accessories, and Tire Stores 4413	55	48	15	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps 7212	56	49	59	23.7% pooled	39 of 81	Medium owner age Low · AI ranked
Child Day Care Services 6244	57	41	81	9.5%	not ranked	High owner age High · AI none
Other Amusement and Recreation Industries 7139	58	57	106	8.5% pooled	48 of 81	High owner age Not rated · AI ranked
Clothing Stores 4481	59	89	119	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Nonresidential Building Construction 2362	60	119	92	9.9% pooled	53 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Restaurants 7225	60	60	97	7.6% pooled	not ranked	High owner age High · AI none
Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods Merchant Wholesalers 4249	62	87	66	21.8%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Activities Related to Credit Intermediation 5223	63	99	133	13.0% pooled	not joined	Medium owner age Not rated · AI none
Furniture Stores 4421	64	143	84	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Other Support Services 5619	65	110	101	14.8% pooled	44 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores 4442	66	70	24	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Apparel, Piece Goods, and Notions Merchant Wholesalers 4243	67	131	120	16.6%	21 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Electronics and Appliance Stores 4431	67	129	145	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Special Food Services 7223	67	42	149	7.6% pooled	not ranked	High owner age High · AI none
Consumer Goods Rental 5322	70	150	144	10.1% pooled	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Used Merchandise Stores 4533	71	59	94	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Printing 3231	72	137	56	18.7%	46 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4238	73	44	11	24.5%	34 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Grocery Stores 4451	73	11	73	not mapped	not joined	Medium owner age none · AI none
Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing 3399	75	124	65	12.2% pooled	not ranked	High owner age Low · AI none
Remediation and Other Waste Management Services 5629	76	27	48	13.3% pooled	63 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Freight Transportation Arrangement 4885	77	54	67	9.3% pooled	9 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Machine Shops; Turned Product; and Screw, Nut, and Bolt Manufacturing 3327	78	125	19	22.8%	not ranked	High owner age Medium · AI none
Other Motor Vehicle Dealers 4412	79	127	44	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Business Support Services 5614	80	80	122	12.1%	5 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Book Stores and News Dealers 4512	81	152	115	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Grocery and Related Product Merchant Wholesalers 4244	82	37	49	12.2%	not joined	High owner age High · AI none
General Rental Centers 5323	83	149	60	10.1% pooled	not joined	Medium owner age Low · AI none
Professional and Commercial Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4234	84	51	95	19.5%	14 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Technical and Trade Schools 6115	85	61	88	21.3% pooled	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Building Material and Supplies Dealers 4441	86	66	5	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Traveler Accommodation 7211	87	66	77	16.6%	not joined	High owner age High · AI none
Vending Machine Operators 4542	88	145	134	not mapped	not joined	Medium owner age none · AI none
Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing 3152	89	151	151	16.7% pooled	61 of 81	High owner age Low · AI ranked
Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events 7113	90	52	114	12.3% pooled	32 of 81	Medium owner age Medium · AI ranked
Furniture and Home Furnishing Merchant Wholesalers 4232	91	117	54	23.9%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Newspaper, Periodical, Book, and Directory Publishers 5111	92	138	104	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Household Appliances and Electrical and Electronic Goods Merchant Wholesalers 4236	93	28	42	18.8%	not joined	High owner age Medium · AI none
Other Information Services 5191	94	2	124	not mapped	not joined	Medium owner age none · AI none
Household and Institutional Furniture and Kitchen Cabinet Manufacturing 3371	95	139	61	8.3% pooled	not joined	High owner age Medium · AI none
Other Textile Product Mills 3149	96	118	80	19.3% pooled	67 of 81	High owner age Low · AI ranked
Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing 3118	97	78	76	11.3%	58 of 81	High owner age Low · AI ranked
Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4231	98	64	31	17.3%	43 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Automobile Dealers 4411	99	115	52	16.2%	40 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment Rental and Leasing 5324	100	75	75	15.4% pooled	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Other Telecommunications 5179	101	91	150	not mapped	not joined	Medium owner age none · AI none
Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 2379	102	69	91	9.9% pooled	72 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Utility System Construction 2371	103	86	67	9.9% pooled	73 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Investigation and Security Services 5616	104	16	98	15.8%	45 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Beverage Manufacturing 3121	105	47	17	5.9%	55 of 81	Medium owner age Medium · AI ranked
Waste Collection 5621	106	23	39	13.3% pooled	78 of 81	High owner age Medium · AI ranked
Paper and Paper Product Merchant Wholesalers 4241	107	121	47	17.8%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Outpatient Care Centers 6214	108	6	12	11.7%	not ranked	High owner age High · AI none
Chemical and Allied Products Merchant Wholesalers 4246	109	63	26	15.6% pooled	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Lumber and Other Construction Materials Merchant Wholesalers 4233	110	104	38	19.1%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Other Ambulatory Health Care Services 6219	111	8	70	11.3% pooled	30 of 81	Medium owner age High · AI ranked
Scientific Research and Development Services 5417	112	25	83	13.8%	not ranked	High owner age Medium · AI none
Automotive Equipment Rental and Leasing 5321	113	140	93	14.0%	49 of 81	High owner age Low · AI ranked
Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Merchant Wholesalers 4235	114	103	13	31.8%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Hardware, and Plumbing and Heating Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4237	115	58	6	20.9%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing 3391	116	74	58	16.6%	not ranked	High owner age Medium · AI none
Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers 4245	117	21	21	19.6%	60 of 81	High owner age Low · AI ranked
Architectural and Structural Metals Manufacturing 3323	118	98	16	15.2% pooled	not joined	High owner age Medium · AI none
Home health care 6216	119	15	86	13.3%	not ranked	Medium owner age High · AI none
Metalworking Machinery Manufacturing 3335	120	135	14	25.7%	not ranked	High owner age Low · AI none
Shoe Stores 4482	121	116	87	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Software Publishers 5112	122	17	112	8.8%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories 6215	123	7	102	11.3% pooled	not ranked	High owner age High · AI none
Other Wood Product Manufacturing 3219	124	114	43	14.8% pooled	not ranked	High owner age Not rated · AI none
Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services 5182	124	31	143	5.7%	not ranked	High owner age Low · AI none
Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities 3328	126	128	8	18.6%	not ranked	High owner age Low · AI none
Drugs and Druggists' Sundries Merchant Wholesalers 4242	127	4	71	15.6% pooled	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction 2373	128	112	34	9.9% pooled	77 of 81	High owner age High · AI ranked
Office Furniture (including Fixtures) Manufacturing 3372	129	133	35	8.3% pooled	not joined	Medium owner age Medium · AI none
Other Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing 3279	130	100	29	12.9%	not joined	Medium owner age Low · AI none
Waste Treatment and Disposal 5622	131	72	37	13.3% pooled	69 of 81	Medium owner age Medium · AI ranked
Petroleum and Petroleum Products Merchant Wholesalers 4247	132	77	33	17.6%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Textile Furnishings Mills 3141	133	148	78	21.3% pooled	not ranked	Medium owner age Not rated · AI none
Radio and Television Broadcasting 5151	134	97	74	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Other Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing 3329	135	83	18	16.6% pooled	not joined	High owner age Not rated · AI none
Sawmills and Wood Preservation 3211	136	122	32	14.8%	81 of 81	Medium owner age Low · AI ranked
Amusement Parks and Arcades 7131	137	55	135	8.1% pooled	not ranked	Medium owner age High · AI none
Other Residential Care Facilities 6239	138	113	69	15.7% pooled	not ranked	Medium owner age Not rated · AI none
Beer, Wine, and Distilled Alcoholic Beverage Merchant Wholesalers 4248	139	13	25	18.7%	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Soap, Cleaning Compound, and Toilet Preparation Manufacturing 3256	140	46	28	6.1%	not joined	Medium owner age Low · AI none
Other Food Manufacturing 3119	141	14	36	15.4% pooled	66 of 81	Medium owner age Low · AI ranked
Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing 3113	142	79	30	12.9%	52 of 81	Medium owner age Not rated · AI ranked
Industrial machinery makers 3332	143	106	10	not mapped	not joined	Medium owner age none · AI none
General purpose machinery makers 3339	144	76	2	not mapped	not joined	High owner age none · AI none
Cement and concrete product makers 3273	145	111	22	9.7% pooled	not joined	High owner age Low · AI none
Commercial and service machinery makers 3333	146	102	20	15.8%	not ranked	Medium owner age Not rated · AI none
Other chemical product makers 3259	147	108	27	14.1% pooled	not joined	Medium owner age Not rated · AI none
Glass product makers 3272	148	132	46	15.8%	not joined	Medium owner age Low · AI none
Animal feed makers 3111	149	18	7	15.9% pooled	59 of 81	Medium owner age Low · AI ranked
Paint and coatings makers 3255	150	84	4	26.7%	not joined	Medium owner age Not rated · AI none
Electrical equipment makers 3353	151	109	3	16.4% pooled	not ranked	Medium owner age Low · AI none
Forging and stamping 3321	152	130	1	22.4%	not joined	Medium owner age Not rated · AI none

On a phone the table scrolls sideways inside its frame; the industry column stays in place.

Where the measures disagree

Rule: industries with at least one of the three study ranks (supply, recession resistance, durability) in the top quarter (1 to 38 of 152) and another in the bottom quarter (115 to 152). 52 industries meet it. The table shows the 12 with the widest spread between their highest and lowest rank, then by NAICS code.

Industries that look attractive on one measure and weak on another (ranks of 152)
Industry (NAICS)	Supply rank	Recession rank	Durability rank	Top quarter on	Bottom quarter on	Spread
Forging and stamping 3321	152	130	1	Durability	Supply, Recession resistance	151
Electrical equipment makers 3353	151	109	3	Durability	Supply	148
Home builders (residential building construction) 2361	1	120	148	Supply	Recession resistance, Durability	147
Paint and coatings makers 3255	150	84	4	Durability	Supply	146
Animal feed makers 3111	149	18	7	Recession resistance, Durability	Supply	142
General purpose machinery makers 3339	144	76	2	Durability	Supply	142
Computer Systems Design and Related Services 5415	36	3	142	Supply, Recession resistance	Durability	139
Real estate agent and broker offices 5312	2	96	140	Supply	Durability	138
Personal care (salons, barbers, nails) 8121	3	39	138	Supply	Durability	135
Industrial machinery makers 3332	143	106	10	Durability	Supply	133
Management and technical consulting 5416	7	5	137	Supply, Recession resistance	Durability	132
Other personal services 8129	17	34	146	Supply, Recession resistance	Durability	129

Common acquisition targets

Rule: the 22 industries the Recession Resistance Study gives a plain-language buyer note, its list of common acquisition targets, in supply rank order. Notes that say a code is not separable mark grouped industries.

Common acquisition targets across the five measures
Industry (NAICS)	Supply rank	Recession rank	Durability rank	Owners 65+	AI exposure rank	Study note
Home builders (residential building construction) 2361	1	120	148	9.9% pooled	57 of 81	Residential building construction
Auto repair and maintenance 8111	4	68	72	10.9%	70 of 81	Automotive repair and maintenance (mechanical and collision repair)
Chiropractors, optometrists, physical therapists and similar practices 6213	6	19	45	13.8%	13 of 81	Offices of other health practitioners (includes physical therapy)
Management and technical consulting 5416	7	5	137	18.7%	4 of 81	Management, scientific and technical consulting
Lessors of real estate (landlords, self-storage) 5311	8	36	105	17.5% pooled	not joined	Lessors of real estate (includes self-storage; not separable at 4 digits)
Finishing contractors (drywall, painting, flooring) 2383	9	136	126	9.9% pooled	75 of 81	Building finishing contractors
Insurance agencies 5242	11	35	62	17.6%	2 of 81	Insurance agencies and brokerages
Dentists 6212	12	33	23	12.2%	27 of 81	Offices of dentists
Janitorial, landscaping and pest control 5617	13	24	117	7.1%	80 of 81	Services to buildings and dwellings (janitorial, landscaping, pest control and related; not separable at 4 digits)
Accounting, tax and bookkeeping 5412	15	10	79	23.1%	3 of 81	Accounting, tax preparation, bookkeeping and payroll services
Foundation, framing, roofing and exterior contractors 2381	22	123	123	9.9% pooled	79 of 81	Foundation, structure and building exterior contractors
HVAC, plumbing and electrical contractors 2382	25	92	57	9.9% pooled	64 of 81	Building equipment contractors (HVAC, plumbing, electrical and related; not separable at 4 digits)
Other professional services (includes veterinary) 5419	28	29	103	10.8%	16 of 81	Other professional, scientific and technical services (includes veterinary services; not separable at 4 digits)
Dry cleaning and laundry 8123	30	126	109	19.4%	68 of 81	Drycleaning and laundry services
Restaurants 7225	60	60	97	7.6% pooled	not ranked	Restaurants and other eating places
Printing 3231	72	137	56	18.7%	46 of 81	Printing and related support activities
Remediation and Other Waste Management Services 5629	76	27	48	13.3% pooled	63 of 81	Remediation and other waste management
Vending Machine Operators 4542	88	145	134	not mapped	not joined	Vending machine operators (route businesses)
Automobile Dealers 4411	99	115	52	16.2%	40 of 81	Automobile dealers
Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment Rental and Leasing 5324	100	75	75	15.4% pooled	not joined	Commercial and industrial machinery and equipment rental and leasing
Waste Collection 5621	106	23	39	13.3% pooled	78 of 81	Waste collection
Home health care 6216	119	15	86	13.3%	not ranked	Home health care services

Buyer lenses

To set your own rules, use the buy-box matcher. A buyer lens is a shortlist made by a filter rule, not a ranking of the best industries. Each rule is applied to the values in the table; nothing is weighted or estimated. Owner age and AI lenses only use industries where those values exist.

L1: More businesses to investigate

Rule: Acquisition supply rank 1 to 38 (the top quarter of 152).

38 industries meet this rule, listed by supply rank.

Home builders (residential building construction) 2361
Real estate agent and broker offices 5312
Personal care (salons, barbers, nails) 8121
Auto repair and maintenance 8111
Law firms 5411
Chiropractors, optometrists, physical therapists and similar practices 6213
Management and technical consulting 5416
Lessors of real estate (landlords, self-storage) 5311
Finishing contractors (drywall, painting, flooring) 2383
Specialized design (interior, graphic, industrial) 5414
Insurance agencies 5242
Dentists 6212
Janitorial, landscaping and pest control 5617
Liquor stores 4453
Accounting, tax and bookkeeping 5412
Personal and household goods repair 8114
Other personal services 8129
Wholesale agents and brokers 4251
Real estate services (property management, appraisal) 5313
Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers 4539
Other Financial Investment Activities 5239
Foundation, framing, roofing and exterior contractors 2381
General Freight Trucking 4841
Other specialty trade contractors 2389
HVAC, plumbing and electrical contractors 2382
Other Schools and Instruction 6116
Direct Selling Establishments 4543
Other professional services (includes veterinary) 5419
Florists 4531
Dry cleaning and laundry 8123
Jewelry, Luggage, and Leather Goods Stores 4483
Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses 4541
Specialized Freight Trucking 4842
Gasoline Stations 4471
Specialty Food Stores 4452
Computer Systems Design and Related Services 5415
Motion Picture and Video Industries 5121
Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services 5418

L2: Supply and resilience

Rule: Acquisition supply rank 1 to 76 AND recession resistance rank 1 to 76 (top half of 152 on both).

42 industries meet this rule, listed by supply rank.

Personal care (salons, barbers, nails) 8121
Auto repair and maintenance 8111
Law firms 5411
Chiropractors, optometrists, physical therapists and similar practices 6213
Management and technical consulting 5416
Lessors of real estate (landlords, self-storage) 5311
Insurance agencies 5242
Dentists 6212
Janitorial, landscaping and pest control 5617
Liquor stores 4453
Accounting, tax and bookkeeping 5412
Other personal services 8129
Wholesale agents and brokers 4251
Real estate services (property management, appraisal) 5313
Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers 4539
Other Financial Investment Activities 5239
General Freight Trucking 4841
Other Schools and Instruction 6116
Other professional services (includes veterinary) 5419
Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses 4541
Gasoline Stations 4471
Specialty Food Stores 4452
Computer Systems Design and Related Services 5415
Offices of Physicians 6211
Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance 8113
Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services 5413
Miscellaneous Durable Goods Merchant Wholesalers 4239
Death Care Services 8122
Support Activities for Road Transportation 4884
Business Schools and Computer and Management Training 6114
Health and Personal Care Stores 4461
Automotive Parts, Accessories, and Tire Stores 4413
RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps 7212
Child Day Care Services 6244
Other Amusement and Recreation Industries 7139
Restaurants 7225
Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores 4442
Special Food Services 7223
Used Merchandise Stores 4533
Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4238
Grocery Stores 4451
Remediation and Other Waste Management Services 5629

L3: Supply and durability

Rule: Acquisition supply rank 1 to 76 AND durability rank 1 to 76 (top half of 152 on both).

23 industries meet this rule, listed by supply rank.

Auto repair and maintenance 8111
Law firms 5411
Chiropractors, optometrists, physical therapists and similar practices 6213
Insurance agencies 5242
Dentists 6212
Liquor stores 4453
HVAC, plumbing and electrical contractors 2382
Gasoline Stations 4471
Offices of Physicians 6211
Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance 8113
Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services 5413
Death Care Services 8122
Home Furnishings Stores 4422
Health and Personal Care Stores 4461
Automotive Parts, Accessories, and Tire Stores 4413
RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps 7212
Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods Merchant Wholesalers 4249
Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores 4442
Printing 3231
Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4238
Grocery Stores 4451
Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing 3399
Remediation and Other Waste Management Services 5629

L4: Succession opportunity

Rule: Owner age mapped, owner age confidence High or Medium, AND share of owners 65 or older at or above 12.20%, the median of the 75 industries that meet the first two conditions. Owner age counts people, not firms, and age is not intent to sell.

38 industries meet this rule, listed by supply rank.

Real estate agent and broker offices 5312
Law firms 5411
Chiropractors, optometrists, physical therapists and similar practices 6213
Management and technical consulting 5416
Lessors of real estate (landlords, self-storage) 5311
Specialized design (interior, graphic, industrial) 5414
Insurance agencies 5242
Dentists 6212
Accounting, tax and bookkeeping 5412
Personal and household goods repair 8114
Wholesale agents and brokers 4251
Real estate services (property management, appraisal) 5313
Dry cleaning and laundry 8123
Offices of Physicians 6211
Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance 8113
Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services 5413
Death Care Services 8122
Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services 5615
Other Support Services 5619
Apparel, Piece Goods, and Notions Merchant Wholesalers 4243
Printing 3231
Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4238
Remediation and Other Waste Management Services 5629
Machine Shops; Turned Product; and Screw, Nut, and Bolt Manufacturing 3327
Grocery and Related Product Merchant Wholesalers 4244
Professional and Commercial Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4234
Traveler Accommodation 7211
Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events 7113
Household Appliances and Electrical and Electronic Goods Merchant Wholesalers 4236
Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4231
Automobile Dealers 4411
Investigation and Security Services 5616
Waste Collection 5621
Scientific Research and Development Services 5417
Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing 3391
Architectural and Structural Metals Manufacturing 3323
Home health care 6216
Waste Treatment and Disposal 5622

L5: Lower AI exposure

Rule: Ranked by the AI Exposure Study (coverage gate met) AND AI exposure rank 61 to 81 (the least exposed quarter of 81).

20 industries meet this rule, listed by supply rank.

Auto repair and maintenance 8111
Finishing contractors (drywall, painting, flooring) 2383
Janitorial, landscaping and pest control 5617
Personal and household goods repair 8114
Foundation, framing, roofing and exterior contractors 2381
Other specialty trade contractors 2389
HVAC, plumbing and electrical contractors 2382
Dry cleaning and laundry 8123
Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance 8113
Support Activities for Road Transportation 4884
Remediation and Other Waste Management Services 5629
Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing 3152
Other Textile Product Mills 3149
Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 2379
Utility System Construction 2371
Waste Collection 5621
Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction 2373
Waste Treatment and Disposal 5622
Sawmills and Wood Preservation 3211
Other Food Manufacturing 3119

L6: Higher AI operating leverage opportunity

Rule: Ranked by the AI Opportunity Study AND quadrant “AI Leverage Opportunity” AND quadrant stable (same quadrant in at least 6 of 8 specifications). This is the study's staffing mix classification, not a finding that these industries will gain from AI.

13 industries meet this rule, listed by supply rank.

Home builders (residential building construction) 2361
Personal and household goods repair 8114
Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance 8113
Other Support Services 5619
Printing 3231
Remediation and Other Waste Management Services 5629
Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing 3152
Other Textile Product Mills 3149
Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 4231
Automobile Dealers 4411
Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers 4245
Waste Treatment and Disposal 5622
Animal feed makers 3111

What industry data cannot tell you about a specific company

Industry data is context. It cannot establish that a particular business is good, fairly priced, financeable or transferable.

Whether a business is for sale, or at what price.
Its earnings, margins or the quality of its books.
Who its customers are and how concentrated they are.
Whether its workforce, licenses and permits will stay after closing.
The condition of its assets and what it will cost to keep them running.
Whether a lender will finance it, and on what terms.
How much of the business depends on the seller.

Ranks describe whole industries over the periods each study covers. A grouped code (for example 2382, which includes HVAC, plumbing and electrical contractors, or 5617, which includes janitorial, landscaping and pest control) cannot be split into its trades. Owner age describes people, not firms. An establishment exit is not a business failure. AI exposure is a modeled estimate of staffing mix, and no lens or table here treats a trade as an AI leverage finding.

Industry records

The full record for each of the 152 industries, with every value, its source confidence and any grouping note. Blank means the source has no valid value; nothing is estimated.

Home builders (residential building construction) (2361)

NAICS 2017: 2361 · Residential Building Construction · Construction
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 1 of 152 · index 98.5 · 42,078 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 2283.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 4.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 120 of 152 · score 31.9 · employment drawdown -41.5% (Great Recession), -14.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 148 of 152 · score 5.9 · establishment exit rate 14.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 57 of 81 · score 37.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 79.6 · leverage rank 2 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 43,398 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L6

Real estate agent and broker offices (5312)

NAICS 2017: 5312 · Offices of Real Estate Agents and Brokers · Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 2 of 152 · index 98.1 · 10,047 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 3584.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 2.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 96 of 152 · score 41.2 · employment drawdown -31.1% (Great Recession), -8.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 140 of 152 · score 15.0 · establishment exit rate 12.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 17.5% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 531M · confidence High (531M: High) · 13,581 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 13,499 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 531M (Lessors of real estate, and offices of real estate agents and brokers), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L4

Personal care (salons, barbers, nails) (8121)

NAICS 2017: 8121 · Personal Care Services · Other Services (except Public Administration)
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 3 of 152 · index 94.8 · 42,203 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1818.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 5.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 39 of 152 · score 64.9 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -73.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 138 of 152 · score 16.2 · establishment exit rate 11.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 6.1% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 812111;812112;8121M · confidence Medium (812111: Medium; 812112: High; 8121M: High) · 7,194 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 38 of 81 · score 48.3 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 20.4 · leverage rank 75 of 81 · quadrant Core Disruption Risk (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 51,351 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 812111 (Barber shops); 812112 (Beauty salons); 8121M (Nail salons and other personal care services), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Auto repair and maintenance (8111)

NAICS 2017: 8111 · Automotive Repair and Maintenance · Other Services (except Public Administration)
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 4 of 152 · index 94.4 · 50,407 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1492.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 6.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 68 of 152 · score 54.7 · employment drawdown -9.7% (Great Recession), -19.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 72 of 152 · score 54.0 · establishment exit rate 8.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 10.9% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 8111Z;811192 · confidence Medium (8111Z: High; 811192: Medium) · 5,992 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 70 of 81 · score 30.3 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 71.0 · leverage rank 8 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (4 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 64,755 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L3, L5

Law firms (5411)

NAICS 2017: 5411 · Legal Services · Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 5 of 152 · index 93.6 · 42,599 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1352.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 7.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 38 of 152 · score 66.0 · employment drawdown -4.6% (Great Recession), -5.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 41 of 152 · score 70.0 · establishment exit rate 8.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 21.2% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5411 · confidence High (5411: High) · 9,955 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 1 of 81 · score 87.0 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 40.1 · leverage rank 57 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 50,341 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L3, L4

Chiropractors, optometrists, physical therapists and similar practices (6213)

NAICS 2017: 6213 · Offices of Other Health Practitioners · Health Care and Social Assistance
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 6 of 152 · index 93.2 · 46,197 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1372.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 6.9 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 19 of 152 · score 74.6 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -21.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 45 of 152 · score 68.3 · establishment exit rate 7.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 13.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 62131;62132;6213ZM · confidence Medium (62131: High; 62132: Medium; 6213ZM: High) · 5,536 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 13 of 81 · score 65.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 24.7 · leverage rank 72 of 81 · quadrant Core Disruption Risk (4 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 62,570 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Report 1 note: Offices of other health practitioners (includes physical therapy).
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L3, L4

Management and technical consulting (5416)

NAICS 2017: 5416 · Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services · Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 7 of 152 · index 92.5 · 30,531 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1198.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 7.9 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 5 of 152 · score 84.0 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -3.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 137 of 152 · score 16.3 · establishment exit rate 15.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 11.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 18.7% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5416 · confidence High (5416: High) · 13,179 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 4 of 81 · score 76.4 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 51.9 · leverage rank 40 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 35,745 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L4

Lessors of real estate (landlords, self-storage) (5311)

NAICS 2017: 5311 · Lessors of Real Estate · Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 8 of 152 · index 92.3 · 18,543 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1610.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 5.9 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 36 of 152 · score 66.7 · employment drawdown -4.8% (Great Recession), -8.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 105 of 152 · score 34.6 · establishment exit rate 9.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 17.5% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 531M · confidence High (531M: High) · 13,581 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 29,115 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Report 1 note: Lessors of real estate (includes self-storage; not separable at 4 digits). Owner age is for the ACS group 531M (Lessors of real estate, and offices of real estate agents and brokers), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L4

Finishing contractors (drywall, painting, flooring) (2383)

NAICS 2017: 2383 · Building Finishing Contractors · Construction
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 9 of 152 · index 90.7 · 34,544 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1390.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 6.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 136 of 152 · score 22.8 · employment drawdown -37.0% (Great Recession), -19.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 126 of 152 · score 19.9 · establishment exit rate 11.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 75 of 81 · score 25.7 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 67.9 · leverage rank 14 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 35,674 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L5

Specialized design (interior, graphic, industrial) (5414)

NAICS 2017: 5414 · Specialized Design Services · Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 10 of 152 · index 90.2 · 6,149 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 2786.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 3.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 101 of 152 · score 39.7 · employment drawdown -18.7% (Great Recession), -15.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 136 of 152 · score 16.4 · establishment exit rate 12.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 13.4% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5414 · confidence High (5414: High) · 2,975 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 12 of 81 · score 65.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 52.5 · leverage rank 39 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 6,328 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L4

Insurance agencies (5242)

NAICS 2017: 5242 · Agencies, Brokerages, and Other Insurance Related Activities · Finance and Insurance
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 11 of 152 · index 88.2 · 30,985 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 942.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 35 of 152 · score 66.9 · employment drawdown -9.0% (Great Recession), -1.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 62 of 152 · score 56.8 · establishment exit rate 8.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 17.6% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5242 · confidence High (5242: High) · 3,720 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 2 of 81 · score 83.5 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 49.4 · leverage rank 46 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 40,424 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L3, L4

Dentists (6212)

NAICS 2017: 6212 · Offices of Dentists · Health Care and Social Assistance
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 12 of 152 · index 87.2 · 74,220 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1099.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 8.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 33 of 152 · score 67.5 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -54.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 23 of 152 · score 80.2 · establishment exit rate 5.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 12.2% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 6212 · confidence High (6212: High) · 4,804 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 27 of 81 · score 54.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 19.8 · leverage rank 76 of 81 · quadrant Core Disruption Risk (5 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 84,799 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L3, L4

Janitorial, landscaping and pest control (5617)

NAICS 2017: 5617 · Services to Buildings and Dwellings · Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 13 of 152 · index 86.9 · 64,969 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 950.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 9.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 24 of 152 · score 72.7 · employment drawdown -3.7% (Great Recession), -11.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 117 of 152 · score 26.7 · establishment exit rate 11.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 7.1% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5617Z;56173 · confidence High (5617Z: High; 56173: High) · 9,695 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 80 of 81 · score 22.6 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 56.8 · leverage rank 33 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 71,312 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Report 1 note: Services to buildings and dwellings (janitorial, landscaping, pest control and related; not separable at 4 digits).
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L5

Liquor stores (4453)

NAICS 2017: 4453 · Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 14 of 152 · index 86.2 · 10,834 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1585.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 6.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 12 of 152 · score 79.5 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -12.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 40 of 152 · score 70.3 · establishment exit rate 7.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: AI study code 4453 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4453,4541,4543
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 13,948 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L3

Accounting, tax and bookkeeping (5412)

NAICS 2017: 5412 · Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping, and Payroll Services · Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 15 of 152 · index 85.8 · 30,671 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 928.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 10 of 152 · score 80.7 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -7.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 79 of 152 · score 49.9 · establishment exit rate 8.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 23.1% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5412 · confidence High (5412: High) · 5,851 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 3 of 81 · score 79.7 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 40.1 · leverage rank 57 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 39,601 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L4

Personal and household goods repair (8114)

NAICS 2017: 8114 · Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance · Other Services (except Public Administration)
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 16 of 152 · index 85.3 · 4,057 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 2726.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 3.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 107 of 152 · score 37.0 · employment drawdown -17.7% (Great Recession), -24.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 121 of 152 · score 24.3 · establishment exit rate 11.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 16.1% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 8114 · confidence High (8114: High) · 1,053 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 62 of 81 · score 35.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 64.8 · leverage rank 19 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 4,376 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L4, L5, L6

Other personal services (8129)

NAICS 2017: 8129 · Other Personal Services · Other Services (except Public Administration)
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 17 of 152 · index 85.0 · 14,622 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1279.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 7.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 34 of 152 · score 67.0 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -42.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 146 of 152 · score 11.7 · establishment exit rate 12.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 8.2% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 8129 · confidence High (8129: High) · 1,912 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 47 of 81 · score 42.9 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 50.6 · leverage rank 42 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (5 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 18,457 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Wholesale agents and brokers (4251)

NAICS 2017: 4251 · Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 18 of 152 · index 84.1 · 6,670 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1296.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 7.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 71 of 152 · score 52.9 · employment drawdown -2.2% (Great Recession), -10.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 127 of 152 · score 19.4 · establishment exit rate 11.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 25.2% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4251 · confidence Medium (4251: Medium) · 662 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 7,743 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L4

Real estate services (property management, appraisal) (5313)

NAICS 2017: 5313 · Activities Related to Real Estate · Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 18 of 152 · index 84.1 · 20,863 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1067.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 8.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 20 of 152 · score 73.6 · employment drawdown -4.9% (Great Recession), -4.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 96 of 152 · score 38.1 · establishment exit rate 9.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 22.6% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5313 · confidence High (5313: High) · 2,309 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 29,765 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L4

Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers (4539)

NAICS 2017: 4539 · Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 20 of 152 · index 83.3 · 14,730 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1182.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 8.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 73 of 152 · score 52.6 · employment drawdown -9.5% (Great Recession), -21.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 110 of 152 · score 32.1 · establishment exit rate 9.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4539 is part of NAICS 2022 4599 in the AI study (4599 from 4539,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 22,088 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:many
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Other Financial Investment Activities (5239)

NAICS 2017: 5239 · Other Financial Investment Activities · Finance and Insurance
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 21 of 152 · index 82.8 · 12,038 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 930.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 1 of 152 · score 87.2 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), 0.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 89 of 152 · score 41.9 · establishment exit rate 8.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 17.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 52M2 · confidence Not rated (52M2: Not rated) · 4,043 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 16,168 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 52M2 (Securities, commodities, funds, trusts, and other financial investments), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Foundation, framing, roofing and exterior contractors (2381)

NAICS 2017: 2381 · Foundation, Structure, and Building Exterior Contractors · Construction
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 22 of 152 · index 81.6 · 35,763 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1014.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 9.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 123 of 152 · score 30.0 · employment drawdown -42.1% (Great Recession), -12.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 123 of 152 · score 22.6 · establishment exit rate 11.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 79 of 81 · score 23.6 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 67.9 · leverage rank 14 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 36,575 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L5

General Freight Trucking (4841)

NAICS 2017: 4841 · General Freight Trucking · Transportation and Warehousing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 23 of 152 · index 81.5 · 18,378 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 816.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 11.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 65 of 152 · score 55.9 · employment drawdown -14.0% (Great Recession), -7.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 132 of 152 · score 18.0 · establishment exit rate 13.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 11.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 7.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 484 · confidence High (484: High) · 8,024 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 26,496 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 484 (Truck transportation), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Other specialty trade contractors (2389)

NAICS 2017: 2389 · Other Specialty Trade Contractors · Construction
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 24 of 152 · index 80.3 · 27,947 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 977.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 9.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 105 of 152 · score 37.7 · employment drawdown -29.8% (Great Recession), -13.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 99 of 152 · score 36.6 · establishment exit rate 10.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 76 of 81 · score 25.5 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 67.9 · leverage rank 14 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 28,538 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L5

HVAC, plumbing and electrical contractors (2382)

NAICS 2017: 2382 · Building Equipment Contractors · Construction
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 25 of 152 · index 79.3 · 76,499 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 762.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 11.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 92 of 152 · score 44.4 · employment drawdown -20.7% (Great Recession), -12.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 57 of 152 · score 60.0 · establishment exit rate 8.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 64 of 81 · score 34.7 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 63.0 · leverage rank 22 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (4 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 80,304 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Report 1 note: Building equipment contractors (HVAC, plumbing, electrical and related; not separable at 4 digits). Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L3, L5

Other Schools and Instruction (6116)

NAICS 2017: 6116 · Other Schools and Instruction · Educational Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 26 of 152 · index 78.5 · 23,159 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1026.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 8.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 32 of 152 · score 68.4 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -38.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 111 of 152 · score 31.7 · establishment exit rate 10.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 10.8% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 611M3 · confidence High (611M3: High) · 2,833 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 25,428 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 611M3 (Other schools and instruction, and educational support services), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Direct Selling Establishments (4543)

NAICS 2017: 4543 · Direct Selling Establishments · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 27 of 152 · index 78.4 · 6,981 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1235.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 7.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 85 of 152 · score 46.6 · employment drawdown -18.5% (Great Recession), -9.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 100 of 152 · score 36.4 · establishment exit rate 10.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4543 is part of NAICS 2022 4492, 4582, 4583, 4592, 4581, 4591, 4561, 4599, 4491, 4453, 4441, 4593, 4442, 4413, 4572 in the AI study (4492 from 4431,4541,4543; 4582 from 4482,4541,4543; 4583 from 4483,4541,4543; 4592 from 4512,4541,4543; 4581 from 4481,4541,4543; 4591 from 4511,4541,4543; 4561 from 4461,4541,4543; 4599 from 4539,4541,4543; 4491 from 4421,4422,4541,4543; 4453 from 4453,4541,4543; 4441 from 4441,4541,4543; 4593 from 4531,4541,4543; 4442 from 4442,4541,4543; 4413 from 4413,4541,4543; 4572 from 4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 10,962 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:many
Buyer lenses met: L1

Other professional services (includes veterinary) (5419)

NAICS 2017: 5419 · Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services · Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 28 of 152 · index 76.8 · 24,033 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 813.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 11.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 29 of 152 · score 69.1 · employment drawdown -0.6% (Great Recession), -11.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 103 of 152 · score 35.6 · establishment exit rate 10.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 10.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 54194;5419Z · confidence High (54194: High; 5419Z: High) · 4,026 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 16 of 81 · score 60.5 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 61.1 · leverage rank 28 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 32,171 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Report 1 note: Other professional, scientific and technical services (includes veterinary services; not separable at 4 digits).
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Florists (4531)

NAICS 2017: 4531 · Florists · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 29 of 152 · index 76.4 · 4,107 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1959.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 4.9 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 142 of 152 · score 18.0 · employment drawdown -31.7% (Great Recession), -47.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 116 of 152 · score 27.3 · establishment exit rate 10.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4531 is part of NAICS 2022 4593 in the AI study (4593 from 4531,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 4,304 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L1

Dry cleaning and laundry (8123)

NAICS 2017: 8123 · Drycleaning and Laundry Services · Other Services (except Public Administration)
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 30 of 152 · index 76.0 · 7,619 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 938.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 126 of 152 · score 29.4 · employment drawdown -15.8% (Great Recession), -30.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 109 of 152 · score 32.5 · establishment exit rate 9.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 19.4% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 8123 · confidence Medium (8123: Medium) · 697 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 68 of 81 · score 33.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 50.0 · leverage rank 43 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 9,258 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L4, L5

Jewelry, Luggage, and Leather Goods Stores (4483)

NAICS 2017: 4483 · Jewelry, Luggage, and Leather Goods Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 31 of 152 · index 75.8 · 4,106 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1250.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 7.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 141 of 152 · score 18.3 · employment drawdown -20.8% (Great Recession), -46.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 82 of 152 · score 49.0 · establishment exit rate 7.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4483 is part of NAICS 2022 4583 in the AI study (4583 from 4483,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 8,737 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L1

Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses (4541)

NAICS 2017: 4541 · Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses · Retail Trade
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023; capped at Medium: BDS 2023 establishment re-match)
Acquisition supply: Rank 32 of 152 · index 74.7 · 13,007 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 639.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 14.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 22 of 152 · score 73.0 · employment drawdown -8.0% (Great Recession), -5.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 128 of 152 · score 18.8 · establishment exit rate 13.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4541 is part of NAICS 2022 4492, 4582, 4583, 4592, 4581, 4591, 4561, 4599, 4491, 4453, 4412, 4441, 4593, 4442, 4413 in the AI study (4492 from 4431,4541,4543; 4582 from 4482,4541,4543; 4583 from 4483,4541,4543; 4592 from 4512,4541,4543; 4581 from 4481,4541,4543; 4591 from 4511,4541,4543; 4561 from 4461,4541,4543; 4599 from 4539,4541,4543; 4491 from 4421,4422,4541,4543; 4453 from 4453,4541,4543; 4412 from 4412,4541; 4441 from 4441,4541,4543; 4593 from 4531,4541,4543; 4442 from 4442,4541,4543; 4413 from 4413,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 14,027 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: BDS_2023_rematch_level_shift_2015_2023;2017to2022_many:many
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Specialized Freight Trucking (4842)

NAICS 2017: 4842 · Specialized Freight Trucking · Transportation and Warehousing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 32 of 152 · index 74.7 · 15,023 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 904.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 90 of 152 · score 44.9 · employment drawdown -15.1% (Great Recession), -10.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 130 of 152 · score 18.5 · establishment exit rate 12.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 7.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 484 · confidence High (484: High) · 8,024 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 17,992 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 484 (Truck transportation), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L1

Gasoline Stations (4471)

NAICS 2017: 4471 · Gasoline Stations · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 34 of 152 · index 73.4 · 27,757 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 576.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 16.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 30 of 152 · score 69.0 · employment drawdown -5.1% (Great Recession), -7.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 50 of 152 · score 62.1 · establishment exit rate 6.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 11.5% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4571 · confidence High (4571: High) · 1,042 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4471 is part of NAICS 2022 4571 in the AI study (4571 from 4471); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 68,400 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2, L3

Specialty Food Stores (4452)

NAICS 2017: 4452 · Specialty Food Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 35 of 152 · index 72.8 · 8,621 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1136.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 8.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 56 of 152 · score 58.7 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -24.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 131 of 152 · score 18.2 · establishment exit rate 10.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 10,522 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Computer Systems Design and Related Services (5415)

NAICS 2017: 5415 · Computer Systems Design and Related Services · Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 36 of 152 · index 72.7 · 29,360 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 544.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 16.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 3 of 152 · score 86.1 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -0.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 142 of 152 · score 12.5 · establishment exit rate 14.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 7.5% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5415 · confidence High (5415: High) · 6,699 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 36,133 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1, L2

Motion Picture and Video Industries (5121)

NAICS 2017: 5121 · Motion Picture and Video Industries · Information
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 37 of 152 · index 72.5 · 4,011 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 765.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 12.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 82 of 152 · score 48.0 · employment drawdown -9.7% (Great Recession), -55.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 141 of 152 · score 13.8 · establishment exit rate 13.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 6.1% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5121 · confidence High (5121: High) · 2,038 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 17 of 81 · score 59.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 40.7 · leverage rank 55 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (1 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 6,502 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1

Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services (5418)

NAICS 2017: 5418 · Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services · Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 38 of 152 · index 71.8 · 9,211 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 686.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 13.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 81 of 152 · score 49.8 · employment drawdown -9.4% (Great Recession), -14.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 113 of 152 · score 29.7 · establishment exit rate 11.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 11.6% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5418 · confidence High (5418: High) · 2,276 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 6 of 81 · score 74.0 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 47.5 · leverage rank 48 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 11,513 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L1

Office Supplies, Stationery, and Gift Stores (4532)

NAICS 2017: 4532 · Office Supplies, Stationery, and Gift Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 39 of 152 · index 70.3 · 5,610 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 904.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 144 of 152 · score 17.0 · employment drawdown -20.5% (Great Recession), -45.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 129 of 152 · score 18.7 · establishment exit rate 10.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 11,173 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Offices of Physicians (6211)

NAICS 2017: 6211 · Offices of Physicians · Health Care and Social Assistance
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 40 of 152 · index 70.1 · 54,677 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 489.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 18.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 9 of 152 · score 82.1 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -9.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 55 of 152 · score 60.9 · establishment exit rate 8.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 19.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 6211 · confidence High (6211: High) · 7,075 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 11 of 81 · score 66.4 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 19.8 · leverage rank 76 of 81 · quadrant Core Disruption Risk (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 94,550 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3, L4

Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages) (7224)

NAICS 2017: 7224 · Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages) · Accommodation and Food Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 41 of 152 · index 69.8 · 23,005 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 844.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 94 of 152 · score 43.1 · employment drawdown -2.4% (Great Recession), -74.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 139 of 152 · score 15.4 · establishment exit rate 11.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 7.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 722Z;7224 · confidence Medium (722Z: High; 7224: Medium) · 13,390 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 51 of 81 · score 39.2 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 28.4 · leverage rank 67 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 23,687 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 722Z (Food services and drinking places, except alcoholic beverages); 7224 (Drinking places (alcoholic beverages)), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance (8113)

NAICS 2017: 8113 · Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance · Other Services (except Public Administration)
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 42 of 152 · index 68.6 · 6,898 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 894.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 45 of 152 · score 62.7 · employment drawdown -4.1% (Great Recession), -9.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 53 of 152 · score 61.7 · establishment exit rate 8.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 14.5% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 8113 · confidence High (8113: High) · 1,119 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 65 of 81 · score 34.7 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 77.8 · leverage rank 3 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 8,540 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3, L4, L5, L6

Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services (5413)

NAICS 2017: 5413 · Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services · Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 43 of 152 · index 68.3 · 31,619 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 510.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 17.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 40 of 152 · score 64.9 · employment drawdown -9.8% (Great Recession), -3.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 63 of 152 · score 56.7 · establishment exit rate 8.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 20.5% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5413 · confidence High (5413: High) · 5,622 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 10 of 81 · score 66.6 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 49.4 · leverage rank 45 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 45,662 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3, L4

Miscellaneous Durable Goods Merchant Wholesalers (4239)

NAICS 2017: 4239 · Miscellaneous Durable Goods Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 44 of 152 · index 67.5 · 9,989 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 748.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 11.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 62 of 152 · score 57.3 · employment drawdown -8.4% (Great Recession), -15.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 85 of 152 · score 45.8 · establishment exit rate 9.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 19.4% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 42393;4239Z · confidence Low (42393: Low; 4239Z: Medium) · 751 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 12,487 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L2

Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores (4511)

NAICS 2017: 4511 · Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 45 of 152 · index 67.2 · 10,461 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 565.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 16.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 88 of 152 · score 46.3 · employment drawdown -8.9% (Great Recession), -42.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 90 of 152 · score 41.4 · establishment exit rate 8.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4511 is part of NAICS 2022 4591 in the AI study (4591 from 4511,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 18,814 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Death Care Services (8122)

NAICS 2017: 8122 · Death Care Services · Other Services (except Public Administration)
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 46 of 152 · index 66.1 · 6,922 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 918.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 43 of 152 · score 64.0 · employment drawdown -2.1% (Great Recession), -9.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 9 of 152 · score 89.6 · establishment exit rate 4.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 3.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 29.2% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 8122 · confidence Medium (8122: Medium) · 660 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 33 of 81 · score 50.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 26.5 · leverage rank 71 of 81 · quadrant Core Disruption Risk (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 9,901 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3, L4

Land Subdivision (2372)

NAICS 2017: 2372 · Land Subdivision · Construction
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 47 of 152 · index 66.0 · 988 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1861.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 5.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 146 of 152 · score 15.3 · employment drawdown -68.1% (Great Recession), -11.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 125 of 152 · score 21.6 · establishment exit rate 10.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 23 of 81 · score 57.2 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 38.9 · leverage rank 59 of 81 · quadrant Core Disruption Risk (5 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 1,044 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Support Activities for Road Transportation (4884)

NAICS 2017: 4884 · Support Activities for Road Transportation · Transportation and Warehousing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 48 of 152 · index 65.8 · 4,434 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 938.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 9.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 26 of 152 · score 72.0 · employment drawdown -1.8% (Great Recession), -11.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 108 of 152 · score 34.2 · establishment exit rate 10.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 488 · confidence High (488: High) · 1,854 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 74 of 81 · score 27.9 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 63.0 · leverage rank 22 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (5 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 5,283 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 488 (Support activities for transportation), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L2, L5

Taxi and Limousine Service (4853)

NAICS 2017: 4853 · Taxi and Limousine Service · Transportation and Warehousing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 49 of 152 · index 65.6 · 1,619 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1424.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 6.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 93 of 152 · score 43.7 · employment drawdown -11.2% (Great Recession), -53.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 152 of 152 · score 0.4 · establishment exit rate 18.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 14.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.4% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4853 · confidence High (4853: High) · 1,763 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,711 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Home Furnishings Stores (4422)

NAICS 2017: 4422 · Home Furnishings Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 50 of 152 · index 65.2 · 6,562 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 634.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 14.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 147 of 152 · score 14.2 · employment drawdown -30.2% (Great Recession), -41.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 64 of 152 · score 56.4 · establishment exit rate 7.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4422 is part of NAICS 2022 4491 in the AI study (4491 from 4421,4422,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 11,136 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L3

Electronic and Precision Equipment Repair and Maintenance (8112)

NAICS 2017: 8112 · Electronic and Precision Equipment Repair and Maintenance · Other Services (except Public Administration)
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 51 of 152 · index 63.0 · 2,647 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 895.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 10.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 95 of 152 · score 41.5 · employment drawdown -19.6% (Great Recession), -8.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 107 of 152 · score 34.4 · establishment exit rate 11.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 12.1% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 8112 · confidence Low (8112: Low) · 355 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 31 of 81 · score 52.0 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 68.5 · leverage rank 13 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 3,360 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Business Schools and Computer and Management Training (6114)

NAICS 2017: 6114 · Business Schools and Computer and Management Training · Educational Services
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 52 of 152 · index 62.8 · 2,227 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1034.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 8.9 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 53 of 152 · score 60.0 · employment drawdown -7.9% (Great Recession), -7.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 118 of 152 · score 26.3 · establishment exit rate 12.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 21.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 611M2 · confidence Low (611M2: Low) · 268 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 2,487 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 611M2 (Business, trade and technical schools, and computer and management training), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L2

Health and Personal Care Stores (4461)

NAICS 2017: 4461 · Health and Personal Care Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 53 of 152 · index 62.6 · 19,387 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 369.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 24.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 50 of 152 · score 60.6 · employment drawdown -5.5% (Great Recession), -16.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 51 of 152 · score 62.0 · establishment exit rate 6.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4461 is part of NAICS 2022 4561 in the AI study (4561 from 4461,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 57,019 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3

Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services (5615)

NAICS 2017: 5615 · Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services · Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 54 of 152 · index 62.5 · 2,597 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 672.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 14.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 134 of 152 · score 24.3 · employment drawdown -13.3% (Great Recession), -41.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 147 of 152 · score 6.5 · establishment exit rate 16.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 18.2% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5615 · confidence Medium (5615: Medium) · 955 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 4,190 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L4

Automotive Parts, Accessories, and Tire Stores (4413)

NAICS 2017: 4413 · Automotive Parts, Accessories, and Tire Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 55 of 152 · index 61.3 · 11,756 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 430.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 21.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 48 of 152 · score 62.0 · employment drawdown -4.0% (Great Recession), -10.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 15 of 152 · score 86.8 · establishment exit rate 4.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: AI study code 4413 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4413,4541,4543
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 42,053 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3

RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps (7212)

NAICS 2017: 7212 · RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps · Accommodation and Food Services
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 56 of 152 · index 61.1 · 2,428 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 1343.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 6.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 49 of 152 · score 61.1 · employment drawdown -5.0% (Great Recession), -44.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 59 of 152 · score 59.2 · establishment exit rate 8.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 23.7% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 721M · confidence Low (721M: Low) · 263 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 39 of 81 · score 47.4 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 56.2 · leverage rank 34 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (4 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 2,711 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 721M (Recreational vehicle parks and camps, and rooming and boarding houses, dormitories, and workers' camps), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3

Child Day Care Services (6244)

NAICS 2017: 6244 · Child Day Care Services · Health Care and Social Assistance
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 57 of 152 · index 60.1 · 36,828 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 522.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 15.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 41 of 152 · score 64.7 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -33.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 81 of 152 · score 49.2 · establishment exit rate 8.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.5% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 6244 · confidence High (6244: High) · 1,822 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 50,130 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L2

Other Amusement and Recreation Industries (7139)

NAICS 2017: 7139 · Other Amusement and Recreation Industries · Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 58 of 152 · index 59.5 · 33,742 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 433.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 19.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 57 of 152 · score 58.6 · employment drawdown -3.8% (Great Recession), -59.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 106 of 152 · score 34.4 · establishment exit rate 10.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 8.5% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 71395;713Z · confidence Not rated (71395: Not rated; 713Z: High) · 3,366 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 48 of 81 · score 42.0 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 37.0 · leverage rank 61 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 41,243 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 71395 (Bowling centers); 713Z (Other amusement, gambling, and recreation industries), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L2

Clothing Stores (4481)

NAICS 2017: 4481 · Clothing Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 59 of 152 · index 59.2 · 12,228 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 280.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 33.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 89 of 152 · score 45.2 · employment drawdown -5.4% (Great Recession), -70.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 119 of 152 · score 26.0 · establishment exit rate 9.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4481 is part of NAICS 2022 4581 in the AI study (4581 from 4481,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 53,659 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Nonresidential Building Construction (2362)

NAICS 2017: 2362 · Nonresidential Building Construction · Construction
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 60 of 152 · index 58.5 · 19,586 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 482.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 17.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 119 of 152 · score 32.7 · employment drawdown -25.0% (Great Recession), -12.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 92 of 152 · score 40.9 · establishment exit rate 9.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 53 of 81 · score 39.1 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 64.2 · leverage rank 20 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (5 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 20,786 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Restaurants (7225)

NAICS 2017: 7225 · Restaurants and Other Eating Places · Accommodation and Food Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 60 of 152 · index 58.5 · 289,301 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 314.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 24.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 60 of 152 · score 57.9 · employment drawdown -2.4% (Great Recession), -44.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 97 of 152 · score 37.6 · establishment exit rate 8.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 7.6% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 722Z · confidence High (722Z: High) · 12,875 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 435,553 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 722Z (Food services and drinking places, except alcoholic beverages), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L2

Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods Merchant Wholesalers (4249)

NAICS 2017: 4249 · Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 62 of 152 · index 58.0 · 7,707 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 557.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 15.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 87 of 152 · score 46.4 · employment drawdown -12.3% (Great Recession), -8.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 66 of 152 · score 55.2 · establishment exit rate 8.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 21.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 42491;4249Z · confidence Low (42491: Low; 4249Z: Medium) · 929 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 12,253 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L3

Activities Related to Credit Intermediation (5223)

NAICS 2017: 5223 · Activities Related to Credit Intermediation · Finance and Insurance
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 63 of 152 · index 57.1 · 3,540 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 458.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 20.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 99 of 152 · score 40.2 · employment drawdown -30.8% (Great Recession), -2.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 133 of 152 · score 17.9 · establishment exit rate 10.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 13.0% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 522M · confidence Not rated (522M: Not rated) · 1,658 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 5,942 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 522M (Nondepository credit intermediation and related activities), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Furniture Stores (4421)

NAICS 2017: 4421 · Furniture Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 64 of 152 · index 56.8 · 5,863 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 580.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 15.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 143 of 152 · score 17.8 · employment drawdown -28.1% (Great Recession), -32.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 84 of 152 · score 47.0 · establishment exit rate 8.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4421 is part of NAICS 2022 4491 in the AI study (4491 from 4421,4422,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 10,370 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Support Services (5619)

NAICS 2017: 5619 · Other Support Services · Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 65 of 152 · index 56.8 · 5,864 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 532.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 16.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 110 of 152 · score 36.4 · employment drawdown -18.1% (Great Recession), -22.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 101 of 152 · score 36.0 · establishment exit rate 10.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 14.8% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 561M · confidence High (561M: High) · 1,164 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 44 of 81 · score 44.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 75.9 · leverage rank 5 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 7,363 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 561M (Other administrative and other support services), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L4, L6

Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores (4442)

NAICS 2017: 4442 · Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 66 of 152 · index 56.6 · 6,647 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 642.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 13.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 70 of 152 · score 53.8 · employment drawdown -12.2% (Great Recession), -4.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 24 of 152 · score 79.6 · establishment exit rate 6.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: AI study code 4442 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4442,4541,4543
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 10,697 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3

Apparel, Piece Goods, and Notions Merchant Wholesalers (4243)

NAICS 2017: 4243 · Apparel, Piece Goods, and Notions Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 67 of 152 · index 56.0 · 4,499 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 655.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 13.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 131 of 152 · score 27.2 · employment drawdown -17.9% (Great Recession), -28.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 120 of 152 · score 24.6 · establishment exit rate 11.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 16.6% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4243 · confidence Medium (4243: Medium) · 433 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 21 of 81 · score 59.3 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 63.0 · leverage rank 24 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 4,874 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L4

Electronics and Appliance Stores (4431)

NAICS 2017: 4431 · Electronics and Appliance Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 67 of 152 · index 56.0 · 4,927 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 523.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 17.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 129 of 152 · score 28.9 · employment drawdown -16.8% (Great Recession), -13.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 145 of 152 · score 12.2 · establishment exit rate 12.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4431 is part of NAICS 2022 4492 in the AI study (4492 from 4431,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 11,014 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Special Food Services (7223)

NAICS 2017: 7223 · Special Food Services · Accommodation and Food Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 67 of 152 · index 56.0 · 9,072 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 341.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 26.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 42 of 152 · score 64.3 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -55.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 149 of 152 · score 5.0 · establishment exit rate 13.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 12.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 7.6% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 722Z · confidence High (722Z: High) · 12,875 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 24,381 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 722Z (Food services and drinking places, except alcoholic beverages), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: L2

Consumer Goods Rental (5322)

NAICS 2017: 5322 · Consumer Goods Rental · Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 70 of 152 · index 54.0 · 3,042 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 704.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 12.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 150 of 152 · score 10.2 · employment drawdown -36.6% (Great Recession), -34.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 144 of 152 · score 12.3 · establishment exit rate 11.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 10.1% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 532M2 · confidence Low (532M2: Low) · 328 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 7,012 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 532M2 (Consumer goods rental, and general rental centers), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Used Merchandise Stores (4533)

NAICS 2017: 4533 · Used Merchandise Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 71 of 152 · index 53.8 · 5,005 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 547.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 16.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 59 of 152 · score 58.0 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -57.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 94 of 152 · score 40.7 · establishment exit rate 8.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 10,672 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L2

Printing (3231)

NAICS 2017: 3231 · Printing and Related Support Activities · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 72 of 152 · index 53.1 · 9,472 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 467.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 18.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 137 of 152 · score 22.2 · employment drawdown -26.8% (Great Recession), -19.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 56 of 152 · score 60.5 · establishment exit rate 8.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 18.7% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3231 · confidence High (3231: High) · 1,269 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 46 of 81 · score 43.6 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 66.7 · leverage rank 17 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 10,245 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L3, L4, L6

Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers (4238)

NAICS 2017: 4238 · Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 73 of 152 · index 53.0 · 17,579 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 391.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 20.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 44 of 152 · score 63.9 · employment drawdown -9.9% (Great Recession), -5.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 11 of 152 · score 87.8 · establishment exit rate 6.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 24.5% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4238 · confidence High (4238: High) · 1,103 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 34 of 81 · score 50.4 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 70.4 · leverage rank 11 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (1 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 30,261 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3, L4

Grocery Stores (4451)

NAICS 2017: 4451 · Grocery Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023; capped at Medium: BDS 2023 establishment re-match)
Acquisition supply: Rank 73 of 152 · index 53.0 · 26,849 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 214.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 40.9 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 11 of 152 · score 79.9 · employment drawdown -0.8% (Great Recession), -1.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 73 of 152 · score 53.8 · establishment exit rate 8.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 42,241 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: BDS_2023_rematch_level_shift_2015_2023;large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3

Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing (3399)

NAICS 2017: 3399 · Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 75 of 152 · index 50.2 · 6,258 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 485.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 17.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 124 of 152 · score 29.9 · employment drawdown -25.9% (Great Recession), -22.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 65 of 152 · score 55.5 · establishment exit rate 8.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 12.2% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 3399M;3399ZM · confidence Low (3399M: Low; 3399ZM: High) · 1,287 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 6,581 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 3399M (Sporting and athletic goods, and doll, toy and game manufacturing); 3399ZM (Miscellaneous manufacturing, n.e.c.), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L3

Remediation and Other Waste Management Services (5629)

NAICS 2017: 5629 · Remediation and Other Waste Management Services · Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 76 of 152 · index 49.7 · 4,887 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 560.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 15.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 27 of 152 · score 70.0 · employment drawdown -5.4% (Great Recession), -8.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 48 of 152 · score 64.5 · establishment exit rate 7.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 13.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 562 · confidence Medium (562: Medium) · 955 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 63 of 81 · score 35.6 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 77.2 · leverage rank 4 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 6,108 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 562 (Waste management and remediation services), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L2, L3, L4, L5, L6

Freight Transportation Arrangement (4885)

NAICS 2017: 4885 · Freight Transportation Arrangement · Transportation and Warehousing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 77 of 152 · index 49.5 · 5,673 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 425.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 20.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 54 of 152 · score 59.5 · employment drawdown -11.5% (Great Recession), -6.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 67 of 152 · score 55.2 · establishment exit rate 8.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 488 · confidence High (488: High) · 1,854 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 9 of 81 · score 69.6 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 51.2 · leverage rank 41 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 9,239 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 488 (Support activities for transportation), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Machine Shops; Turned Product; and Screw, Nut, and Bolt Manufacturing (3327)

NAICS 2017: 3327 · Machine Shops; Turned Product; and Screw, Nut, and Bolt Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 78 of 152 · index 48.9 · 11,620 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 480.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 16.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 125 of 152 · score 29.5 · employment drawdown -18.1% (Great Recession), -13.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 19 of 152 · score 84.8 · establishment exit rate 6.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 22.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3327 · confidence Medium (3327: Medium) · 965 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 12,216 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L4

Other Motor Vehicle Dealers (4412)

NAICS 2017: 4412 · Other Motor Vehicle Dealers · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 79 of 152 · index 48.2 · 6,366 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 558.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 14.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 127 of 152 · score 29.1 · employment drawdown -29.3% (Great Recession), -19.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 44 of 152 · score 68.4 · establishment exit rate 7.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: AI study code 4412 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4412,4541
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 8,251 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Business Support Services (5614)

NAICS 2017: 5614 · Business Support Services · Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 80 of 152 · index 47.8 · 7,626 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 256.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 34.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 80 of 152 · score 50.3 · employment drawdown -5.8% (Great Recession), -10.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 122 of 152 · score 23.4 · establishment exit rate 11.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 12.1% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5614 · confidence High (5614: High) · 1,186 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 5 of 81 · score 76.1 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 38.3 · leverage rank 60 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 11,974 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Book Stores and News Dealers (4512)

NAICS 2017: 4512 · Book Stores and News Dealers · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 81 of 152 · index 47.4 · 1,246 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 588.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 15.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 152 of 152 · score 7.7 · employment drawdown -37.7% (Great Recession), -62.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 115 of 152 · score 27.8 · establishment exit rate 8.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4512 is part of NAICS 2022 4592 in the AI study (4592 from 4512,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,132 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Grocery and Related Product Merchant Wholesalers (4244)

NAICS 2017: 4244 · Grocery and Related Product Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 82 of 152 · index 46.8 · 11,086 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 268.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 30.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 37 of 152 · score 66.1 · employment drawdown -3.2% (Great Recession), -9.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 49 of 152 · score 64.3 · establishment exit rate 8.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 12.2% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4244 · confidence High (4244: High) · 1,400 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 15,492 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L4

General Rental Centers (5323)

NAICS 2017: 5323 · General Rental Centers · Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 83 of 152 · index 46.1 · 1,029 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 957.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 9.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 149 of 152 · score 13.0 · employment drawdown -42.3% (Great Recession), -24.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 60 of 152 · score 57.4 · establishment exit rate 8.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 10.1% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 532M2 · confidence Low (532M2: Low) · 328 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,350 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 532M2 (Consumer goods rental, and general rental centers), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Professional and Commercial Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers (4234)

NAICS 2017: 4234 · Professional and Commercial Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 84 of 152 · index 45.4 · 8,457 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 273.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 30.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 51 of 152 · score 60.4 · employment drawdown -12.0% (Great Recession), -2.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 95 of 152 · score 38.9 · establishment exit rate 9.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 19.5% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4234 · confidence Medium (4234: Medium) · 661 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 14 of 81 · score 65.3 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 58.0 · leverage rank 30 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 12,848 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L4

Technical and Trade Schools (6115)

NAICS 2017: 6115 · Technical and Trade Schools · Educational Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 85 of 152 · index 45.3 · 3,343 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 579.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 14.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 61 of 152 · score 57.6 · employment drawdown -7.8% (Great Recession), -21.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 88 of 152 · score 42.8 · establishment exit rate 9.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 21.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 611M2 · confidence Low (611M2: Low) · 268 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 4,401 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 611M2 (Business, trade and technical schools, and computer and management training), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Building Material and Supplies Dealers (4441)

NAICS 2017: 4441 · Building Material and Supplies Dealers · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 86 of 152 · index 44.8 · 17,714 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 214.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 39.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 66 of 152 · score 55.2 · employment drawdown -14.4% (Great Recession), 0.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 5 of 152 · score 90.7 · establishment exit rate 4.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: AI study code 4441 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4441,4541,4543
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 29,419 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Traveler Accommodation (7211)

NAICS 2017: 7211 · Traveler Accommodation · Accommodation and Food Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 87 of 152 · index 44.5 · 29,326 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 222.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 34.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 66 of 152 · score 55.2 · employment drawdown -6.1% (Great Recession), -54.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 77 of 152 · score 52.0 · establishment exit rate 8.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 16.6% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 7211 · confidence High (7211: High) · 1,209 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 38,212 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: L4

Vending Machine Operators (4542)

NAICS 2017: 4542 · Vending Machine Operators · Retail Trade
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 88 of 152 · index 43.8 · 645 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 604.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 15.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 145 of 152 · score 16.0 · employment drawdown -27.1% (Great Recession), -34.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 134 of 152 · score 17.8 · establishment exit rate 12.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 11.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,040 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing (3152)

NAICS 2017: 3152 · Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 89 of 152 · index 43.2 · 1,613 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 619.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 13.9 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 151 of 152 · score 10.0 · employment drawdown -36.5% (Great Recession), -40.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 151 of 152 · score 2.4 · establishment exit rate 17.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 15.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 16.7% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 315M · confidence Low (315M: Low) · 348 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 61 of 81 · score 36.2 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 71.0 · leverage rank 8 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 1,635 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 315M (Cut and sew, and apparel accessories and other apparel manufacturing), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L5, L6

Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events (7113)

NAICS 2017: 7113 · Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events · Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 90 of 152 · index 43.0 · 2,585 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 427.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 20.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 52 of 152 · score 60.4 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -61.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 114 of 152 · score 29.1 · establishment exit rate 10.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 12.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 711M · confidence Medium (711M: Medium) · 420 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 32 of 81 · score 51.4 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 62.3 · leverage rank 26 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 2,862 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 711M (Promoters of performing arts, sports, and similar events, agents and managers for artists, athletes, entertainers, and other public figures), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L4

Furniture and Home Furnishing Merchant Wholesalers (4232)

NAICS 2017: 4232 · Furniture and Home Furnishing Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 91 of 152 · index 42.5 · 4,423 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 490.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 16.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 117 of 152 · score 34.4 · employment drawdown -21.8% (Great Recession), -16.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 54 of 152 · score 61.1 · establishment exit rate 8.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 23.9% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4232 · confidence Low (4232: Low) · 301 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 5,655 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Newspaper, Periodical, Book, and Directory Publishers (5111)

NAICS 2017: 5111 · Newspaper, Periodical, Book, and Directory Publishers · Information
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 92 of 152 · index 41.7 · 4,059 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 338.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 25.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 138 of 152 · score 20.3 · employment drawdown -33.4% (Great Recession), -18.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 104 of 152 · score 35.2 · establishment exit rate 9.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 5111 is part of NAICS 2022 5131 in the AI study (5131 from 5111,5191); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 6,143 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Household Appliances and Electrical and Electronic Goods Merchant Wholesalers (4236)

NAICS 2017: 4236 · Household Appliances and Electrical and Electronic Goods Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 93 of 152 · index 41.5 · 7,244 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 270.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 30.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 28 of 152 · score 69.9 · employment drawdown -1.2% (Great Recession), -6.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 42 of 152 · score 69.6 · establishment exit rate 7.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 18.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4236 · confidence Medium (4236: Medium) · 487 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 13,514 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L4

Other Information Services (5191)

NAICS 2017: 5191 · Other Information Services · Information
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 94 of 152 · index 40.8 · 2,935 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 248.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 36.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 2 of 152 · score 87.2 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), 0.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 124 of 152 · score 22.5 · establishment exit rate 12.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 5191 is part of NAICS 2022 5192, 5162, 5131 in the AI study (5192 from 5191; 5162 from 5151,5152,5191; 5131 from 5111,5191); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,933 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:many
Buyer lenses met: none

Household and Institutional Furniture and Kitchen Cabinet Manufacturing (3371)

NAICS 2017: 3371 · Household and Institutional Furniture and Kitchen Cabinet Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 95 of 152 · index 40.8 · 4,435 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 368.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 23.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 139 of 152 · score 19.2 · employment drawdown -39.0% (Great Recession), -24.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 61 of 152 · score 56.9 · establishment exit rate 8.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 8.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 337 · confidence Medium (337: Medium) · 993 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 4,499 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 337 (Furniture and related product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Textile Product Mills (3149)

NAICS 2017: 3149 · Other Textile Product Mills · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 96 of 152 · index 39.2 · 1,639 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 544.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 15.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 118 of 152 · score 33.8 · employment drawdown -18.6% (Great Recession), -21.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 80 of 152 · score 49.9 · establishment exit rate 8.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 19.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 314Z · confidence Low (314Z: Low) · 219 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 67 of 81 · score 33.9 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 69.1 · leverage rank 12 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 1,737 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 314Z (Textile product mills, except carpet and rug), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L5, L6

Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing (3118)

NAICS 2017: 3118 · Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 97 of 152 · index 38.7 · 6,440 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 325.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 24.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 78 of 152 · score 51.6 · employment drawdown -6.5% (Great Recession), -18.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 76 of 152 · score 52.0 · establishment exit rate 9.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 11.3% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 311811;3118Z · confidence Low (311811: Medium; 3118Z: Low) · 761 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 58 of 81 · score 37.2 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 37.0 · leverage rank 61 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 6,903 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers (4231)

NAICS 2017: 4231 · Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 98 of 152 · index 37.6 · 6,032 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 274.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 29.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 64 of 152 · score 56.1 · employment drawdown -9.7% (Great Recession), -9.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 31 of 152 · score 76.0 · establishment exit rate 7.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 17.3% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4231 · confidence Medium (4231: Medium) · 588 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 43 of 81 · score 45.0 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 71.0 · leverage rank 10 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 12,712 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L4, L6

Automobile Dealers (4411)

NAICS 2017: 4411 · Automobile Dealers · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 99 of 152 · index 37.6 · 18,826 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 211.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 32.5 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 115 of 152 · score 35.3 · employment drawdown -18.1% (Great Recession), -21.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 52 of 152 · score 61.7 · establishment exit rate 8.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 16.2% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4411 · confidence High (4411: High) · 2,203 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 40 of 81 · score 47.0 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 61.1 · leverage rank 28 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 23,645 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L4, L6

Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment Rental and Leasing (5324)

NAICS 2017: 5324 · Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment Rental and Leasing · Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 100 of 152 · index 37.0 · 3,363 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 360.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 23.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 75 of 152 · score 51.9 · employment drawdown -12.6% (Great Recession), -17.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 75 of 152 · score 52.2 · establishment exit rate 7.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.4% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 53M · confidence Low (53M: Low) · 281 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 8,352 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 53M (Commercial and industrial machinery and equipment, and nonfinancial intangible assets rental and leasing), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Telecommunications (5179)

NAICS 2017: 5179 · Other Telecommunications · Information
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 101 of 152 · index 36.8 · 1,029 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 440.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 20.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 91 of 152 · score 44.4 · employment drawdown -24.6% (Great Recession), -0.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 150 of 152 · score 3.6 · establishment exit rate 14.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 12.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,912 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: 2017to2022_many:many
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction (2379)

NAICS 2017: 2379 · Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction · Construction
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 102 of 152 · index 36.6 · 2,010 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 460.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 18.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 69 of 152 · score 54.5 · employment drawdown -11.2% (Great Recession), -8.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 91 of 152 · score 41.4 · establishment exit rate 9.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 72 of 81 · score 29.1 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 63.6 · leverage rank 21 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 2,110 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L5

Utility System Construction (2371)

NAICS 2017: 2371 · Utility System Construction · Construction
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 103 of 152 · index 36.3 · 9,239 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 232.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 33.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 86 of 152 · score 46.5 · employment drawdown -13.9% (Great Recession), -11.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 67 of 152 · score 55.2 · establishment exit rate 8.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 73 of 81 · score 28.6 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 58.0 · leverage rank 30 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 10,368 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L5

Investigation and Security Services (5616)

NAICS 2017: 5616 · Investigation and Security Services · Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 104 of 152 · index 36.0 · 8,748 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 176.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 46.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 16 of 152 · score 77.5 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -10.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 98 of 152 · score 37.2 · establishment exit rate 10.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5616 · confidence High (5616: High) · 1,325 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 45 of 81 · score 44.1 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 27.2 · leverage rank 70 of 81 · quadrant Core Disruption Risk (3 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 11,748 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: L4

Beverage Manufacturing (3121)

NAICS 2017: 3121 · Beverage Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 105 of 152 · index 35.8 · 7,025 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 334.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 23.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 47 of 152 · score 62.3 · employment drawdown -7.3% (Great Recession), -19.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 17 of 152 · score 86.5 · establishment exit rate 6.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 5.9% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3121 · confidence Medium (3121: Medium) · 467 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 55 of 81 · score 38.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 48.8 · leverage rank 47 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 7,563 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Waste Collection (5621)

NAICS 2017: 5621 · Waste Collection · Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 106 of 152 · index 35.6 · 4,092 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 293.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 28.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 23 of 152 · score 72.8 · employment drawdown -5.1% (Great Recession), -3.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 39 of 152 · score 71.2 · establishment exit rate 6.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 13.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 562 · confidence Medium (562: Medium) · 955 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 78 of 81 · score 24.0 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 72.8 · leverage rank 6 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 6,407 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 562 (Waste management and remediation services), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L4, L5

Paper and Paper Product Merchant Wholesalers (4241)

NAICS 2017: 4241 · Paper and Paper Product Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 107 of 152 · index 34.8 · 2,442 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 374.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 22.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 121 of 152 · score 31.3 · employment drawdown -15.8% (Great Recession), -12.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 47 of 152 · score 66.5 · establishment exit rate 8.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 17.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4241 · confidence Low (4241: Low) · 128 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,628 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Outpatient Care Centers (6214)

NAICS 2017: 6214 · Outpatient Care Centers · Health Care and Social Assistance
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 108 of 152 · index 34.7 · 13,306 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 160.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 46.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 6 of 152 · score 83.8 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -4.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 12 of 152 · score 87.2 · establishment exit rate 5.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 11.7% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 6214 · confidence High (6214: High) · 3,644 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 37,782 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Chemical and Allied Products Merchant Wholesalers (4246)

NAICS 2017: 4246 · Chemical and Allied Products Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 109 of 152 · index 33.4 · 3,091 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 362.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 22.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 63 of 152 · score 56.2 · employment drawdown -10.1% (Great Recession), -4.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 26 of 152 · score 78.6 · establishment exit rate 6.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.6% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 424M · confidence Low (424M: Low) · 339 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 5,839 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 424M (Drugs, druggists' sundries, and chemical and allied products merchant wholesalers), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Lumber and Other Construction Materials Merchant Wholesalers (4233)

NAICS 2017: 4233 · Lumber and Other Construction Materials Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 110 of 152 · index 33.2 · 4,950 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 302.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 25.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 104 of 152 · score 37.7 · employment drawdown -32.2% (Great Recession), -7.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 38 of 152 · score 72.6 · establishment exit rate 6.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 19.1% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4233 · confidence Low (4233: Low) · 397 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 11,056 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Ambulatory Health Care Services (6219)

NAICS 2017: 6219 · Other Ambulatory Health Care Services · Health Care and Social Assistance
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 111 of 152 · index 32.5 · 5,217 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 244.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 32.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 8 of 152 · score 82.2 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -4.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 70 of 152 · score 54.2 · establishment exit rate 8.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 11.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 621M · confidence High (621M: High) · 1,167 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 30 of 81 · score 52.1 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs) · method sensitive
AI operating leverage: Score 54.3 · leverage rank 36 of 81 · quadrant AI Transformation (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 8,993 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 621M (Other health care services), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Scientific Research and Development Services (5417)

NAICS 2017: 5417 · Scientific Research and Development Services · Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 112 of 152 · index 31.4 · 6,733 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 148.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 53.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 25 of 152 · score 72.5 · employment drawdown -10.4% (Great Recession), 0.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 83 of 152 · score 47.5 · establishment exit rate 11.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 13.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5417 · confidence Medium (5417: Medium) · 678 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 9,073 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: L4

Automotive Equipment Rental and Leasing (5321)

NAICS 2017: 5321 · Automotive Equipment Rental and Leasing · Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 113 of 152 · index 31.3 · 1,132 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 233.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 38.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 140 of 152 · score 18.6 · employment drawdown -24.6% (Great Recession), -29.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 93 of 152 · score 40.8 · establishment exit rate 7.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 10.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 14.0% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5321 · confidence Low (5321: Low) · 221 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 49 of 81 · score 41.5 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 57.4 · leverage rank 32 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (4 of 8 specifications agree; not stable)
Establishments by state: 8,290 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Merchant Wholesalers (4235)

NAICS 2017: 4235 · Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 114 of 152 · index 30.1 · 3,237 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 346.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 22.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 103 of 152 · score 37.8 · employment drawdown -15.5% (Great Recession), -10.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 13 of 152 · score 87.0 · establishment exit rate 6.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 31.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4235 · confidence Low (4235: Low) · 158 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 5,151 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Hardware, and Plumbing and Heating Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers (4237)

NAICS 2017: 4237 · Hardware, and Plumbing and Heating Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 115 of 152 · index 29.9 · 4,593 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 265.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 29.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 58 of 152 · score 58.2 · employment drawdown -17.3% (Great Recession), -4.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 6 of 152 · score 90.5 · establishment exit rate 4.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.0% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 20.9% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4237 · confidence Low (4237: Low) · 396 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 11,632 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing (3391)

NAICS 2017: 3391 · Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 116 of 152 · index 28.9 · 3,154 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 217.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 38.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 74 of 152 · score 52.0 · employment drawdown -8.5% (Great Recession), -9.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 58 of 152 · score 59.2 · establishment exit rate 8.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 7.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 16.6% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3391 · confidence Medium (3391: Medium) · 659 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,813 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L4

Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers (4245)

NAICS 2017: 4245 · Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 117 of 152 · index 27.8 · 1,681 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 402.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 19.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 21 of 152 · score 73.6 · employment drawdown -0.8% (Great Recession), -4.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 21 of 152 · score 82.8 · establishment exit rate 5.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 19.6% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4245 · confidence Low (4245: Low) · 170 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 60 of 81 · score 36.5 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 85.2 · leverage rank 1 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 3,302 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L6

Architectural and Structural Metals Manufacturing (3323)

NAICS 2017: 3323 · Architectural and Structural Metals Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 118 of 152 · index 27.4 · 7,988 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 227.1 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 30.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 98 of 152 · score 40.4 · employment drawdown -25.1% (Great Recession), -8.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 16 of 152 · score 86.6 · establishment exit rate 6.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.2% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 332M · confidence Medium (332M: Medium) · 539 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 8,809 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 332M (Architectural and structural metals, and boiler, tank, and shipping container manufacturing), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L4

Home health care (6216)

NAICS 2017: 6216 · Home Health Care Services · Health Care and Social Assistance
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 119 of 152 · index 27.0 · 15,087 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 117.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 55.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 15 of 152 · score 79.0 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -6.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 86 of 152 · score 45.5 · establishment exit rate 9.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 13.3% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 6216 · confidence High (6216: High) · 1,197 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 22,701 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: L4

Metalworking Machinery Manufacturing (3335)

NAICS 2017: 3335 · Metalworking Machinery Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 120 of 152 · index 26.6 · 3,307 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 296.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 24.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 135 of 152 · score 23.5 · employment drawdown -22.1% (Great Recession), -15.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 14 of 152 · score 86.9 · establishment exit rate 5.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 25.7% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3335 · confidence Low (3335: Low) · 268 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,633 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Shoe Stores (4482)

NAICS 2017: 4482 · Shoe Stores · Retail Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 121 of 152 · index 26.4 · 1,911 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 185.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 48.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 116 of 152 · score 34.8 · employment drawdown -6.6% (Great Recession), -51.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 87 of 152 · score 44.4 · establishment exit rate 7.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 4482 is part of NAICS 2022 4582 in the AI study (4582 from 4482,4541,4543); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 14,121 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_many:1
Buyer lenses met: none

Software Publishers (5112)

NAICS 2017: 5112 · Software Publishers · Information
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 122 of 152 · index 26.4 · 4,979 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 126.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 64.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 17 of 152 · score 77.1 · employment drawdown -2.0% (Great Recession), 0.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 112 of 152 · score 30.1 · establishment exit rate 10.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 8.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5132 · confidence Low (5132: Low) · 122 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 5112 is part of NAICS 2022 5132 in the AI study (5132 from 5112); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 6,891 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories (6215)

NAICS 2017: 6215 · Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories · Health Care and Social Assistance
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 123 of 152 · index 25.8 · 3,721 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 212.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 37.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 7 of 152 · score 82.6 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -7.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 102 of 152 · score 35.8 · establishment exit rate 9.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 11.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 621M · confidence High (621M: High) · 1,167 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 8,009 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 621M (Other health care services), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Wood Product Manufacturing (3219)

NAICS 2017: 3219 · Other Wood Product Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 124 of 152 · index 24.5 · 4,673 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 228.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 32.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 114 of 152 · score 35.7 · employment drawdown -35.6% (Great Recession), -8.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 43 of 152 · score 68.4 · establishment exit rate 7.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 14.8% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 32199M;3219ZM · confidence Not rated (32199M: Not rated; 3219ZM: Medium) · 598 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 5,536 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 32199M (Manufactured home (mobile home) and prefabricated wood building manufacturing); 3219ZM (Miscellaneous wood product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services (5182)

NAICS 2017: 5182 · Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services · Information
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 124 of 152 · index 24.5 · 3,967 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 156.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 49.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 31 of 152 · score 68.8 · employment drawdown -4.7% (Great Recession), 0.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 143 of 152 · score 12.5 · establishment exit rate 12.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 9.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 5.7% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 5182 · confidence Low (5182: Low) · 209 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 6,580 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities (3328)

NAICS 2017: 3328 · Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 126 of 152 · index 24.0 · 3,025 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 288.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 24.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 128 of 152 · score 29.0 · employment drawdown -21.0% (Great Recession), -14.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 8 of 152 · score 89.6 · establishment exit rate 5.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 18.6% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3328 · confidence Low (3328: Low) · 171 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,589 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Drugs and Druggists' Sundries Merchant Wholesalers (4242)

NAICS 2017: 4242 · Drugs and Druggists' Sundries Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 127 of 152 · index 23.3 · 2,673 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 183.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 44.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 4 of 152 · score 85.9 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -3.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 71 of 152 · score 54.0 · establishment exit rate 8.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 8.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.6% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 424M · confidence Low (424M: Low) · 339 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 4,624 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 424M (Drugs, druggists' sundries, and chemical and allied products merchant wholesalers), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction (2373)

NAICS 2017: 2373 · Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction · Construction
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 128 of 152 · index 19.2 · 4,787 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 189.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 36.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 112 of 152 · score 35.9 · employment drawdown -19.9% (Great Recession), -18.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 34 of 152 · score 74.9 · establishment exit rate 7.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 23 · confidence High (23: High) · 42,594 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 77 of 81 · score 24.6 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 54.3 · leverage rank 36 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 5,164 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: L5

Office Furniture (including Fixtures) Manufacturing (3372)

NAICS 2017: 3372 · Office Furniture (including Fixtures) Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 129 of 152 · index 18.7 · 2,081 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 238.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 29.9 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 133 of 152 · score 25.7 · employment drawdown -28.1% (Great Recession), -16.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 35 of 152 · score 74.8 · establishment exit rate 7.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 8.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 337 · confidence Medium (337: Medium) · 993 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 2,157 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 337 (Furniture and related product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing (3279)

NAICS 2017: 3279 · Other Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 130 of 152 · index 18.3 · 1,706 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 246.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 29.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 100 of 152 · score 40.0 · employment drawdown -24.8% (Great Recession), -12.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 29 of 152 · score 76.6 · establishment exit rate 6.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 12.9% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3279 · confidence Low (3279: Low) · 157 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 2,122 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Waste Treatment and Disposal (5622)

NAICS 2017: 5622 · Waste Treatment and Disposal · Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 131 of 152 · index 18.0 · 683 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 216.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 38.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 72 of 152 · score 52.7 · employment drawdown -20.6% (Great Recession), -1.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 37 of 152 · score 73.5 · establishment exit rate 5.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 13.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 562 · confidence Medium (562: Medium) · 955 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 69 of 81 · score 32.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 72.2 · leverage rank 7 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 1,715 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 562 (Waste management and remediation services), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: L4, L5, L6

Petroleum and Petroleum Products Merchant Wholesalers (4247)

NAICS 2017: 4247 · Petroleum and Petroleum Products Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 132 of 152 · index 16.8 · 1,971 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 236.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 27.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 77 of 152 · score 51.7 · employment drawdown -3.9% (Great Recession), -7.1% (2020)
Durability: Rank 33 of 152 · score 75.1 · establishment exit rate 5.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 17.6% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4247 · confidence Low (4247: Low) · 205 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,510 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: none

Textile Furnishings Mills (3141)

NAICS 2017: 3141 · Textile Furnishings Mills · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 133 of 152 · index 16.6 · 568 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 216.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 37.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 148 of 152 · score 13.9 · employment drawdown -32.2% (Great Recession), -26.6% (2020)
Durability: Rank 78 of 152 · score 50.1 · establishment exit rate 8.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 21.3% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 31411;314Z · confidence Not rated (31411: Not rated; 314Z: Low) · 257 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 595 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 31411 (Carpet and rug mills); 314Z (Textile product mills, except carpet and rug), which also covers other industries.
Buyer lenses met: none

Radio and Television Broadcasting (5151)

NAICS 2017: 5151 · Radio and Television Broadcasting · Information
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 134 of 152 · index 16.6 · 1,955 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 132.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 61.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 97 of 152 · score 41.0 · employment drawdown -15.5% (Great Recession), -10.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 74 of 152 · score 52.5 · establishment exit rate 8.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: NAICS 2017 5151 is part of NAICS 2022 5161, 5162 in the AI study (5161 from 5151; 5162 from 5151,5152,5191); not an exact match
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,897 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_1:many
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing (3329)

NAICS 2017: 3329 · Other Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 135 of 152 · index 15.9 · 2,995 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 154.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 45.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 83 of 152 · score 47.0 · employment drawdown -12.7% (Great Recession), -9.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 18 of 152 · score 85.5 · establishment exit rate 6.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.2% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 16.6% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 33299M;332MZ · confidence Not rated (33299M: Not rated; 332MZ: Medium) · 603 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,386 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 33299M (Ordnance); 332MZ (Miscellaneous fabricated metal product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Sawmills and Wood Preservation (3211)

NAICS 2017: 3211 · Sawmills and Wood Preservation · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 136 of 152 · index 13.0 · 1,517 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 204.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 34.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 122 of 152 · score 30.7 · employment drawdown -30.5% (Great Recession), -6.8% (2020)
Durability: Rank 32 of 152 · score 75.5 · establishment exit rate 6.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.8% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 14.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3211 · confidence Low (3211: Low) · 219 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 81 of 81 · score 21.7 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 53.7 · leverage rank 38 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 1,837 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Buyer lenses met: L5

Amusement Parks and Arcades (7131)

NAICS 2017: 7131 · Amusement Parks and Arcades · Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 137 of 152 · index 12.1 · 1,776 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 118.4 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 65.8 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 55 of 152 · score 59.0 · employment drawdown 0.0% (Great Recession), -77.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 135 of 152 · score 17.3 · establishment exit rate 14.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 12.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 8.1% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 713Z · confidence High (713Z: High) · 3,299 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 2,065 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 713Z (Other amusement, gambling, and recreation industries), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Residential Care Facilities (6239)

NAICS 2017: 6239 · Other Residential Care Facilities · Health Care and Social Assistance
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 138 of 152 · index 11.4 · 2,006 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 186.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 34.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 113 of 152 · score 35.9 · employment drawdown -13.9% (Great Recession), -8.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 69 of 152 · score 54.6 · establishment exit rate 8.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.7% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 623M · confidence Not rated (623M: Not rated) · 728 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,919 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 623M (Residential care facilities, except skilled nursing facilities), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Beer, Wine, and Distilled Alcoholic Beverage Merchant Wholesalers (4248)

NAICS 2017: 4248 · Beer, Wine, and Distilled Alcoholic Beverage Merchant Wholesalers · Wholesale Trade
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 139 of 152 · index 9.9 · 1,671 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 122.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 58.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 13 of 152 · score 79.2 · employment drawdown -1.0% (Great Recession), -5.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 25 of 152 · score 78.7 · establishment exit rate 7.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 18.7% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 4248 · confidence Low (4248: Low) · 194 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 2,316 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Soap, Cleaning Compound, and Toilet Preparation Manufacturing (3256)

NAICS 2017: 3256 · Soap, Cleaning Compound, and Toilet Preparation Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 140 of 152 · index 9.8 · 1,093 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 147.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 48.7 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 46 of 152 · score 62.5 · employment drawdown -14.5% (Great Recession), -5.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 28 of 152 · score 77.1 · establishment exit rate 7.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 6.1% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3256 · confidence Low (3256: Low) · 144 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,243 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Other Food Manufacturing (3119)

NAICS 2017: 3119 · Other Food Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 141 of 152 · index 9.3 · 2,039 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 113.3 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 61.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 14 of 152 · score 79.0 · employment drawdown -0.5% (Great Recession), -4.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 36 of 152 · score 74.4 · establishment exit rate 7.7% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.4% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 311M2 · confidence Low (311M2: Low) · 268 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 66 of 81 · score 34.4 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 47.5 · leverage rank 49 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (7 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 2,357 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 311M2 (Seafood and other miscellaneous foods, n.e.c.), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: L5

Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing (3113)

NAICS 2017: 3113 · Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 142 of 152 · index 8.7 · 1,041 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 140.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 50.6 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 79 of 152 · score 50.9 · employment drawdown -10.2% (Great Recession), -17.2% (2020)
Durability: Rank 30 of 152 · score 76.0 · establishment exit rate 7.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 12.9% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3113 · confidence Not rated (3113: Not rated) · 79 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 52 of 81 · score 39.2 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 41.4 · leverage rank 54 of 81 · quadrant AI Insulated (8 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 1,122 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Industrial machinery makers (3332)

NAICS 2017: 3332 · Industrial Machinery Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 143 of 152 · index 8.3 · 1,598 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 150.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 42.1 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 106 of 152 · score 37.6 · employment drawdown -28.5% (Great Recession), -7.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 10 of 152 · score 88.0 · establishment exit rate 6.0% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.6% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,783 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

General purpose machinery makers (3339)

NAICS 2017: 3339 · Other General Purpose Machinery Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 144 of 152 · index 7.5 · 3,030 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 97.0 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 60.9 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 76 of 152 · score 51.7 · employment drawdown -17.2% (Great Recession), -7.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 2 of 152 · score 95.1 · establishment exit rate 5.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 3.9% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): blank (not estimated) · not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 3,591 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Cement and concrete product makers (3273)

NAICS 2017: 3273 · Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: High (min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023)
Acquisition supply: Rank 145 of 152 · index 7.0 · 2,549 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 125.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 49.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 111 of 152 · score 36.0 · employment drawdown -35.4% (Great Recession), -6.9% (2020)
Durability: Rank 22 of 152 · score 82.6 · establishment exit rate 4.8% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 9.7% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 327M · confidence Low (327M: Low) · 205 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 6,057 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 327M (Cement, concrete, lime, and gypsum product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Commercial and service machinery makers (3333)

NAICS 2017: 3333 · Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 146 of 152 · index 5.7 · 845 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 131.8 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 49.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 102 of 152 · score 39.0 · employment drawdown -17.6% (Great Recession), -9.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 20 of 152 · score 83.1 · establishment exit rate 7.1% a year · firm shutdown rate 5.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3333 · confidence Not rated (3333: Not rated) · 88 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 976 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Other chemical product makers (3259)

NAICS 2017: 3259 · Other Chemical Product and Preparation Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 147 of 152 · index 5.3 · 935 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 126.2 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 49.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 108 of 152 · score 36.8 · employment drawdown -19.3% (Great Recession), -7.7% (2020)
Durability: Rank 27 of 152 · score 78.3 · establishment exit rate 7.3% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.1% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 14.1% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 325M · confidence Not rated (325M: Not rated) · 272 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,359 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 325M (Basic chemical manufacturing, and other chemical product and preparation manufacturing), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Glass product makers (3272)

NAICS 2017: 3272 · Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 148 of 152 · index 5.2 · 552 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 109.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 67.3 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 132 of 152 · score 26.7 · employment drawdown -18.8% (Great Recession), -18.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 46 of 152 · score 67.4 · establishment exit rate 7.9% a year · firm shutdown rate 6.5% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.8% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3272 · confidence Low (3272: Low) · 191 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 695 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Animal feed makers (3111)

NAICS 2017: 3111 · Animal Food Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 149 of 152 · index 4.2 · 679 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 128.9 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 50.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 18 of 152 · score 74.9 · employment drawdown -4.0% (Great Recession), 0.0% (2020)
Durability: Rank 7 of 152 · score 90.0 · establishment exit rate 4.5% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 15.9% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 311M1 · confidence Low (311M1: Low) · 163 sample records
AI exposure: Rank 59 of 81 · score 36.8 (modeled estimate, not a share of jobs)
AI operating leverage: Score 63.0 · leverage rank 24 of 81 · quadrant AI Leverage Opportunity (6 of 8 specifications agree)
Establishments by state: 1,299 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 311M1 (Animal food, grain and oilseed milling), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: L6

Paint and coatings makers (3255)

NAICS 2017: 3255 · Paint, Coating, and Adhesive Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 150 of 152 · index 3.0 · 742 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 117.6 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 55.2 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 84 of 152 · score 46.6 · employment drawdown -21.4% (Great Recession), -7.4% (2020)
Durability: Rank 4 of 152 · score 92.0 · establishment exit rate 5.4% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.3% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 26.7% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3255 · confidence Not rated (3255: Not rated) · 59 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,052 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Electrical equipment makers (3353)

NAICS 2017: 3353 · Electrical Equipment Manufacturing · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 151 of 152 · index 1.1 · 887 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 77.7 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 76.0 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 109 of 152 · score 36.6 · employment drawdown -19.6% (Great Recession), -7.3% (2020)
Durability: Rank 3 of 152 · score 92.6 · establishment exit rate 6.2% a year · firm shutdown rate 4.4% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 16.4% of incorporated self-employed people · pooled ACS group 335M · confidence Low (335M: Low) · 304 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,054 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Grouping note: Owner age is for the ACS group 335M (Electric lighting and electrical equipment manufacturing, and other electrical component manufacturing, n.e.c.), which also covers other industries.
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Forging and stamping (3321)

NAICS 2017: 3321 · Forging and Stamping · Manufacturing
Study confidence: Medium (min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000)
Acquisition supply: Rank 152 of 152 · index 0.8 · 1,148 firms with 5 to 99 employees · 92.5 firms under 20 per 10,000 employees · 54.4 employees per firm
Recession resistance: Rank 130 of 152 · score 28.5 · employment drawdown -19.0% (Great Recession), -17.5% (2020)
Durability: Rank 1 of 152 · score 97.1 · establishment exit rate 4.6% a year · firm shutdown rate 3.7% a year (2014 to 2023). An exit is not a failure.
Owners 65+ (people, not firms): 22.4% of incorporated self-employed people · exact ACS group 3321 · confidence Not rated (3321: Not rated) · 77 sample records
AI exposure: blank (not estimated) · not joined: no AI study row for this code
AI operating leverage: blank (not estimated)
Establishments by state: 1,382 establishments with 5 to 99 employees nationally (U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2022; establishments, not firms) · State view
Supply data flags: large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm
Buyer lenses met: none

Methodology

The Atlas recomputes no score. It joins the published files of five studies on the four digit NAICS code: supply, recession resistance and durability exactly; owner age only through the crosswalk the supply study already used; AI exposure only where the AI study row has the same code and the same NAICS 2017 parent. Confidence tiers are carried over from each source. Full rules, counts and QA: Atlas methodology.

Data download

Field definitions are on the dataset page.

Suggested citation

Cite as: Business Buyer School, Small Business Acquisition Industry Atlas, https://businessbuyerschool.com/research/small-business-industry-atlas/. Version atlas-2026.2. Published October 6, 2026.

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Take this into your search

The Atlas narrows the industries to look at. These parts of the school turn that into a search and a first screen of a real business.

Write your Buy Box: set the type of business, size and hard exclusions before you search.
Write the buy box before you search: what you will buy and what you will refuse, before a listing pulls you in.
Initial screen: a first pass on a specific listing.
Owner dependence: what leaves with the seller: what lives in the seller's head or name, and what to require so it does not leave.
See the curriculum or start free with Business Buyer School.