{ "name": "Business Buyer School Small Business Acquisition Industry Atlas", "version": "atlas-2026.2", "datePublished": "2026-10-06", "url": "https://businessbuyerschool.com/research/small-business-industry-atlas/data/", "creator": "Business Buyer School", "rows": 152, "note": "No combined score. Each measure comes from its own study; buyer lenses are the filter rules below. Blank values are not estimated.", "buyer_lenses": [ { "id": "L1", "name": "More businesses to investigate", "rule": "Acquisition supply rank 1 to 38 (the top quarter of 152)." }, { "id": "L2", "name": "Supply and resilience", "rule": "Acquisition supply rank 1 to 76 AND recession resistance rank 1 to 76 (top half of 152 on both)." }, { "id": "L3", "name": "Supply and durability", "rule": "Acquisition supply rank 1 to 76 AND durability rank 1 to 76 (top half of 152 on both)." }, { "id": "L4", "name": "Succession opportunity", "rule": "Owner age mapped, owner age confidence High or Medium, AND share of owners 65 or older at or above 12.20%, the median of the 75 industries that meet the first two conditions. Owner age counts people, not firms, and age is not intent to sell." }, { "id": "L5", "name": "Lower AI exposure", "rule": "Ranked by the AI Exposure Study (coverage gate met) AND AI exposure rank 61 to 81 (the least exposed quarter of 81)." }, { "id": "L6", "name": "Higher AI operating leverage opportunity", "rule": "Ranked by the AI Opportunity Study AND quadrant “AI Leverage Opportunity” AND quadrant stable (same quadrant in at least 6 of 8 specifications). This is the study's staffing mix classification, not a finding that these industries will gain from AI." } ], "fields": { "naics": "Four digit NAICS 2017 code (the key of the supply, recession and durability studies).", "industry_name": "Official NAICS 2017 industry title.", "buyer_school_label": "Plain-language name used by Report 4 (blank where Report 4 has none).", "parent_sector": "NAICS sector.", "source_confidence": "Confidence tier shared by Reports 1, 2 and 4 (High or Medium for all 152).", "confidence_basis": "Size rule behind that tier.", "acquisition_supply_rank": "Report 4 rank of 152 (1 = highest Acquisition Supply Index).", "acquisition_supply_score": "Report 4 Acquisition Supply Index, model A (0 to 100).", "acquisition_supply_quartile": "1 = ranks 1 to 38, 4 = ranks 115 to 152.", "firms_5_99": "Report 4: firms with 5 to 99 employees, SUSB 2022.", "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "Report 4: firms under 20 employees per 10,000 employees (Buyable Business Density).", "employees_per_firm": "Report 4: employment divided by firms, SUSB 2022.", "recession_resistance_rank": "Report 1 rank of 152 (1 = held up best).", "recession_resistance_score": "Report 1 Recession Resistance Score, model A (0 to 100).", "recession_resistance_quartile": "1 = ranks 1 to 38, 4 = ranks 115 to 152.", "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "Report 1: min(0, trough / 2007 - 1) in percent, BDS March employment. Pack field great_recession_employment_change.", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "Report 1: min(0, trough / 2019 average - 1) in percent, QCEW monthly. Pack field covid_employment_change.", "durability_rank": "Report 2 rank of 152 (1 = most durable).", "durability_score": "Report 2 Durability Score, model A (0 to 100).", "durability_quartile": "1 = ranks 1 to 38, 4 = ranks 115 to 152.", "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "Report 2: average annual establishment exit rate 2014 to 2023. An exit is not a failure.", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "Report 2: average annual firm shutdown rate 2014 to 2023.", "owner_65_plus_pct": "Report 3 share of incorporated self-employed people aged 65 or older in the ACS group(s) containing the industry, as attached by Report 4. People, not firms. Blank = not mappable.", "owner_age_basis": "Report 4: exact ACS group / pooled ACS group (shared with other industries) / not mappable.", "owner_acs_groups": "ACS industry group codes behind the owner age value.", "owner_age_confidence": "Weakest Report 3 tier among those ACS groups (High, Medium, Low; Not rated = a group outside the Report 3 universe).", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "Each ACS group with its Report 3 tier.", "owner_age_sample_records": "Unweighted ACS PUMS records behind the owner age value (Report 4 derived file).", "ai_join_status": "ranked / matched, not ranked / not joined, with the reason in ai_note.", "ai_exposure_rank": "AI Exposure Study rank of 81 (1 = most exposed). Blank unless the study ranked the industry.", "ai_exposure_score": "AI Exposure Score, index points 0 to 100. A Business Buyer School modeled estimate, not a share of jobs, tasks or revenue.", "ai_exposure_quartile": "Quartile of the 81 ranks: 1 = ranks 1 to 20, 4 = ranks 61 to 81.", "ai_method_sensitive_flag": "AI study flag: rank changes materially across exposure measures.", "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "AI Opportunity Study operating leverage score (modeled estimate).", "ai_leverage_rank": "AI Opportunity Study leverage rank of 81.", "ai_quadrant": "AI Opportunity Study quadrant (a classification, not a finding).", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": "Alternative specifications (of 8) that give the same quadrant.", "ai_quadrant_stable": "True when the quadrant holds in at least 6 of 8.", "ai_note": "Why AI values are blank, when they are.", "grouping_note": "Where the official code groups several businesses, or the owner age group is shared with other industries.", "supply_flags": "Report 4 data quality flags.", "buyer_lenses": "Buyer lens IDs this row meets (rules on the page and in the methodology).", "source_versions": "Package and calculation version of each joined study.", "atlas_version": "Atlas version." }, "records": [ { "naics": "2361", "industry_name": "Residential Building Construction", "buyer_school_label": "Home builders (residential building construction)", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 1, "acquisition_supply_score": "98.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 42078, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "2283.2", "employees_per_firm": "4.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 120, "recession_resistance_score": "31.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-41.51", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-14.36", "durability_rank": 148, "durability_score": "5.9", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "14.3353", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.9673", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 57, "ai_exposure_score": "37.8322", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "79.6296", "ai_leverage_rank": 2, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5312", "industry_name": "Offices of Real Estate Agents and Brokers", "buyer_school_label": "Real estate agent and broker offices", "parent_sector": "Real Estate and Rental and Leasing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 2, "acquisition_supply_score": "98.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 10047, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "3584.1", "employees_per_firm": "2.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 96, "recession_resistance_score": "41.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-31.11", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.17", "durability_rank": 140, "durability_score": "15.0", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.3332", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.3082", "owner_65_plus_pct": "17.47", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "531M", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "531M: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 13581, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 531M (Lessors of real estate, and offices of real estate agents and brokers), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "8121", "industry_name": "Personal Care Services", "buyer_school_label": "Personal care (salons, barbers, nails)", "parent_sector": "Other Services (except Public Administration)", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 3, "acquisition_supply_score": "94.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 42203, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1818.4", "employees_per_firm": "5.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 39, "recession_resistance_score": "64.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-73.51", "durability_rank": 138, "durability_score": "16.2", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.627", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.803", "owner_65_plus_pct": "6.09", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "812111;812112;8121M", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "812111: Medium; 812112: High; 8121M: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 7194, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 38, "ai_exposure_score": "48.3422", "ai_exposure_quartile": 2, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": true, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "20.3704", "ai_leverage_rank": 75, "ai_quadrant": "Core Disruption Risk", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 6, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 812111 (Barber shops); 812112 (Beauty salons); 8121M (Nail salons and other personal care services), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "8111", "industry_name": "Automotive Repair and Maintenance", "buyer_school_label": "Auto repair and maintenance", "parent_sector": "Other Services (except Public Administration)", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 4, "acquisition_supply_score": "94.4", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 50407, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1492.4", "employees_per_firm": "6.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 68, "recession_resistance_score": "54.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.72", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.96", "durability_rank": 72, "durability_score": "54.0", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.3907", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.9607", "owner_65_plus_pct": "10.94", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "8111Z;811192", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "8111Z: High; 811192: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 5992, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 70, "ai_exposure_score": "30.2527", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "70.9877", "ai_leverage_rank": 8, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 4, "ai_quadrant_stable": false, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2;L3;L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5411", "industry_name": "Legal Services", "buyer_school_label": "Law firms", "parent_sector": "Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 5, "acquisition_supply_score": "93.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 42599, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1352.4", "employees_per_firm": "7.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 38, "recession_resistance_score": "66.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.64", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-5.12", "durability_rank": 41, "durability_score": "70.0", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.1678", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.5463", "owner_65_plus_pct": "21.21", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5411", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5411: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 9955, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 1, "ai_exposure_score": "86.955", "ai_exposure_quartile": 1, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": true, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "40.1235", "ai_leverage_rank": 57, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 6, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2;L3;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "6213", "industry_name": "Offices of Other Health Practitioners", "buyer_school_label": "Chiropractors, optometrists, physical therapists and similar practices", "parent_sector": "Health Care and Social Assistance", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 6, "acquisition_supply_score": "93.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 46197, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1372.9", "employees_per_firm": "6.9", "recession_resistance_rank": 19, "recession_resistance_score": "74.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-21.23", "durability_rank": 45, "durability_score": "68.3", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.7171", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.1397", "owner_65_plus_pct": "13.83", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "62131;62132;6213ZM", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "62131: High; 62132: Medium; 6213ZM: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 5536, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 13, "ai_exposure_score": "65.7865", "ai_exposure_quartile": 1, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": true, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "24.6914", "ai_leverage_rank": 72, "ai_quadrant": "Core Disruption Risk", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 4, "ai_quadrant_stable": false, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Report 1 note: Offices of other health practitioners (includes physical therapy).", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2;L3;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5416", "industry_name": "Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services", "buyer_school_label": "Management and technical consulting", "parent_sector": "Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 7, "acquisition_supply_score": "92.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 30531, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1198.7", "employees_per_firm": "7.9", "recession_resistance_rank": 5, "recession_resistance_score": "84.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-3.8", "durability_rank": 137, "durability_score": "16.3", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "15.2487", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.8407", "owner_65_plus_pct": "18.66", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5416", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5416: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 13179, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 4, "ai_exposure_score": "76.3795", "ai_exposure_quartile": 1, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "51.8519", "ai_leverage_rank": 40, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5311", "industry_name": "Lessors of Real Estate", "buyer_school_label": "Lessors of real estate (landlords, self-storage)", "parent_sector": "Real Estate and Rental and Leasing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 8, "acquisition_supply_score": "92.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 18543, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1610.6", "employees_per_firm": "5.9", "recession_resistance_rank": 36, "recession_resistance_score": "66.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.82", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.95", "durability_rank": 105, "durability_score": "34.6", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.0213", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.6855", "owner_65_plus_pct": "17.47", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "531M", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "531M: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 13581, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Report 1 note: Lessors of real estate (includes self-storage; not separable at 4 digits). Owner age is for the ACS group 531M (Lessors of real estate, and offices of real estate agents and brokers), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "2383", "industry_name": "Building Finishing Contractors", "buyer_school_label": "Finishing contractors (drywall, painting, flooring)", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 9, "acquisition_supply_score": "90.7", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 34544, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1390.6", "employees_per_firm": "6.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 136, "recession_resistance_score": "22.8", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-37.05", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-19.32", "durability_rank": 126, "durability_score": "19.9", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.5695", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.0923", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 75, "ai_exposure_score": "25.7391", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "67.9012", "ai_leverage_rank": 14, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 6, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5414", "industry_name": "Specialized Design Services", "buyer_school_label": "Specialized design (interior, graphic, industrial)", "parent_sector": "Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 10, "acquisition_supply_score": "90.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 6149, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "2786.1", "employees_per_firm": "3.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 101, "recession_resistance_score": "39.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.69", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-15.79", "durability_rank": 136, "durability_score": "16.4", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.5395", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.9058", "owner_65_plus_pct": "13.36", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5414", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5414: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 2975, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 12, "ai_exposure_score": "65.8254", "ai_exposure_quartile": 1, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "52.4691", "ai_leverage_rank": 39, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; 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56173: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 9695, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 80, "ai_exposure_score": "22.6079", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "56.7901", "ai_leverage_rank": 33, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Report 1 note: Services to buildings and dwellings (janitorial, landscaping, pest control and related; not separable at 4 digits).", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2;L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4453", "industry_name": "Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores", "buyer_school_label": "Liquor stores", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 14, "acquisition_supply_score": "86.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 10834, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1585.7", "employees_per_firm": "6.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 12, "recession_resistance_score": "79.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.62", "durability_rank": 40, "durability_score": "70.3", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.1502", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.291", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: AI study code 4453 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4453,4541,4543", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2;L3", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; 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recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5313", "industry_name": "Activities Related to Real Estate", "buyer_school_label": "Real estate services (property management, appraisal)", "parent_sector": "Real Estate and Rental and Leasing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 18, "acquisition_supply_score": "84.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 20863, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1067.6", "employees_per_firm": "8.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 20, "recession_resistance_score": "73.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.91", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.1", "durability_rank": 96, "durability_score": "38.1", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.7538", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.7708", "owner_65_plus_pct": "22.63", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5313", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5313: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 2309, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4539", "industry_name": "Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 20, "acquisition_supply_score": "83.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 14730, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1182.0", "employees_per_firm": "8.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 73, "recession_resistance_score": "52.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.5", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-21.51", "durability_rank": 110, "durability_score": "32.1", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.2026", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.9261", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4539 is part of NAICS 2022 4599 in the AI study (4599 from 4539,4541,4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:many", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5239", "industry_name": "Other Financial Investment Activities", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Finance and Insurance", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 21, "acquisition_supply_score": "82.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 12038, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "930.6", "employees_per_firm": "10.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 1, "recession_resistance_score": "87.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "durability_rank": 89, "durability_score": "41.9", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.8471", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.8781", "owner_65_plus_pct": "17.32", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "52M2", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "52M2: Not rated", "owner_age_sample_records": 4043, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 52M2 (Securities, commodities, funds, trusts, and other financial investments), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "2381", "industry_name": "Foundation, Structure, and Building Exterior Contractors", "buyer_school_label": "Foundation, framing, roofing and exterior contractors", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 22, "acquisition_supply_score": "81.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 35763, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1014.4", "employees_per_firm": "9.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 123, "recession_resistance_score": "30.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-42.14", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.95", "durability_rank": 123, "durability_score": "22.6", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.1962", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.5227", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 79, "ai_exposure_score": "23.6043", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "67.9012", "ai_leverage_rank": 14, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4841", "industry_name": "General Freight Trucking", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Transportation and Warehousing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 23, "acquisition_supply_score": "81.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 18378, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "816.2", "employees_per_firm": "11.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 65, "recession_resistance_score": "55.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-13.96", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.62", "durability_rank": 132, "durability_score": "18.0", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "13.7993", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.8832", "owner_65_plus_pct": "7.34", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "484", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "484: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 8024, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 484 (Truck transportation), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "2389", "industry_name": "Other Specialty Trade Contractors", "buyer_school_label": "Other specialty trade contractors", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 24, "acquisition_supply_score": "80.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 27947, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "977.0", "employees_per_firm": "9.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 105, "recession_resistance_score": "37.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-29.76", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-13.5", "durability_rank": 99, "durability_score": "36.6", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.0887", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.7317", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 76, "ai_exposure_score": "25.5059", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "67.9012", "ai_leverage_rank": 14, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 6, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "2382", "industry_name": "Building Equipment Contractors", "buyer_school_label": "HVAC, plumbing and electrical contractors", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 25, "acquisition_supply_score": "79.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 76499, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "762.5", "employees_per_firm": "11.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 92, "recession_resistance_score": "44.4", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-20.66", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.77", "durability_rank": 57, "durability_score": "60.0", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.1441", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.9651", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 64, "ai_exposure_score": "34.7099", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "62.963", "ai_leverage_rank": 22, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 4, "ai_quadrant_stable": false, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Report 1 note: Building equipment contractors (HVAC, plumbing, electrical and related; not separable at 4 digits). Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L3;L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "6116", "industry_name": "Other Schools and Instruction", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Educational Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 26, "acquisition_supply_score": "78.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 23159, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1026.7", "employees_per_firm": "8.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 32, "recession_resistance_score": "68.4", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-38.25", "durability_rank": 111, "durability_score": "31.7", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.2521", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.9977", "owner_65_plus_pct": "10.75", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "611M3", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "611M3: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 2833, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 611M3 (Other schools and instruction, and educational support services), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L1;L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4543", "industry_name": "Direct Selling Establishments", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 27, "acquisition_supply_score": "78.4", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 6981, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1235.1", "employees_per_firm": "7.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 85, "recession_resistance_score": "46.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.49", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.4", "durability_rank": 100, "durability_score": "36.4", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.2028", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.9531", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4543 is part of NAICS 2022 4492, 4582, 4583, 4592, 4581, 4591, 4561, 4599, 4491, 4453, 4441, 4593, 4442, 4413, 4572 in the AI study (4492 from 4431,4541,4543; 4582 from 4482,4541,4543; 4583 from 4483,4541,4543; 4592 from 4512,4541,4543; 4581 from 4481,4541,4543; 4591 from 4511,4541,4543; 4561 from 4461,4541,4543; 4599 from 4539,4541,4543; 4491 from 4421,4422,4541,4543; 4453 from 4453,4541,4543; 4441 from 4441,4541,4543; 4593 from 4531,4541,4543; 4442 from 4442,4541,4543; 4413 from 4413,4541,4543; 4572 from 4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:many", "buyer_lenses": "L1", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5419", "industry_name": "Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services", "buyer_school_label": "Other professional services (includes veterinary)", "parent_sector": "Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 28, "acquisition_supply_score": "76.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 1, "firms_5_99": 24033, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "813.9", "employees_per_firm": "11.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 29, "recession_resistance_score": "69.1", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-0.64", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-11.32", "durability_rank": 103, "durability_score": "35.6", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.5267", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.0331", "owner_65_plus_pct": "10.76", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "54194;5419Z", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "54194: High; 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recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "7224", "industry_name": "Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages)", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Accommodation and Food Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 41, "acquisition_supply_score": "69.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 23005, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "844.1", "employees_per_firm": "10.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 94, "recession_resistance_score": "43.1", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-2.38", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-74.39", "durability_rank": 139, "durability_score": "15.4", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.4136", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.853", "owner_65_plus_pct": "7.91", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "722Z;7224", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "722Z: High; 7224: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 13390, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 51, "ai_exposure_score": "39.2078", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": true, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "28.3951", "ai_leverage_rank": 67, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 722Z (Food services and drinking places, except alcoholic beverages); 7224 (Drinking places (alcoholic beverages)), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "8113", "industry_name": "Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Other Services (except Public Administration)", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 42, "acquisition_supply_score": "68.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 6898, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "894.1", "employees_per_firm": "10.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 45, "recession_resistance_score": "62.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.07", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.26", "durability_rank": 53, "durability_score": "61.7", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.2431", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.4576", "owner_65_plus_pct": "14.54", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "8113", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "8113: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1119, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 65, "ai_exposure_score": "34.6516", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "77.7778", "ai_leverage_rank": 3, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3;L4;L5;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5413", "industry_name": "Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 43, "acquisition_supply_score": "68.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 31619, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "510.7", "employees_per_firm": "17.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 40, "recession_resistance_score": "64.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.76", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-3.34", "durability_rank": 63, "durability_score": "56.7", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.5115", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.4354", "owner_65_plus_pct": "20.51", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5413", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5413: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 5622, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 10, "ai_exposure_score": "66.5667", "ai_exposure_quartile": 1, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "49.3827", "ai_leverage_rank": 45, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4239", "industry_name": "Miscellaneous Durable Goods Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 44, "acquisition_supply_score": "67.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 9989, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "748.7", "employees_per_firm": "11.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 62, "recession_resistance_score": "57.3", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.43", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-15.44", "durability_rank": 85, "durability_score": "45.8", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.7025", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.9256", "owner_65_plus_pct": "19.42", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "42393;4239Z", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "42393: Low; 4239Z: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 751, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4511", "industry_name": "Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 45, "acquisition_supply_score": "67.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 10461, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "565.2", "employees_per_firm": "16.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 88, "recession_resistance_score": "46.3", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.9", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-42.81", "durability_rank": 90, "durability_score": "41.4", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.7081", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.303", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4511 is part of NAICS 2022 4591 in the AI study (4591 from 4511,4541,4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "8122", "industry_name": "Death Care Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Other Services (except Public Administration)", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 46, "acquisition_supply_score": "66.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 6922, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "918.2", "employees_per_firm": "10.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 43, "recession_resistance_score": "64.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-2.14", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.91", "durability_rank": 9, "durability_score": "89.6", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.2214", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "3.5705", "owner_65_plus_pct": "29.22", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "8122", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "8122: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 660, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 33, "ai_exposure_score": "50.8392", "ai_exposure_quartile": 2, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "26.5432", "ai_leverage_rank": 71, "ai_quadrant": "Core Disruption Risk", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "2372", "industry_name": "Land Subdivision", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 47, "acquisition_supply_score": "66.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 988, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1861.3", "employees_per_firm": "5.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 146, "recession_resistance_score": "15.3", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-68.14", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-11.39", "durability_rank": 125, "durability_score": "21.6", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.8472", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.4223", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 23, "ai_exposure_score": "57.2252", "ai_exposure_quartile": 2, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": true, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "38.8889", "ai_leverage_rank": 59, "ai_quadrant": "Core Disruption Risk", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 5, "ai_quadrant_stable": false, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4884", "industry_name": "Support Activities for Road Transportation", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Transportation and Warehousing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 48, "acquisition_supply_score": "65.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 4434, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "938.5", "employees_per_firm": "9.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 26, "recession_resistance_score": "72.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-1.81", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-11.67", "durability_rank": 108, "durability_score": "34.2", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.8988", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.9482", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.31", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "488", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "488: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1854, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 74, "ai_exposure_score": "27.941", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": true, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "62.963", "ai_leverage_rank": 22, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 5, "ai_quadrant_stable": false, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 488 (Support activities for transportation), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4853", "industry_name": "Taxi and Limousine Service", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Transportation and Warehousing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 49, "acquisition_supply_score": "65.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 1619, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1424.8", "employees_per_firm": "6.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 93, "recession_resistance_score": "43.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-11.15", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-53.03", "durability_rank": 152, "durability_score": "0.4", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "18.9461", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "14.6943", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.38", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4853", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4853: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1763, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4422", "industry_name": "Home Furnishings Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 50, "acquisition_supply_score": "65.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 6562, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "634.0", "employees_per_firm": "14.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 147, "recession_resistance_score": "14.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-30.17", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-41.58", "durability_rank": 64, "durability_score": "56.4", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.792", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.7263", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4422 is part of NAICS 2022 4491 in the AI study (4491 from 4421,4422,4541,4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "L3", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "8112", "industry_name": "Electronic and Precision Equipment Repair and Maintenance", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Other Services (except Public Administration)", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 51, "acquisition_supply_score": "63.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 2647, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "895.5", "employees_per_firm": "10.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 95, "recession_resistance_score": "41.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-19.55", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.3", "durability_rank": 107, "durability_score": "34.4", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.1457", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.1249", "owner_65_plus_pct": "12.08", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "8112", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "8112: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 355, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 31, "ai_exposure_score": "52.0126", "ai_exposure_quartile": 2, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "68.5185", "ai_leverage_rank": 13, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "6114", "industry_name": "Business Schools and Computer and Management Training", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Educational Services", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 52, "acquisition_supply_score": "62.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 2227, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1034.1", "employees_per_firm": "8.9", "recession_resistance_rank": 53, "recession_resistance_score": "60.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.87", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.43", "durability_rank": 118, "durability_score": "26.3", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.0416", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.7399", "owner_65_plus_pct": "21.28", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "611M2", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "611M2: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 268, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 611M2 (Business, trade and technical schools, and computer and management training), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4461", "industry_name": "Health and Personal Care Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 53, "acquisition_supply_score": "62.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 19387, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "369.2", "employees_per_firm": "24.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 50, "recession_resistance_score": "60.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-5.53", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-16.62", "durability_rank": 51, "durability_score": "62.0", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.7948", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.2222", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4461 is part of NAICS 2022 4561 in the AI study (4561 from 4461,4541,4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5615", "industry_name": "Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 54, "acquisition_supply_score": "62.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 2597, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "672.8", "employees_per_firm": "14.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 134, "recession_resistance_score": "24.3", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-13.29", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-41.38", "durability_rank": 147, "durability_score": "6.5", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "16.1182", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.03", "owner_65_plus_pct": "18.24", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5615", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5615: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 955, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4413", "industry_name": "Automotive Parts, Accessories, and Tire Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 55, "acquisition_supply_score": "61.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 11756, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "430.4", "employees_per_firm": "21.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 48, "recession_resistance_score": "62.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.05", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-10.73", "durability_rank": 15, "durability_score": "86.8", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.6652", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.4299", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: AI study code 4413 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4413,4541,4543", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "7212", "industry_name": "RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Accommodation and Food Services", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 56, "acquisition_supply_score": "61.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 2428, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "1343.7", "employees_per_firm": "6.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 49, "recession_resistance_score": "61.1", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-5.02", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-44.94", "durability_rank": 59, "durability_score": "59.2", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.9573", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.8859", "owner_65_plus_pct": "23.67", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "721M", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "721M: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 263, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 39, "ai_exposure_score": "47.4159", "ai_exposure_quartile": 2, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "56.1728", "ai_leverage_rank": 34, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 4, "ai_quadrant_stable": false, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 721M (Recreational vehicle parks and camps, and rooming and boarding houses, dormitories, and workers' camps), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "6244", "industry_name": "Child Day Care Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Health Care and Social Assistance", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 57, "acquisition_supply_score": "60.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 36828, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "522.2", "employees_per_firm": "15.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 41, "recession_resistance_score": "64.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-33.27", "durability_rank": 81, "durability_score": "49.2", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.6193", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.711", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.46", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "6244", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "6244: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1822, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "7139", "industry_name": "Other Amusement and Recreation Industries", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 58, "acquisition_supply_score": "59.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 33742, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "433.7", "employees_per_firm": "19.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 57, "recession_resistance_score": "58.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-3.82", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-59.31", "durability_rank": 106, "durability_score": "34.4", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.9857", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.5622", "owner_65_plus_pct": "8.47", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "71395;713Z", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "71395: Not rated; 713Z: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 3366, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 48, "ai_exposure_score": "41.9705", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": true, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "37.037", "ai_leverage_rank": 61, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 6, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 71395 (Bowling centers); 713Z (Other amusement, gambling, and recreation industries), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4481", "industry_name": "Clothing Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 59, "acquisition_supply_score": "59.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 12228, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "280.8", "employees_per_firm": "33.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 89, "recession_resistance_score": "45.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-5.41", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-70.81", "durability_rank": 119, "durability_score": "26.0", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.979", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.9057", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4481 is part of NAICS 2022 4581 in the AI study (4581 from 4481,4541,4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "2362", "industry_name": "Nonresidential Building Construction", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 60, "acquisition_supply_score": "58.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 19586, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "482.0", "employees_per_firm": "17.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 119, "recession_resistance_score": "32.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-25.02", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.77", "durability_rank": 92, "durability_score": "40.9", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.2703", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.872", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 53, "ai_exposure_score": "39.1183", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "64.1975", "ai_leverage_rank": 20, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 5, "ai_quadrant_stable": false, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "7225", "industry_name": "Restaurants and Other Eating Places", "buyer_school_label": "Restaurants", "parent_sector": "Accommodation and Food Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 60, "acquisition_supply_score": "58.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 289301, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "314.2", "employees_per_firm": "24.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 60, "recession_resistance_score": "57.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-2.38", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-44.74", "durability_rank": 97, "durability_score": "37.6", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.8875", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.3074", "owner_65_plus_pct": "7.62", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "722Z", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "722Z: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 12875, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 722Z (Food services and drinking places, except alcoholic beverages), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4249", "industry_name": "Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 62, "acquisition_supply_score": "58.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 7707, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "557.3", "employees_per_firm": "15.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 87, "recession_resistance_score": "46.4", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.3", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.44", "durability_rank": 66, "durability_score": "55.2", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.351", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.6072", "owner_65_plus_pct": "21.75", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "42491;4249Z", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "42491: Low; 4249Z: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 929, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L3", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5223", "industry_name": "Activities Related to Credit Intermediation", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Finance and Insurance", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 63, "acquisition_supply_score": "57.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 3540, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "458.0", "employees_per_firm": "20.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 99, "recession_resistance_score": "40.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-30.78", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-2.02", "durability_rank": 133, "durability_score": "17.9", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.6485", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.3268", "owner_65_plus_pct": "13.04", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "522M", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "522M: Not rated", "owner_age_sample_records": 1658, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 522M (Nondepository credit intermediation and related activities), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4421", "industry_name": "Furniture Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 64, "acquisition_supply_score": "56.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 5863, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "580.0", "employees_per_firm": "15.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 143, "recession_resistance_score": "17.8", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-28.12", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-32.93", "durability_rank": 84, "durability_score": "47.0", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.0596", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.1987", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4421 is part of NAICS 2022 4491 in the AI study (4491 from 4421,4422,4541,4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5619", "industry_name": "Other Support Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 65, "acquisition_supply_score": "56.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 5864, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "532.4", "employees_per_firm": "16.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 110, "recession_resistance_score": "36.4", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.12", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-22.6", "durability_rank": 101, "durability_score": "36.0", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.013", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.6798", "owner_65_plus_pct": "14.79", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "561M", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "561M: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1164, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 44, "ai_exposure_score": "44.7757", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "75.9259", "ai_leverage_rank": 5, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 561M (Other administrative and other support services), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4442", "industry_name": "Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 66, "acquisition_supply_score": "56.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 6647, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "642.4", "employees_per_firm": "13.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 70, "recession_resistance_score": "53.8", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.17", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.43", "durability_rank": 24, "durability_score": "79.6", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.2344", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.9418", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: AI study code 4442 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4442,4541,4543", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4243", "industry_name": "Apparel, Piece Goods, and Notions Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 67, "acquisition_supply_score": "56.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 4499, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "655.1", "employees_per_firm": "13.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 131, "recession_resistance_score": "27.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-17.88", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-28.27", "durability_rank": 120, "durability_score": "24.6", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.3931", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.3086", "owner_65_plus_pct": "16.64", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4243", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4243: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 433, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 21, "ai_exposure_score": "59.3058", "ai_exposure_quartile": 2, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "62.963", "ai_leverage_rank": 24, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4431", "industry_name": "Electronics and Appliance Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 67, "acquisition_supply_score": "56.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 4927, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "523.2", "employees_per_firm": "17.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 129, "recession_resistance_score": "28.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-16.84", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-13.1", "durability_rank": 145, "durability_score": "12.2", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.9924", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.8643", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4431 is part of NAICS 2022 4492 in the AI study (4492 from 4431,4541,4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "7223", "industry_name": "Special Food Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Accommodation and Food Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 67, "acquisition_supply_score": "56.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 9072, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "341.0", "employees_per_firm": "26.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 42, "recession_resistance_score": "64.3", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-55.6", "durability_rank": 149, "durability_score": "5.0", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.9665", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.8295", "owner_65_plus_pct": "7.62", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "722Z", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "722Z: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 12875, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 722Z (Food services and drinking places, except alcoholic beverages), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5322", "industry_name": "Consumer Goods Rental", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Real Estate and Rental and Leasing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 70, "acquisition_supply_score": "54.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 3042, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "704.6", "employees_per_firm": "12.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 150, "recession_resistance_score": "10.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-36.59", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-34.25", "durability_rank": 144, "durability_score": "12.3", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.1891", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.257", "owner_65_plus_pct": "10.14", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "532M2", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "532M2: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 328, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 532M2 (Consumer goods rental, and general rental centers), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4533", "industry_name": "Used Merchandise Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 71, "acquisition_supply_score": "53.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 5005, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "547.1", "employees_per_firm": "16.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 59, "recession_resistance_score": "58.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-57.34", "durability_rank": 94, "durability_score": "40.7", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.5195", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.3351", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "L2", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3231", "industry_name": "Printing and Related Support Activities", "buyer_school_label": "Printing", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 72, "acquisition_supply_score": "53.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 9472, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "467.3", "employees_per_firm": "18.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 137, "recession_resistance_score": "22.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-26.81", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-19.61", "durability_rank": 56, "durability_score": "60.5", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.3512", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.8192", "owner_65_plus_pct": "18.74", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3231", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3231: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1269, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 46, "ai_exposure_score": "43.6432", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "66.6667", "ai_leverage_rank": 17, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L3;L4;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4238", "industry_name": "Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 73, "acquisition_supply_score": "53.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 17579, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "391.8", "employees_per_firm": "20.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 44, "recession_resistance_score": "63.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.89", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-5.84", "durability_rank": 11, "durability_score": "87.8", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.9982", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.1534", "owner_65_plus_pct": "24.5", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4238", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4238: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1103, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 34, "ai_exposure_score": "50.3791", "ai_exposure_quartile": 2, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "70.3704", "ai_leverage_rank": 11, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 1, "ai_quadrant_stable": false, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3;L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4451", "industry_name": "Grocery Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023; capped at Medium: BDS 2023 establishment re-match", "acquisition_supply_rank": 73, "acquisition_supply_score": "53.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 26849, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "214.5", "employees_per_firm": "40.9", "recession_resistance_rank": 11, "recession_resistance_score": "79.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-0.78", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-0.96", "durability_rank": 73, "durability_score": "53.8", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.527", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.9982", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "BDS_2023_rematch_level_shift_2015_2023;large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3399", "industry_name": "Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 75, "acquisition_supply_score": "50.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 6258, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "485.0", "employees_per_firm": "17.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 124, "recession_resistance_score": "29.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-25.87", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-21.96", "durability_rank": 65, "durability_score": "55.5", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.8539", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.7692", "owner_65_plus_pct": "12.21", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3399M;3399ZM", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3399M: Low; 3399ZM: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1287, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 3399M (Sporting and athletic goods, and doll, toy and game manufacturing); 3399ZM (Miscellaneous manufacturing, n.e.c.), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L3", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5629", "industry_name": "Remediation and Other Waste Management Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 76, "acquisition_supply_score": "49.7", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 2, "firms_5_99": 4887, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "560.4", "employees_per_firm": "15.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 27, "recession_resistance_score": "70.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-5.39", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.68", "durability_rank": 48, "durability_score": "64.5", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.7826", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.277", "owner_65_plus_pct": "13.32", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "562", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "562: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 955, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 63, "ai_exposure_score": "35.5592", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "77.1605", "ai_leverage_rank": 4, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 562 (Waste management and remediation services), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L2;L3;L4;L5;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4885", "industry_name": "Freight Transportation Arrangement", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Transportation and Warehousing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 77, "acquisition_supply_score": "49.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 5673, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "425.4", "employees_per_firm": "20.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 54, "recession_resistance_score": "59.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-11.53", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-6.32", "durability_rank": 67, "durability_score": "55.2", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.4845", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.9794", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.31", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "488", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "488: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1854, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 9, "ai_exposure_score": "69.6042", "ai_exposure_quartile": 1, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "51.2346", "ai_leverage_rank": 41, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 488 (Support activities for transportation), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3327", "industry_name": "Machine Shops; Turned Product; and Screw, Nut, and Bolt Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 78, "acquisition_supply_score": "48.9", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 11620, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "480.0", "employees_per_firm": "16.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 125, "recession_resistance_score": "29.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.12", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-13.14", "durability_rank": 19, "durability_score": "84.8", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.2501", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.8859", "owner_65_plus_pct": "22.75", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3327", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3327: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 965, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4412", "industry_name": "Other Motor Vehicle Dealers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 79, "acquisition_supply_score": "48.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 6366, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "558.2", "employees_per_firm": "14.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 127, "recession_resistance_score": "29.1", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-29.34", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-19.45", "durability_rank": 44, "durability_score": "68.4", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.1089", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.0563", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: AI study code 4412 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4412,4541", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5614", "industry_name": "Business Support Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 80, "acquisition_supply_score": "47.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 7626, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "256.5", "employees_per_firm": "34.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 80, "recession_resistance_score": "50.3", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-5.79", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-10.71", "durability_rank": 122, "durability_score": "23.4", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.1235", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.5024", "owner_65_plus_pct": "12.13", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5614", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5614: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1186, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 5, "ai_exposure_score": "76.0664", "ai_exposure_quartile": 1, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "38.2716", "ai_leverage_rank": 60, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4512", "industry_name": "Book Stores and News Dealers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 81, "acquisition_supply_score": "47.4", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 1246, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "588.2", "employees_per_firm": "15.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 152, "recession_resistance_score": "7.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-37.73", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-62.52", "durability_rank": 115, "durability_score": "27.8", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.7025", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.1327", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4512 is part of NAICS 2022 4592 in the AI study (4592 from 4512,4541,4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4244", "industry_name": "Grocery and Related Product Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 82, "acquisition_supply_score": "46.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 11086, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "268.9", "employees_per_firm": "30.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 37, "recession_resistance_score": "66.1", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-3.22", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.21", "durability_rank": 49, "durability_score": "64.3", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.2909", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.1871", "owner_65_plus_pct": "12.2", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4244", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4244: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1400, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5323", "industry_name": "General Rental Centers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Real Estate and Rental and Leasing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 83, "acquisition_supply_score": "46.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 1029, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "957.8", "employees_per_firm": "9.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 149, "recession_resistance_score": "13.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-42.26", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-24.04", "durability_rank": 60, "durability_score": "57.4", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.1696", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.3806", "owner_65_plus_pct": "10.14", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "532M2", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "532M2: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 328, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 532M2 (Consumer goods rental, and general rental centers), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4234", "industry_name": "Professional and Commercial Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 84, "acquisition_supply_score": "45.4", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 8457, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "273.6", "employees_per_firm": "30.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 51, "recession_resistance_score": "60.4", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-2.9", "durability_rank": 95, "durability_score": "38.9", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.9381", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.3286", "owner_65_plus_pct": "19.49", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4234", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4234: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 661, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 14, "ai_exposure_score": "65.3277", "ai_exposure_quartile": 1, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "58.0247", "ai_leverage_rank": 30, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "6115", "industry_name": "Technical and Trade Schools", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Educational Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 85, "acquisition_supply_score": "45.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 3343, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "579.9", "employees_per_firm": "14.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 61, "recession_resistance_score": "57.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.82", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-21.27", "durability_rank": 88, "durability_score": "42.8", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.199", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.06", "owner_65_plus_pct": "21.28", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "611M2", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "611M2: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 268, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 611M2 (Business, trade and technical schools, and computer and management training), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4441", "industry_name": "Building Material and Supplies Dealers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 86, "acquisition_supply_score": "44.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 17714, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "214.2", "employees_per_firm": "39.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 66, "recession_resistance_score": "55.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-14.43", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "durability_rank": 5, "durability_score": "90.7", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.8857", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.2925", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: AI study code 4441 combines NAICS 2017 codes 4441,4541,4543", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "7211", "industry_name": "Traveler Accommodation", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Accommodation and Food Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 87, "acquisition_supply_score": "44.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 29326, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "222.2", "employees_per_firm": "34.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 66, "recession_resistance_score": "55.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-6.11", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-54.75", "durability_rank": 77, "durability_score": "52.0", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.3663", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.2707", "owner_65_plus_pct": "16.61", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "7211", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "7211: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1209, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4542", "industry_name": "Vending Machine Operators", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 88, "acquisition_supply_score": "43.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 645, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "604.9", "employees_per_firm": "15.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 145, "recession_resistance_score": "16.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-27.08", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-34.89", "durability_rank": 134, "durability_score": "17.8", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.26", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "11.035", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3152", "industry_name": "Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 89, "acquisition_supply_score": "43.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 1613, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "619.4", "employees_per_firm": "13.9", "recession_resistance_rank": 151, "recession_resistance_score": "10.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-36.49", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-40.63", "durability_rank": 151, "durability_score": "2.4", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "17.4952", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "15.1015", "owner_65_plus_pct": "16.68", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "315M", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "315M: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 348, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 61, "ai_exposure_score": "36.2111", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "70.9877", "ai_leverage_rank": 8, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 315M (Cut and sew, and apparel accessories and other apparel manufacturing), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L5;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "7113", "industry_name": "Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 90, "acquisition_supply_score": "43.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 2585, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "427.6", "employees_per_firm": "20.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 52, "recession_resistance_score": "60.4", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-61.11", "durability_rank": 114, "durability_score": "29.1", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.2663", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.2917", "owner_65_plus_pct": "12.33", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "711M", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "711M: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 420, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 32, "ai_exposure_score": "51.3643", "ai_exposure_quartile": 2, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "62.3457", "ai_leverage_rank": 26, "ai_quadrant": "AI Transformation", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 711M (Promoters of performing arts, sports, and similar events, agents and managers for artists, athletes, entertainers, and other public figures), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4232", "industry_name": "Furniture and Home Furnishing Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 91, "acquisition_supply_score": "42.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 4423, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "490.6", "employees_per_firm": "16.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 117, "recession_resistance_score": "34.4", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-21.78", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-16.4", "durability_rank": 54, "durability_score": "61.1", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.9762", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.6525", "owner_65_plus_pct": "23.88", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4232", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4232: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 301, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5111", "industry_name": "Newspaper, Periodical, Book, and Directory Publishers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Information", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 92, "acquisition_supply_score": "41.7", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 4059, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "338.5", "employees_per_firm": "25.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 138, "recession_resistance_score": "20.3", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-33.44", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.64", "durability_rank": 104, "durability_score": "35.2", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.8657", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.0044", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 5111 is part of NAICS 2022 5131 in the AI study (5131 from 5111,5191); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4236", "industry_name": "Household Appliances and Electrical and Electronic Goods Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 93, "acquisition_supply_score": "41.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 7244, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "270.7", "employees_per_firm": "30.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 28, "recession_resistance_score": "69.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-1.17", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-6.31", "durability_rank": 42, "durability_score": "69.6", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.5087", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.7563", "owner_65_plus_pct": "18.84", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4236", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4236: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 487, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5191", "industry_name": "Other Information Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Information", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 94, "acquisition_supply_score": "40.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 2935, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "248.8", "employees_per_firm": "36.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 2, "recession_resistance_score": "87.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "durability_rank": 124, "durability_score": "22.5", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.0646", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.3922", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 5191 is part of NAICS 2022 5192, 5162, 5131 in the AI study (5192 from 5191; 5162 from 5151,5152,5191; 5131 from 5111,5191); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:many", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3371", "industry_name": "Household and Institutional Furniture and Kitchen Cabinet Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 95, "acquisition_supply_score": "40.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 4435, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "368.2", "employees_per_firm": "23.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 139, "recession_resistance_score": "19.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-39.04", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-24.09", "durability_rank": 61, "durability_score": "56.9", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.4757", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.4893", "owner_65_plus_pct": "8.27", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "337", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "337: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 993, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 337 (Furniture and related product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3149", "industry_name": "Other Textile Product Mills", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 96, "acquisition_supply_score": "39.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 1639, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "544.5", "employees_per_firm": "15.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 118, "recession_resistance_score": "33.8", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.61", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-21.43", "durability_rank": 80, "durability_score": "49.9", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.8778", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.873", "owner_65_plus_pct": "19.33", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "314Z", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "314Z: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 219, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 67, "ai_exposure_score": "33.9363", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "69.1358", "ai_leverage_rank": 12, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 314Z (Textile product mills, except carpet and rug), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L5;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3118", "industry_name": "Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 97, "acquisition_supply_score": "38.7", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 6440, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "325.9", "employees_per_firm": "24.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 78, "recession_resistance_score": "51.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-6.54", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.9", "durability_rank": 76, "durability_score": "52.0", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.1096", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.8693", "owner_65_plus_pct": "11.26", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "311811;3118Z", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "311811: Medium; 3118Z: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 761, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 58, "ai_exposure_score": "37.1923", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "37.037", "ai_leverage_rank": 61, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4231", "industry_name": "Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 98, "acquisition_supply_score": "37.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 6032, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "274.1", "employees_per_firm": "29.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 64, "recession_resistance_score": "56.1", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.7", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.82", "durability_rank": 31, "durability_score": "76.0", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.9658", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.8729", "owner_65_plus_pct": "17.27", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4231", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4231: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 588, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 43, "ai_exposure_score": "45.0198", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "70.9877", "ai_leverage_rank": 10, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4411", "industry_name": "Automobile Dealers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 99, "acquisition_supply_score": "37.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 18826, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "211.9", "employees_per_firm": "32.5", "recession_resistance_rank": 115, "recession_resistance_score": "35.3", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.11", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-21.18", "durability_rank": 52, "durability_score": "61.7", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.1341", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.2934", "owner_65_plus_pct": "16.22", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4411", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4411: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 2203, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 40, "ai_exposure_score": "47.0458", "ai_exposure_quartile": 2, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "61.1111", "ai_leverage_rank": 28, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 6, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5324", "industry_name": "Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment Rental and Leasing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Real Estate and Rental and Leasing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 100, "acquisition_supply_score": "37.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 3363, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "360.7", "employees_per_firm": "23.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 75, "recession_resistance_score": "51.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.6", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-17.43", "durability_rank": 75, "durability_score": "52.2", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.5211", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.3097", "owner_65_plus_pct": "15.41", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "53M", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "53M: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 281, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 53M (Commercial and industrial machinery and equipment, and nonfinancial intangible assets rental and leasing), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5179", "industry_name": "Other Telecommunications", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Information", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 101, "acquisition_supply_score": "36.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 1029, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "440.7", "employees_per_firm": "20.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 91, "recession_resistance_score": "44.4", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-24.55", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-0.12", "durability_rank": 150, "durability_score": "3.6", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "14.5856", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.8883", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "2017to2022_many:many", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "2379", "industry_name": "Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 102, "acquisition_supply_score": "36.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 2010, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "460.7", "employees_per_firm": "18.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 69, "recession_resistance_score": "54.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-11.18", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.39", "durability_rank": 91, "durability_score": "41.4", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.0954", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.2456", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 72, "ai_exposure_score": "29.104", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "63.5802", "ai_leverage_rank": 21, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "2371", "industry_name": "Utility System Construction", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 103, "acquisition_supply_score": "36.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 9239, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "232.2", "employees_per_firm": "33.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 86, "recession_resistance_score": "46.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-13.87", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-11.3", "durability_rank": 67, "durability_score": "55.2", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.0068", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.8131", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 73, "ai_exposure_score": "28.5708", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "58.0247", "ai_leverage_rank": 30, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5616", "industry_name": "Investigation and Security Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 104, "acquisition_supply_score": "36.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 8748, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "176.2", "employees_per_firm": "46.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 16, "recession_resistance_score": "77.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-10.0", "durability_rank": 98, "durability_score": "37.2", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.5494", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.1275", "owner_65_plus_pct": "15.82", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5616", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5616: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1325, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 45, "ai_exposure_score": "44.0833", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "27.1605", "ai_leverage_rank": 70, "ai_quadrant": "Core Disruption Risk", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 3, "ai_quadrant_stable": false, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3121", "industry_name": "Beverage Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 105, "acquisition_supply_score": "35.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 7025, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "334.5", "employees_per_firm": "23.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 47, "recession_resistance_score": "62.3", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.33", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-19.56", "durability_rank": 17, "durability_score": "86.5", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.2705", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.0415", "owner_65_plus_pct": "5.87", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3121", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3121: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 467, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 55, "ai_exposure_score": "38.7551", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "48.7654", "ai_leverage_rank": 47, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5621", "industry_name": "Waste Collection", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 106, "acquisition_supply_score": "35.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 3, "firms_5_99": 4092, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "293.8", "employees_per_firm": "28.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 23, "recession_resistance_score": "72.8", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-5.14", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-2.97", "durability_rank": 39, "durability_score": "71.2", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.4825", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.9785", "owner_65_plus_pct": "13.32", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "562", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "562: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 955, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 78, "ai_exposure_score": "24.0353", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": true, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "72.8395", "ai_leverage_rank": 6, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 6, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 562 (Waste management and remediation services), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4;L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; 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recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3391", "industry_name": "Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 116, "acquisition_supply_score": "28.9", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 3154, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "217.8", "employees_per_firm": "38.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 74, "recession_resistance_score": "52.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.51", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.93", "durability_rank": 58, "durability_score": "59.2", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.7027", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.4654", "owner_65_plus_pct": "16.58", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3391", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3391: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 659, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4245", "industry_name": "Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 117, "acquisition_supply_score": "27.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1681, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "402.6", "employees_per_firm": "19.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 21, "recession_resistance_score": "73.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-0.83", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.9", "durability_rank": 21, "durability_score": "82.8", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.3146", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.3005", "owner_65_plus_pct": "19.59", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4245", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4245: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 170, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 60, "ai_exposure_score": "36.4609", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "85.1852", "ai_leverage_rank": 1, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3323", "industry_name": "Architectural and Structural Metals Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 118, "acquisition_supply_score": "27.4", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 7988, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "227.1", "employees_per_firm": "30.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 98, "recession_resistance_score": "40.4", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-25.15", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.72", "durability_rank": 16, "durability_score": "86.6", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.9626", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.6999", "owner_65_plus_pct": "15.25", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "332M", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "332M: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 539, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 332M (Architectural and structural metals, and boiler, tank, and shipping container manufacturing), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "6216", "industry_name": "Home Health Care Services", "buyer_school_label": "Home health care", "parent_sector": "Health Care and Social Assistance", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 119, "acquisition_supply_score": "27.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 15087, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "117.4", "employees_per_firm": "55.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 15, "recession_resistance_score": "79.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-6.28", "durability_rank": 86, "durability_score": "45.5", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.5888", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.7037", "owner_65_plus_pct": "13.35", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "6216", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "6216: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1197, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "L4", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3335", "industry_name": "Metalworking Machinery Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 120, "acquisition_supply_score": "26.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 3307, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "296.6", "employees_per_firm": "24.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 135, "recession_resistance_score": "23.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-22.09", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-15.04", "durability_rank": 14, "durability_score": "86.9", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.6151", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.5033", "owner_65_plus_pct": "25.71", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3335", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3335: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 268, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4482", "industry_name": "Shoe Stores", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Retail Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 121, "acquisition_supply_score": "26.4", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1911, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "185.7", "employees_per_firm": "48.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 116, "recession_resistance_score": "34.8", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-6.64", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-51.09", "durability_rank": 87, "durability_score": "44.4", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.512", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.8426", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 4482 is part of NAICS 2022 4582 in the AI study (4582 from 4482,4541,4543); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_many:1", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5112", "industry_name": "Software Publishers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Information", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 122, "acquisition_supply_score": "26.4", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 4979, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "126.0", "employees_per_firm": "64.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 17, "recession_resistance_score": "77.1", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-2.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "durability_rank": 112, "durability_score": "30.1", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "10.9011", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.4713", "owner_65_plus_pct": "8.82", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5132", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5132: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 122, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 5112 is part of NAICS 2022 5132 in the AI study (5132 from 5112); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "6215", "industry_name": "Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Health Care and Social Assistance", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 123, "acquisition_supply_score": "25.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 3721, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "212.6", "employees_per_firm": "37.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 7, "recession_resistance_score": "82.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.62", "durability_rank": 102, "durability_score": "35.8", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.0328", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.9264", "owner_65_plus_pct": "11.29", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "621M", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "621M: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 1167, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 621M (Other health care services), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3219", "industry_name": "Other Wood Product Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 124, "acquisition_supply_score": "24.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 4673, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "228.9", "employees_per_firm": "32.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 114, "recession_resistance_score": "35.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-35.63", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.45", "durability_rank": 43, "durability_score": "68.4", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.468", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.0726", "owner_65_plus_pct": "14.82", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "32199M;3219ZM", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "32199M: Not rated; 3219ZM: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 598, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 32199M (Manufactured home (mobile home) and prefabricated wood building manufacturing); 3219ZM (Miscellaneous wood product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5182", "industry_name": "Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Information", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 124, "acquisition_supply_score": "24.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 3967, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "156.3", "employees_per_firm": "49.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 31, "recession_resistance_score": "68.8", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.65", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "durability_rank": 143, "durability_score": "12.5", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.4262", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "9.1567", "owner_65_plus_pct": "5.73", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "5182", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "5182: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 209, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3328", "industry_name": "Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 126, "acquisition_supply_score": "24.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 3025, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "288.6", "employees_per_firm": "24.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 128, "recession_resistance_score": "29.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-20.98", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-14.23", "durability_rank": 8, "durability_score": "89.6", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.4341", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.4889", "owner_65_plus_pct": "18.63", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3328", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3328: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 171, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4242", "industry_name": "Drugs and Druggists' Sundries Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 127, "acquisition_supply_score": "23.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 2673, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "183.9", "employees_per_firm": "44.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 4, "recession_resistance_score": "85.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-3.5", "durability_rank": 71, "durability_score": "54.0", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.4019", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.2277", "owner_65_plus_pct": "15.55", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "424M", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "424M: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 339, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 424M (Drugs, druggists' sundries, and chemical and allied products merchant wholesalers), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "2373", "industry_name": "Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Construction", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 128, "acquisition_supply_score": "19.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 4787, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "189.6", "employees_per_firm": "36.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 112, "recession_resistance_score": "35.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-19.87", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.39", "durability_rank": 34, "durability_score": "74.9", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.0554", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.9151", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.95", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "23", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "23: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 42594, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 77, "ai_exposure_score": "24.5872", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "54.321", "ai_leverage_rank": 36, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 23 (Construction), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3372", "industry_name": "Office Furniture (including Fixtures) Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 129, "acquisition_supply_score": "18.7", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 2081, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "238.7", "employees_per_firm": "29.9", "recession_resistance_rank": 133, "recession_resistance_score": "25.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-28.08", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-16.4", "durability_rank": 35, "durability_score": "74.8", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.1641", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.5554", "owner_65_plus_pct": "8.27", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "337", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "337: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 993, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 337 (Furniture and related product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3279", "industry_name": "Other Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 130, "acquisition_supply_score": "18.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1706, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "246.6", "employees_per_firm": "29.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 100, "recession_resistance_score": "40.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-24.75", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.24", "durability_rank": 29, "durability_score": "76.6", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.2873", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.8084", "owner_65_plus_pct": "12.9", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3279", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3279: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 157, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5622", "industry_name": "Waste Treatment and Disposal", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 131, "acquisition_supply_score": "18.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 683, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "216.5", "employees_per_firm": "38.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 72, "recession_resistance_score": "52.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-20.56", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-1.77", "durability_rank": 37, "durability_score": "73.5", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.491", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.782", "owner_65_plus_pct": "13.32", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "562", "owner_age_confidence": "Medium", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "562: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 955, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 69, "ai_exposure_score": "32.7766", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "72.2222", "ai_leverage_rank": 7, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 6, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 562 (Waste management and remediation services), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "L4;L5;L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4247", "industry_name": "Petroleum and Petroleum Products Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 132, "acquisition_supply_score": "16.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1971, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "236.9", "employees_per_firm": "27.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 77, "recession_resistance_score": "51.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-3.9", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.12", "durability_rank": 33, "durability_score": "75.1", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.8513", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.8479", "owner_65_plus_pct": "17.55", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4247", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4247: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 205, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3141", "industry_name": "Textile Furnishings Mills", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 133, "acquisition_supply_score": "16.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 568, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "216.6", "employees_per_firm": "37.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 148, "recession_resistance_score": "13.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-32.24", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-26.64", "durability_rank": 78, "durability_score": "50.1", "durability_quartile": 3, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.6223", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.8977", "owner_65_plus_pct": "21.3", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "31411;314Z", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "31411: Not rated; 314Z: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 257, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 31411 (Carpet and rug mills); 314Z (Textile product mills, except carpet and rug), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "5151", "industry_name": "Radio and Television Broadcasting", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Information", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 134, "acquisition_supply_score": "16.6", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1955, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "132.2", "employees_per_firm": "61.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 97, "recession_resistance_score": "41.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-15.51", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-10.92", "durability_rank": 74, "durability_score": "52.5", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.5206", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.7997", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: NAICS 2017 5151 is part of NAICS 2022 5161, 5162 in the AI study (5161 from 5151; 5162 from 5151,5152,5191); not an exact match", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm;2017to2022_1:many", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3329", "industry_name": "Other Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 135, "acquisition_supply_score": "15.9", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 2995, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "154.3", "employees_per_firm": "45.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 83, "recession_resistance_score": "47.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-12.72", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.69", "durability_rank": 18, "durability_score": "85.5", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.6645", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.1966", "owner_65_plus_pct": "16.62", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "33299M;332MZ", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "33299M: Not rated; 332MZ: Medium", "owner_age_sample_records": 603, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 33299M (Ordnance); 332MZ (Miscellaneous fabricated metal product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3211", "industry_name": "Sawmills and Wood Preservation", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 136, "acquisition_supply_score": "13.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1517, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "204.6", "employees_per_firm": "34.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 122, "recession_resistance_score": "30.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-30.5", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-6.85", "durability_rank": 32, "durability_score": "75.5", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.8162", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.791", "owner_65_plus_pct": "14.85", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3211", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3211: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 219, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 81, "ai_exposure_score": "21.6788", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "53.7037", "ai_leverage_rank": 38, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "", "buyer_lenses": "L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "7131", "industry_name": "Amusement Parks and Arcades", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 137, "acquisition_supply_score": "12.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1776, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "118.4", "employees_per_firm": "65.8", "recession_resistance_rank": 55, "recession_resistance_score": "59.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-76.95", "durability_rank": 135, "durability_score": "17.3", "durability_quartile": 4, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "13.9864", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "12.4694", "owner_65_plus_pct": "8.09", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "713Z", "owner_age_confidence": "High", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "713Z: High", "owner_age_sample_records": 3299, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 713Z (Other amusement, gambling, and recreation industries), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "6239", "industry_name": "Other Residential Care Facilities", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Health Care and Social Assistance", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 138, "acquisition_supply_score": "11.4", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 2006, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "186.3", "employees_per_firm": "34.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 113, "recession_resistance_score": "35.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-13.95", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-8.47", "durability_rank": 69, "durability_score": "54.6", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "8.2634", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.949", "owner_65_plus_pct": "15.71", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "623M", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "623M: Not rated", "owner_age_sample_records": 728, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 623M (Residential care facilities, except skilled nursing facilities), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "4248", "industry_name": "Beer, Wine, and Distilled Alcoholic Beverage Merchant Wholesalers", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Wholesale Trade", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 139, "acquisition_supply_score": "9.9", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1671, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "122.2", "employees_per_firm": "58.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 13, "recession_resistance_score": "79.2", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-1.03", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.96", "durability_rank": 25, "durability_score": "78.7", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.2852", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.864", "owner_65_plus_pct": "18.7", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "4248", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "4248: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 194, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3256", "industry_name": "Soap, Cleaning Compound, and Toilet Preparation Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 140, "acquisition_supply_score": "9.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1093, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "147.3", "employees_per_firm": "48.7", "recession_resistance_rank": 46, "recession_resistance_score": "62.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-14.54", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-5.02", "durability_rank": 28, "durability_score": "77.1", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.4262", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.0629", "owner_65_plus_pct": "6.11", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3256", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3256: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 144, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3119", "industry_name": "Other Food Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 141, "acquisition_supply_score": "9.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 2039, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "113.3", "employees_per_firm": "61.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 14, "recession_resistance_score": "79.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-0.46", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-4.33", "durability_rank": 36, "durability_score": "74.4", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.6619", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.5773", "owner_65_plus_pct": "15.4", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "311M2", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "311M2: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 268, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 66, "ai_exposure_score": "34.4456", "ai_exposure_quartile": 4, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "47.5309", "ai_leverage_rank": 49, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 7, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 311M2 (Seafood and other miscellaneous foods, n.e.c.), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "L5", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3113", "industry_name": "Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 142, "acquisition_supply_score": "8.7", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1041, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "140.9", "employees_per_firm": "50.6", "recession_resistance_rank": 79, "recession_resistance_score": "50.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-10.23", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-17.19", "durability_rank": 30, "durability_score": "76.0", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.6069", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.3298", "owner_65_plus_pct": "12.92", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3113", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3113: Not rated", "owner_age_sample_records": 79, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 52, "ai_exposure_score": "39.1999", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "41.358", "ai_leverage_rank": 54, "ai_quadrant": "AI Insulated", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 8, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3332", "industry_name": "Industrial Machinery Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "Industrial machinery makers", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 143, "acquisition_supply_score": "8.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1598, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "150.6", "employees_per_firm": "42.1", "recession_resistance_rank": 106, "recession_resistance_score": "37.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-28.49", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.42", "durability_rank": 10, "durability_score": "88.0", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.001", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.6408", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3339", "industry_name": "Other General Purpose Machinery Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "General purpose machinery makers", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 144, "acquisition_supply_score": "7.5", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 3030, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "97.0", "employees_per_firm": "60.9", "recession_resistance_rank": 76, "recession_resistance_score": "51.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 2, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-17.25", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.68", "durability_rank": 2, "durability_score": "95.1", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.1258", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "3.8884", "owner_65_plus_pct": null, "owner_age_basis": "not mappable (NAICS 2017 vs 2022 or composition)", "owner_acs_groups": "", "owner_age_confidence": null, "owner_age_report3_tiers": "", "owner_age_sample_records": null, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3273", "industry_name": "Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "Cement and concrete product makers", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "High", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=3,000 and min employment >=30,000 over 2007-2023", "acquisition_supply_rank": 145, "acquisition_supply_score": "7.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 2549, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "125.6", "employees_per_firm": "49.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 111, "recession_resistance_score": "36.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-35.39", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-6.9", "durability_rank": 22, "durability_score": "82.6", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.7581", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.545", "owner_65_plus_pct": "9.67", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "327M", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "327M: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 205, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 327M (Cement, concrete, lime, and gypsum product manufacturing), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3333", "industry_name": "Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "Commercial and service machinery makers", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 146, "acquisition_supply_score": "5.7", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 845, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "131.8", "employees_per_firm": "49.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 102, "recession_resistance_score": "39.0", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-17.62", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-9.71", "durability_rank": 20, "durability_score": "83.1", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.0833", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.4074", "owner_65_plus_pct": "15.83", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3333", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3333: Not rated", "owner_age_sample_records": 88, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3259", "industry_name": "Other Chemical Product and Preparation Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "Other chemical product makers", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 147, "acquisition_supply_score": "5.3", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 935, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "126.2", "employees_per_firm": "49.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 108, "recession_resistance_score": "36.8", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-19.29", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.73", "durability_rank": 27, "durability_score": "78.3", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.2843", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.1305", "owner_65_plus_pct": "14.11", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "325M", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "325M: Not rated", "owner_age_sample_records": 272, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 325M (Basic chemical manufacturing, and other chemical product and preparation manufacturing), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3272", "industry_name": "Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "Glass product makers", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 148, "acquisition_supply_score": "5.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 552, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "109.9", "employees_per_firm": "67.3", "recession_resistance_rank": 132, "recession_resistance_score": "26.7", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.75", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-18.53", "durability_rank": 46, "durability_score": "67.4", "durability_quartile": 2, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "7.861", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.5082", "owner_65_plus_pct": "15.77", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3272", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3272: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 191, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3111", "industry_name": "Animal Food Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "Animal feed makers", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 149, "acquisition_supply_score": "4.2", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 679, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "128.9", "employees_per_firm": "50.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 18, "recession_resistance_score": "74.9", "recession_resistance_quartile": 1, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-3.96", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "0.0", "durability_rank": 7, "durability_score": "90.0", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.5443", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.7122", "owner_65_plus_pct": "15.94", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "311M1", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "311M1: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 163, "ai_join_status": "ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": 59, "ai_exposure_score": "36.8436", "ai_exposure_quartile": 3, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": false, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": "62.963", "ai_leverage_rank": 24, "ai_quadrant": "AI Leverage Opportunity", "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": 6, "ai_quadrant_stable": true, "ai_note": "", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 311M1 (Animal food, grain and oilseed milling), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "L6", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3255", "industry_name": "Paint, Coating, and Adhesive Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "Paint and coatings makers", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 150, "acquisition_supply_score": "3.0", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 742, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "117.6", "employees_per_firm": "55.2", "recession_resistance_rank": 84, "recession_resistance_score": "46.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-21.39", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.38", "durability_rank": 4, "durability_score": "92.0", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "5.3754", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.2748", "owner_65_plus_pct": "26.69", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3255", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3255: Not rated", "owner_age_sample_records": 59, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3353", "industry_name": "Electrical Equipment Manufacturing", "buyer_school_label": "Electrical equipment makers", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 151, "acquisition_supply_score": "1.1", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 887, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "77.7", "employees_per_firm": "76.0", "recession_resistance_rank": 109, "recession_resistance_score": "36.6", "recession_resistance_quartile": 3, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-19.65", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-7.33", "durability_rank": 3, "durability_score": "92.6", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "6.1784", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.411", "owner_65_plus_pct": "16.36", "owner_age_basis": "pooled ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "335M", "owner_age_confidence": "Low", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "335M: Low", "owner_age_sample_records": 304, "ai_join_status": "matched, not ranked", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "matched, not ranked by the AI study: coverage below 85% in the main or task measure", "grouping_note": "Owner age is for the ACS group 335M (Electric lighting and electrical equipment manufacturing, and other electrical component manufacturing, n.e.c.), which also covers other industries.", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1; AI ai-3.0", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" }, { "naics": "3321", "industry_name": "Forging and Stamping", "buyer_school_label": "Forging and stamping", "parent_sector": "Manufacturing", "source_confidence": "Medium", "confidence_basis": "min establishments >=1,000 and min employment >=10,000", "acquisition_supply_rank": 152, "acquisition_supply_score": "0.8", "acquisition_supply_quartile": 4, "firms_5_99": 1148, "small_firms_per_10000_employees": "92.5", "employees_per_firm": "54.4", "recession_resistance_rank": 130, "recession_resistance_score": "28.5", "recession_resistance_quartile": 4, "great_recession_employment_drawdown_pct": "-19.0", "covid_employment_drawdown_pct": "-17.51", "durability_rank": 1, "durability_score": "97.1", "durability_quartile": 1, "avg_establishment_exit_rate_2014_2023_pct": "4.6446", "firm_shutdown_rate_2014_2023_pct": "3.6919", "owner_65_plus_pct": "22.43", "owner_age_basis": "exact ACS group", "owner_acs_groups": "3321", "owner_age_confidence": "Not rated", "owner_age_report3_tiers": "3321: Not rated", "owner_age_sample_records": 77, "ai_join_status": "not joined", "ai_exposure_rank": null, "ai_exposure_score": null, "ai_exposure_quartile": null, "ai_method_sensitive_flag": null, "ai_operating_leverage_metric": null, "ai_leverage_rank": null, "ai_quadrant": null, "ai_quadrant_agreement_of_8": null, "ai_quadrant_stable": null, "ai_note": "not joined: no AI study row for this code", "grouping_note": "", "supply_flags": "large_firm_skew_40_75_emp_per_firm", "buyer_lenses": "", "source_versions": "supply 2026.1 supply-score-v1; recession 2026.1 recession-score-v1; durability 2026.1 durability-score-v1; owner age 2026.1 succession-score-v1", "atlas_version": "atlas-2026.2" } ] }