Business Buyer School Research · Dataset · Version 2026.1
Establishment Durability Dataset 2026
167 U.S. industries at four digit NAICS: 152 ranked and 15 unranked low confidence.
Business Buyer School calculation and score. These rates describe whole industries, not any one business. An establishment exit is a location that closes, not a business failure, and a sold business is not an exit. They are not the chance that a business you buy will close.
- Version 2026.1 published
- October 6, 2026
- Analysis prepared
- October 6, 2026
- Data window
- Census Bureau Business Dynamics Statistics, 2023 release: annual rates averaged over 2014 to 2023 (March 2013 to March 2023)
- Scoring
- Four components as percentile ranks among 152 industries; Model A weights 40, 25, 20 and 15
This is the data behind the full study and the short version. How it was built is on the methodology page. Unranked industries carry the lowest confidence tier and no rank; unranked is not a poor result.
Downloads
- Establishment Durability Dataset 2026, 167 rows (CSV) text/csv
- Establishment Durability Dataset 2026 (JSON) application/json
Checksums: SHA256SUMS.txt. A data license has not been published; short quotations with attribution and a link are welcome. The underlying Census Bureau statistics are published by that agency.
All 167 rows
| Rank | NAICS | Industry | Confidence | Score (Model A) | Exit rate | Firm shutdown rate | Job destruction rate | Entry rate | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3321 | Forging and Stamping | Medium | 97.1 | 4.6% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 3.1% | stable most durable quartile |
| 2 | 3339 | Other General Purpose Machinery Manufacturing | High | 95.1 | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | stable most durable quartile |
| 3 | 3353 | Electrical Equipment Manufacturing | Medium | 92.6 | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | stable most durable quartile |
| 4 | 3255 | Paint, Coating, and Adhesive Manufacturing | Medium | 92.0 | 5.4% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | stable most durable quartile |
| 5 | 4441 | Building Material and Supplies Dealers | High | 90.7 | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | stable most durable quartile |
| 6 | 4237 | Hardware, and Plumbing and Heating Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers | High | 90.5 | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | stable most durable quartile |
| 7 | 3111 | Animal Food Manufacturing | Medium | 90.0 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | stable most durable quartile |
| 8 | 3328 | Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities | High | 89.6 | 5.4% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 4.4% | stable most durable quartile |
| 9 | 8122 | Death Care Services | High | 89.6 | 4.2% | 3.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | stable most durable quartile |
| 10 | 3332 | Industrial Machinery Manufacturing | Medium | 88.0 | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | stable most durable quartile |
| 11 | 4238 | Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers | High | 87.8 | 6.0% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 5.1% | stable most durable quartile |
| 12 | 6214 | Outpatient Care Centers | High | 87.2 | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | stable most durable quartile |
| 13 | 4235 | Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Merchant Wholesalers | High | 87.0 | 6.1% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 4.4% | stable most durable quartile |
| 14 | 3335 | Metalworking Machinery Manufacturing | High | 86.9 | 5.6% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 3.7% | stable most durable quartile |
| 15 | 4413 | Automotive Parts, Accessories, and Tire Stores | High | 86.8 | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 5.0% | stable most durable quartile |
| 16 | 3323 | Architectural and Structural Metals Manufacturing | High | 86.6 | 6.0% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | stable most durable quartile |
| 17 | 3121 | Beverage Manufacturing | Medium | 86.5 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 14.7% | stable most durable quartile |
| 18 | 3329 | Other Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing | High | 85.5 | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | stable most durable quartile |
| 19 | 3327 | Machine Shops; Turned Product; and Screw, Nut, and Bolt Manufacturing | High | 84.8 | 6.3% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 4.6% | stable most durable quartile |
| 20 | 3333 | Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing | Medium | 83.1 | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | stable most durable quartile |
| 21 | 4245 | Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers | High | 82.8 | 5.3% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 5.2% | stable most durable quartile |
| 22 | 3273 | Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing | High | 82.6 | 4.8% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | stable most durable quartile |
| 23 | 6212 | Offices of Dentists | High | 80.2 | 5.9% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 5.9% | stable most durable quartile |
| 24 | 4442 | Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores | High | 79.6 | 6.2% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 6.1% | stable most durable quartile |
| 25 | 4248 | Beer, Wine, and Distilled Alcoholic Beverage Merchant Wholesalers | High | 78.7 | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | stable most durable quartile |
| 26 | 4246 | Chemical and Allied Products Merchant Wholesalers | High | 78.6 | 6.4% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | stable most durable quartile |
| 27 | 3259 | Other Chemical Product and Preparation Manufacturing | Medium | 78.3 | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | stable most durable quartile |
| 28 | 3256 | Soap, Cleaning Compound, and Toilet Preparation Manufacturing | Medium | 77.1 | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | moderate |
| 29 | 3279 | Other Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing | Medium | 76.6 | 6.3% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | stable most durable quartile |
| 30 | 3113 | Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing | Medium | 76.0 | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | moderate |
| 31 | 4231 | Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers | High | 76.0 | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | stable most durable quartile |
| 32 | 3211 | Sawmills and Wood Preservation | Medium | 75.5 | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | moderate |
| 33 | 4247 | Petroleum and Petroleum Products Merchant Wholesalers | High | 75.1 | 5.9% | 4.8% | 13.1% | 5.3% | moderate |
| 34 | 2373 | Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction | High | 74.9 | 7.1% | 4.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | stable most durable quartile |
| 35 | 3372 | Office Furniture (including Fixtures) Manufacturing | Medium | 74.8 | 7.2% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 5.6% | moderate |
| 36 | 3119 | Other Food Manufacturing | Medium | 74.4 | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | moderate |
| 37 | 5622 | Waste Treatment and Disposal | Medium | 73.5 | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | moderate |
| 38 | 4233 | Lumber and Other Construction Materials Merchant Wholesalers | High | 72.6 | 6.3% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | moderate |
| 39 | 5621 | Waste Collection | High | 71.2 | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | moderate |
| 40 | 4453 | Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores | High | 70.3 | 7.2% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 8.2% | moderate |
| 41 | 5411 | Legal Services | High | 70.0 | 8.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | moderate |
| 42 | 4236 | Household Appliances and Electrical and Electronic Goods Merchant Wholesalers | High | 69.6 | 7.5% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 6.1% | moderate |
| 43 | 3219 | Other Wood Product Manufacturing | High | 68.4 | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | moderate |
| 44 | 4412 | Other Motor Vehicle Dealers | High | 68.4 | 7.1% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 7.2% | moderate |
| 45 | 6213 | Offices of Other Health Practitioners | High | 68.3 | 7.7% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 10.7% | moderate |
| 46 | 3272 | Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing | Medium | 67.4 | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | moderate |
| 47 | 4241 | Paper and Paper Product Merchant Wholesalers | High | 66.5 | 8.0% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | moderate |
| 48 | 5629 | Remediation and Other Waste Management Services | High | 64.5 | 7.8% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 9.7% | moderate |
| 49 | 4244 | Grocery and Related Product Merchant Wholesalers | High | 64.3 | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | moderate |
| 50 | 4471 | Gasoline Stations | High | 62.1 | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 6.6% | moderate |
| 51 | 4461 | Health and Personal Care Stores | High | 62.0 | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 7.0% | moderate |
| 52 | 4411 | Automobile Dealers | High | 61.7 | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | moderate |
| 53 | 8113 | Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance | High | 61.7 | 8.2% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 8.5% | moderate |
| 54 | 4232 | Furniture and Home Furnishing Merchant Wholesalers | High | 61.1 | 8.0% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 6.7% | moderate |
| 55 | 6211 | Offices of Physicians | High | 60.9 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% | moderate |
| 56 | 3231 | Printing and Related Support Activities | High | 60.5 | 8.4% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 6.0% | moderate |
| 57 | 2382 | Building Equipment Contractors | High | 60.0 | 8.1% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | moderate |
| 58 | 3391 | Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing | High | 59.2 | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | moderate |
| 59 | 7212 | RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps | Medium | 59.2 | 8.0% | 5.9% | 14.6% | 9.0% | moderate |
| 60 | 5323 | General Rental Centers | Medium | 57.4 | 8.2% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 7.2% | moderate |
| 61 | 3371 | Household and Institutional Furniture and Kitchen Cabinet Manufacturing | High | 56.9 | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | moderate |
| 62 | 5242 | Agencies, Brokerages, and Other Insurance Related Activities | High | 56.8 | 8.7% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 9.0% | moderate |
| 63 | 5413 | Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services | High | 56.7 | 8.5% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 9.5% | moderate |
| 64 | 4422 | Home Furnishings Stores | High | 56.4 | 7.8% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 6.0% | moderate |
| 65 | 3399 | Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing | High | 55.5 | 8.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | moderate |
| 66 | 4249 | Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods Merchant Wholesalers | High | 55.2 | 8.4% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 7.9% | moderate |
| 67 | 2371 | Utility System Construction | High | 55.2 | 8.0% | 5.8% | 15.0% | 8.4% | moderate |
| 67 | 4885 | Freight Transportation Arrangement | High | 55.2 | 8.5% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | moderate |
| 69 | 6239 | Other Residential Care Facilities | Medium | 54.6 | 8.3% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 9.6% | moderate |
| 70 | 6219 | Other Ambulatory Health Care Services | Medium | 54.2 | 8.3% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 10.6% | moderate |
| 71 | 4242 | Drugs and Druggists' Sundries Merchant Wholesalers | High | 54.0 | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | moderate |
| 72 | 8111 | Automotive Repair and Maintenance | High | 54.0 | 8.4% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 9.0% | moderate |
| 73 | 4451 | Grocery Stores | Medium | 53.8 | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | moderate |
| 74 | 5151 | Radio and Television Broadcasting | High | 52.5 | 8.5% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 5.8% | moderate |
| 75 | 5324 | Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment Rental and Leasing | High | 52.2 | 7.5% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 9.2% | moderate |
| 76 | 3118 | Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing | High | 52.0 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | moderate |
| 77 | 7211 | Traveler Accommodation | High | 52.0 | 8.4% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 9.3% | moderate |
| 78 | 3141 | Textile Furnishings Mills | Medium | 50.1 | 8.6% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 5.3% | moderate |
| 79 | 5412 | Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping, and Payroll Services | High | 49.9 | 8.8% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | moderate |
| 80 | 3149 | Other Textile Product Mills | High | 49.9 | 8.9% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | moderate |
| 81 | 6244 | Child Day Care Services | High | 49.2 | 8.6% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | moderate |
| 82 | 4483 | Jewelry, Luggage, and Leather Goods Stores | High | 49.0 | 7.9% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 6.3% | moderate |
| 83 | 5417 | Scientific Research and Development Services | High | 47.5 | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.2% | method-sensitive |
| 84 | 4421 | Furniture Stores | High | 47.0 | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 7.5% | moderate |
| 85 | 4239 | Miscellaneous Durable Goods Merchant Wholesalers | High | 45.8 | 9.7% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 9.0% | moderate |
| 86 | 6216 | Home Health Care Services | Medium | 45.5 | 9.6% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | moderate |
| 87 | 4482 | Shoe Stores | High | 44.4 | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 4.2% | moderate |
| 88 | 6115 | Technical and Trade Schools | High | 42.8 | 9.2% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 9.9% | moderate |
| 89 | 5239 | Other Financial Investment Activities | High | 41.9 | 8.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | moderate |
| 90 | 4511 | Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores | High | 41.4 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 8.1% | moderate |
| 91 | 2379 | Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction | High | 41.4 | 9.1% | 6.2% | 14.3% | 10.9% | moderate |
| 92 | 2362 | Nonresidential Building Construction | High | 40.9 | 9.3% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 9.4% | moderate |
| 93 | 5321 | Automotive Equipment Rental and Leasing | High | 40.8 | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | method-sensitive |
| 94 | 4533 | Used Merchandise Stores | High | 40.7 | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 8.1% | moderate |
| 95 | 4234 | Professional and Commercial Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers | High | 38.9 | 9.9% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 8.0% | moderate |
| 96 | 5313 | Activities Related to Real Estate | High | 38.1 | 9.8% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | moderate |
| 97 | 7225 | Restaurants and Other Eating Places | High | 37.6 | 8.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 10.5% | moderate |
| 98 | 5616 | Investigation and Security Services | High | 37.2 | 10.5% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 10.6% | moderate |
| 99 | 2389 | Other Specialty Trade Contractors | High | 36.6 | 10.1% | 6.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | moderate |
| 100 | 4543 | Direct Selling Establishments | High | 36.4 | 10.2% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 10.8% | moderate |
| 101 | 5619 | Other Support Services | High | 36.0 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 11.0% | moderate |
| 102 | 6215 | Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories | High | 35.8 | 9.0% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% | moderate |
| 103 | 5419 | Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services | High | 35.6 | 10.5% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | moderate |
| 104 | 5111 | Newspaper, Periodical, Book, and Directory Publishers | High | 35.2 | 9.9% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 6.7% | moderate |
| 105 | 5311 | Lessors of Real Estate | High | 34.6 | 9.0% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 10.1% | moderate |
| 106 | 7139 | Other Amusement and Recreation Industries | High | 34.4 | 10.0% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | moderate |
| 107 | 8112 | Electronic and Precision Equipment Repair and Maintenance | High | 34.4 | 11.1% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 9.9% | moderate |
| 108 | 4884 | Support Activities for Road Transportation | Medium | 34.2 | 10.9% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 13.6% | moderate |
| 109 | 8123 | Drycleaning and Laundry Services | High | 32.5 | 9.7% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 7.6% | moderate |
| 110 | 4539 | Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers | High | 32.1 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | moderate |
| 111 | 6116 | Other Schools and Instruction | High | 31.7 | 10.3% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 13.0% | moderate |
| 112 | 5112 | Software Publishers | High | 30.1 | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.3% | moderate |
| 113 | 5418 | Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services | High | 29.7 | 11.3% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | moderate |
| 114 | 7113 | Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events | Medium | 29.1 | 10.3% | 7.3% | 16.1% | 12.5% | moderate |
| 115 | 4512 | Book Stores and News Dealers | High | 27.8 | 8.7% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 6.6% | moderate |
| 116 | 4531 | Florists | High | 27.3 | 10.4% | 8.3% | 16.5% | 8.5% | moderate |
| 117 | 5617 | Services to Buildings and Dwellings | High | 26.7 | 11.8% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 14.3% | moderate |
| 118 | 6114 | Business Schools and Computer and Management Training | Medium | 26.3 | 12.0% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% | moderate |
| 119 | 4481 | Clothing Stores | High | 26.0 | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 7.5% | moderate |
| 120 | 4243 | Apparel, Piece Goods, and Notions Merchant Wholesalers | High | 24.6 | 11.4% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 9.6% | stable least durable quartile |
| 121 | 8114 | Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance | High | 24.3 | 11.4% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 12.6% | stable least durable quartile |
| 122 | 5614 | Business Support Services | High | 23.4 | 11.1% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 10.0% | stable least durable quartile |
| 123 | 2381 | Foundation, Structure, and Building Exterior Contractors | High | 22.6 | 11.2% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 13.4% | stable least durable quartile |
| 124 | 5191 | Other Information Services | Medium | 22.5 | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.6% | stable least durable quartile |
| 125 | 2372 | Land Subdivision | Medium | 21.6 | 10.8% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 9.7% | stable least durable quartile |
| 126 | 2383 | Building Finishing Contractors | High | 19.9 | 11.6% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 13.6% | stable least durable quartile |
| 127 | 4251 | Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers | High | 19.4 | 11.9% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 10.5% | stable least durable quartile |
| 128 | 4541 | Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses | Medium | 18.8 | 13.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 18.8% | stable least durable quartile |
| 129 | 4532 | Office Supplies, Stationery, and Gift Stores | High | 18.7 | 10.8% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 7.8% | stable least durable quartile |
| 130 | 4842 | Specialized Freight Trucking | High | 18.5 | 12.0% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 12.9% | stable least durable quartile |
| 131 | 4452 | Specialty Food Stores | High | 18.2 | 10.8% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 12.0% | stable least durable quartile |
| 132 | 4841 | General Freight Trucking | High | 18.0 | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 19.4% | stable least durable quartile |
| 133 | 5223 | Activities Related to Credit Intermediation | Medium | 17.9 | 10.6% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 9.1% | stable least durable quartile |
| 134 | 4542 | Vending Machine Operators | Medium | 17.8 | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | stable least durable quartile |
| 135 | 7131 | Amusement Parks and Arcades | Medium | 17.3 | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 16.3% | stable least durable quartile |
| 136 | 5414 | Specialized Design Services | High | 16.4 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 14.7% | stable least durable quartile |
| 137 | 5416 | Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services | High | 16.3 | 15.2% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 18.7% | stable least durable quartile |
| 138 | 8121 | Personal Care Services | High | 16.2 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 14.3% | stable least durable quartile |
| 139 | 7224 | Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages) | High | 15.4 | 11.4% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 10.8% | stable least durable quartile |
| 140 | 5312 | Offices of Real Estate Agents and Brokers | High | 15.0 | 12.3% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 18.0% | stable least durable quartile |
| 141 | 5121 | Motion Picture and Video Industries | High | 13.8 | 13.4% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 15.1% | stable least durable quartile |
| 142 | 5415 | Computer Systems Design and Related Services | Medium | 12.5 | 14.0% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.0% | stable least durable quartile |
| 143 | 5182 | Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services | High | 12.5 | 12.4% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 12.9% | stable least durable quartile |
| 144 | 5322 | Consumer Goods Rental | High | 12.3 | 11.2% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 7.9% | stable least durable quartile |
| 145 | 4431 | Electronics and Appliance Stores | High | 12.2 | 12.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 5.8% | stable least durable quartile |
| 146 | 8129 | Other Personal Services | High | 11.7 | 12.2% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 17.0% | stable least durable quartile |
| 147 | 5615 | Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services | High | 6.5 | 16.1% | 9.0% | 18.2% | 11.8% | stable least durable quartile |
| 148 | 2361 | Residential Building Construction | High | 5.9 | 14.3% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 18.5% | stable least durable quartile |
| 149 | 7223 | Special Food Services | High | 5.0 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 15.7% | stable least durable quartile |
| 150 | 5179 | Other Telecommunications | Medium | 3.6 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 16.8% | stable least durable quartile |
| 151 | 3152 | Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing | High | 2.4 | 17.5% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 14.6% | stable least durable quartile |
| 152 | 4853 | Taxi and Limousine Service | High | 0.4 | 18.9% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 18.8% | stable least durable quartile |
| unranked | 3132 | Fabric Mills | Low | 70.3 | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 5.2% | not tested |
| unranked | 3133 | Textile and Fabric Finishing and Fabric Coating Mills | Low | 47.3 | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 7.0% | not tested |
| unranked | 3169 | Other Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing | Low | 41.3 | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | not tested |
| unranked | 3253 | Pesticide, Fertilizer, and Other Agricultural Chemical Manufacturing | Low | 85.2 | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | not tested |
| unranked | 3271 | Clay Product and Refractory Manufacturing | Low | 68.6 | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | not tested |
| unranked | 3322 | Cutlery and Handtool Manufacturing | Low | 88.2 | 6.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | not tested |
| unranked | 3325 | Hardware Manufacturing | Low | 87.9 | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | not tested |
| unranked | 3326 | Spring and Wire Product Manufacturing | Low | 89.0 | 4.8% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% | not tested |
| unranked | 3351 | Electric Lighting Equipment Manufacturing | Low | 60.1 | 8.5% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | not tested |
| unranked | 3379 | Other Furniture Related Product Manufacturing | Low | 67.0 | 7.1% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 5.7% | not tested |
| unranked | 4859 | Other Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation | Low | 9.0 | 14.0% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 17.1% | not tested |
| unranked | 4872 | Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Water | Low | 13.8 | 12.6% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 15.4% | not tested |
| unranked | 5122 | Sound Recording Industries | Low | 12.4 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 15.0% | not tested |
| unranked | 7114 | Agents and Managers for Artists, Athletes, Entertainers, and Other Public Figures | Low | 12.6 | 13.1% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 15.9% | not tested |
| unranked | 7213 | Rooming and Boarding Houses, Dormitories, and Workers' Camps | Low | 31.6 | 9.2% | 7.1% | 19.1% | 7.1% | not tested |
Field notes
167 rows (152 ranked, 15 unranked). Rates in percent, four decimals. Low-confidence rows carry only the headline columns.
| Column | Description |
|---|---|
rank | Rank by Model A among High and Medium confidence industries; blank if unranked. |
ranking_status | ranked / unranked low confidence. |
naics_4 | 4-digit NAICS 2017. |
official_industry_name | Census/NAICS title. |
parent_sector | 2-digit sector. |
confidence | High/Medium/Low tier (Report 1 rules). |
confidence_basis | Rule that set the tier. |
durability_score_model_A | Business Buyer School score 0-100, higher more durable. |
score_B_exit_heavy | Model B score. |
score_C_firm_job_heavy | Model C score. |
score_D_equal | Model D score. |
score_E_exit_rates_only | Model E score. |
rank_B_exit_heavy | Rank, Model B. |
rank_C_firm_job_heavy | Rank, Model C. |
rank_D_equal | Rank, Model D. |
rank_E_exit_rates_only | Rank, Model E. |
rank_F_zscore_winsorised | Rank, Model F. |
rank_range_across_models | Max minus min rank across six models. |
stability_class | stable most/least durable quartile, moderate, method-sensitive. |
share_weight_draws_top_quartile | Share of 3,000 weight draws in the most durable quartile. |
comp_exit_rate_10yr_pctile | Component percentile. |
comp_firm_shutdown_pctile | Component percentile. |
comp_job_destruction_pctile | Component percentile. |
comp_exit_volatility_pctile | Component percentile. |
establishment_exit_rate_avg_2014_2023_pct | Average of annual BDS establishment exit rates 2014-2023, percent. |
establishment_exit_rate_avg_2019_2023_pct | Same, 2019-2023. |
establishment_exit_rate_avg_2014_2019_pct | Same, 2014-2019. |
establishment_exit_rate_avg_2004_2023_pct | Same, 2004-2023. |
firm_shutdown_rate_avg_2014_2023_pct | Average annual firm deaths over mean firm count, percent. |
job_destruction_rate_avg_2014_2023_pct | Average BDS job destruction rate, percent. |
job_destruction_from_exits_rate_avg_2014_2023_pct | Average rate of jobs lost at exiting establishments, percent. |
exit_rate_volatility_sd_2004_2023_pp | Standard deviation of annual exit rate, percentage points. |
establishment_entry_rate_avg_2014_2023_pct | Average annual establishment entry rate (context, not scored). |
exit_rate_minus_total_private_pp | Industry exit rate minus total private average, percentage points. |
establishments_2023 | BDS establishments, March 2023. |
employment_2023 | BDS employment, March 2023. |
firms_2023 | BDS firms, March 2023. |
employees_per_establishment_2023 | Employment / establishments. |
establishments_exited_2014_2023_cumulative | Sum of annual exits 2014-2023. |
establishment_stock_2013 | Establishments, March 2013. |
flags | Data-quality flags. |
naics_version | NAICS version. |
source_version | Source release. |
calculation_version | Scoring code version. |
package_version | Package version. |
run_date | Run date. |
How to cite
Cite as: Business Buyer School, Establishment Durability Dataset 2026, https://businessbuyerschool.com/research/small-business-exit-rates/data/. Version 2026.1. Published October 6, 2026.
A data license has not been published; short quotations with attribution and a link are welcome.
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