Business Buyer School

Buyer School Research · Dataset · Edition 2.0

AI Industry Exposure Dataset

Occupational AI exposure for 211 U.S. private four-digit industries: 137 ranked, 74 unranked.

Buyer School modeled estimate. Scores, ranks and coverage figures are calculated by Buyer School. Total employment is a BLS statistic. Exposure is not a forecast of job loss, revenue loss, business failure or savings.

This is the data behind AI Exposure Across U.S. Industries: The Top 25 and AI Office-Efficiency Opportunity in Physical-Service Businesses. The main ranking orders 137 industries that pass a joint 85% employment-matching gate by overall_language_exposure_points. The remaining 74 stay in the file as unranked. Unranked means too little employment was matched; it does not mean zero exposure. The dataset does not rank every U.S. industry.

First published
October 5, 2026
Edition
2.0
Analysis prepared
October 4, 2026
Staffing reference period
May 2025 (BLS OEWS national industry staffing)
Exposure measure vintage
Felten, Raj and Seamans 2021 and 2023; Eloundou and coauthors 2023

The staffing data are from May 2025 and the academic exposure measures are older. Neither is a measurement of current AI capability.

Downloads

Edition 2.0 files are kept unchanged at these addresses. A later edition gets its own folder. Checksums: SHA256SUMS.txt. A data license has not been published; short quotations with attribution and a link are welcome.

All 137 ranked industries

Sorted by main rank. Points and coverage are rounded to one decimal for display; ranking uses unrounded values. Lower and upper bounds are computed here from the published formula and are sensitivity envelopes, not confidence intervals.

All 137 coverage-qualified industries by main language-exposure score. Buyer School modeled estimate. Index points on a 0 to 100 scale, not a percentage of work, jobs or revenue. Staffing: BLS OEWS May 2025.
RankNAICSIndustryExposure pointsMain coverage (%)Task-model coverage (%)Task-model rankRaw-language rankImage-model rankBest rankWorst rankPasses 90% gateLower boundUpper bound
15411Legal Services87.097.697.561416Yes84.987.3
25242Agencies, Brokerages, and Other Insurance Related Activities83.595.496.71210110Yes79.784.3
35222Nondepository Credit Intermediation83.189.892.83313313No74.784.8
45251Insurance and Employee Benefit Funds81.986.588.854545No70.984.4
55241Insurance Carriers81.190.394.645646Yes73.282.9
65412Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping, and Payroll Services79.794.294.976227Yes75.080.8
78132Grantmaking and Giving Services79.190.786.313714714No71.881.1
85416Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services76.487.891.711109811No67.179.3
95614Business Support Services76.192.893.42823223Yes70.677.8
105611Office Administrative Services76.086.887.610915915No66.079.2
115511Management of Companies and Enterprises75.187.089.712118812No65.478.4
125418Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services74.091.894.791211912Yes67.976.1
135122Sound Recording Industries73.489.087.51513121215No65.376.3
148139Business, Professional, Labor, Political, and Similar Organizations72.894.590.31615181418Yes68.874.2
155161Radio and Television Broadcasting Stations72.786.495.68147715No62.876.4
168133Social Advocacy Organizations71.487.885.31716221622No62.674.9
174885Freight Transportation Arrangement69.693.993.92017161620Yes65.471.5
188131Religious Organizations69.487.186.43818341838No60.573.3
195413Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services66.687.793.618191119No58.470.7
206211Offices of Physicians66.495.990.12821332033Yes63.767.8
215414Specialized Design Services65.886.491.021203321No56.970.5
226213Offices of Other Health Practitioners65.889.087.33224452245No58.569.6
234234Professional and Commercial Equipment and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers65.386.391.31422201423No56.470.1
246242Community Food and Housing, and Emergency and Other Relief Services64.688.387.82523352335No57.168.8
254492Electronics and Appliance Retailers63.097.096.91925421942Yes61.164.1
265419Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services60.592.594.03028412641Yes56.063.5
275121Motion Picture and Video Industries59.886.391.64227312742No51.665.3
284582Shoe Retailers59.798.698.5242911724117Yes58.960.3
294583Jewelry, Luggage, and Leather Goods Retailers59.696.096.03130672967Yes57.261.2
304592Book Retailers and News Dealers59.487.194.5373111230112No51.764.6
314243Apparel, Piece Goods, and Notions Merchant Wholesalers59.390.390.32226362236Yes53.663.2
327121Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institutions59.185.885.52732432743No50.764.9
337111Performing Arts Companies58.393.493.95133583358Yes54.461.0
344581Clothing and Clothing Accessories Retailers57.997.597.1293511529115Yes56.458.9
352372Land Subdivision57.289.992.33934212139No51.561.5
364591Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Retailers56.995.595.5333610933109Yes54.358.8
374561Health and Personal Care Retailers56.697.697.52337652365Yes55.257.6
384599Other Miscellaneous Retailers54.993.994.0353910435104Yes51.557.7
396212Offices of Dentists54.899.098.97441723974Yes54.355.3
404831Deep Sea, Coastal, and Great Lakes Water Transportation54.488.087.04138262641No47.859.9
414491Furniture and Home Furnishings Retailers53.994.895.34040974097Yes51.156.3
424453Beer, Wine, and Liquor Retailers53.097.497.7344712634126Yes51.654.2
437112Spectator Sports52.391.692.55843644364Yes47.956.3
442212Natural Gas Distribution52.290.789.54842272748No47.356.6
458134Civic and Social Organizations52.194.493.75044954495Yes49.254.8
466219Other Ambulatory Health Care Services52.191.489.94650484650No47.656.2
478112Electronic and Precision Equipment Repair and Maintenance52.088.689.63648242448No46.157.5
483254Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing51.793.591.24745303048Yes48.354.8
497113Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events51.492.294.35649594959Yes47.455.2
508122Death Care Services50.894.497.76453825082Yes48.053.6
514238Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers50.491.892.42646492651Yes46.254.5
522211Electric Power Generation, Transmission and Distribution50.394.094.16352292963Yes47.353.2
532111Oil and Gas Extraction50.093.691.75951323259Yes46.853.2
544571Gasoline Stations49.694.699.0445713044130Yes46.952.3
554412Other Motor Vehicle Dealers49.097.196.86254835483Yes47.650.5
564441Building Material and Supplies Dealers48.996.796.7455512145121Yes47.350.6
574812Nonscheduled Air Transportation48.690.791.96058191960Yes44.153.4
588121Personal Care Services48.396.796.3121606358121Yes46.750.1
597212RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps47.494.994.76756815681Yes45.050.1
604411Automobile Dealers47.095.496.85759765776Yes44.949.5
612213Water, Sewage and Other Systems46.395.295.16962444469Yes44.148.9
624593Florists46.296.796.85364474764Yes44.748.0
634442Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Retailers45.997.697.4546111854118Yes44.847.2
646231Nursing Care Facilities (Skilled Nursing Facilities)45.895.495.6856613364133Yes43.748.3
654231Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers45.091.291.65263665266Yes41.149.8
665619Other Support Services44.887.487.44965734973No39.151.8
675616Investigation and Security Services44.192.697.26169606069Yes40.848.2
683231Printing and Related Support Activities43.695.395.87367464673Yes41.646.3
698129Other Personal Services42.989.690.5726811368113No38.448.8
704811Scheduled Air Transportation42.095.096.77073777077Yes39.944.9
717139Other Amusement and Recreation Industries42.096.097.1657112765127Yes40.344.3
723241Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing41.594.589.47672383876No39.244.8
735321Automotive Equipment Rental and Leasing41.591.193.14370884388Yes37.846.7
744862Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas41.488.988.78374373783No36.847.9
757213Rooming and Boarding Houses, Dormitories, and Workers' Camps40.489.089.01157512575125No35.946.9
767224Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages)39.297.898.61118513576135Yes38.340.5
773113Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing39.294.494.0888010777107Yes37.042.6
782362Nonresidential Building Construction39.190.197.18076515180Yes35.245.2
794413Automotive Parts, Accessories, and Tire Retailers38.897.897.9717910871108Yes37.940.1
803121Beverage Manufacturing38.896.796.4868111080110Yes37.540.8
814572Fuel Dealers38.794.494.25577525281Yes36.642.2
822361Residential Building Construction37.892.396.28278707082Yes34.942.6
833118Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing37.292.296.41098910283109Yes34.342.1
844854School and Employee Bus Transportation36.893.498.49195171795Yes34.441.0
853111Animal Food Manufacturing36.894.594.08786787887Yes34.840.3
864889Other Support Activities for Transportation36.787.887.26682916691No32.244.4
874245Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers36.592.391.87883907890Yes33.641.4
883122Tobacco Manufacturing36.486.885.79087868690No31.644.8
893152Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing36.287.086.69784404097No31.544.5
908114Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance35.891.191.3101908989101Yes32.641.5
915629Remediation and Other Waste Management Services35.692.894.29388686893Yes33.040.2
925612Facilities Support Services35.590.791.91059212092120Yes32.241.5
932382Building Equipment Contractors34.796.398.29294616194Yes33.437.1
948113Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance34.793.694.58491747494Yes32.438.8
953119Other Food Manufacturing34.491.692.11069710695106Yes31.640.0
963221Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills34.395.193.5117988787117Yes32.637.5
973112Grain and Oilseed Milling34.094.690.89596929297Yes32.237.6
981152Support Activities for Animal Production34.092.691.710710012298122Yes31.538.8
993149Other Textile Product Mills33.985.185.3104935454104No28.943.8
1003115Dairy Product Manufacturing33.994.195.2102102103100103Yes31.937.8
1018123Drycleaning and Laundry Services33.898.197.9112106128101128Yes33.235.0
1024883Support Activities for Water Transportation33.286.986.194995757102No28.841.9
1033222Converted Paper Product Manufacturing33.093.894.31221049999122Yes30.937.1
1043314Nonferrous Metal (except Aluminum) Production and Processing33.093.892.1981037575104Yes30.937.1
1055622Waste Treatment and Disposal32.891.691.0791016262105Yes30.038.4
1064821Rail Transportation32.589.795.4961085050108No29.139.4
1073114Fruit and Vegetable Preserving and Specialty Food Manufacturing32.493.392.0116107111107116Yes30.236.9
1083312Steel Product Manufacturing from Purchased Steel32.091.792.91031058484108Yes29.337.7
1093313Alumina and Aluminum Production and Processing30.889.389.91141099494114No27.538.2
1108111Automotive Repair and Maintenance30.393.996.5128110105105128Yes28.434.5
1113262Rubber Product Manufacturing30.289.488.5120111101101120No27.037.6
1122122Metal Ore Mining29.887.288.81001125353112No26.038.8
1134852Interurban and Rural Bus Transportation29.787.190.4811132828113No25.938.8
1142131Support Activities for Mining29.694.293.61181147979118Yes27.833.7
1153311Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing29.589.289.01101168585116No26.337.1
1163132Fabric Mills29.491.089.49911711499117No26.835.8
1172379Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction29.193.395.21191157171119Yes27.233.8
1183315Foundries29.190.892.71291199898129Yes26.435.6
1192371Utility System Construction28.695.597.51261208080126Yes27.331.8
1204832Inland Water Transportation28.492.892.51231223939123Yes26.433.6
1214851Urban Transit Systems28.088.993.2891212525121No24.936.0
1224884Support Activities for Road Transportation27.993.192.6751185656122Yes26.032.9
1234931Warehousing and Storage26.195.094.7113126131113131Yes24.829.8
1242383Building Finishing Contractors25.795.396.8131123124123131Yes24.529.3
1252389Other Specialty Trade Contractors25.595.396.31271249696127Yes24.329.0
1262123Nonmetallic Mineral Mining and Quarrying25.494.894.21241256969126Yes24.129.3
1272373Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction24.696.898.21301279393130Yes23.827.0
1285621Waste Collection24.095.294.87712810077128Yes22.927.7
1292381Foundation, Structure, and Building Exterior Contractors23.696.698.1133129123123133Yes22.826.2
1303116Animal Slaughtering and Processing23.393.793.0137130134130137Yes21.928.2
1315617Services to Buildings and Dwellings22.696.596.6136131136131136Yes21.825.3
1323211Sawmills and Wood Preservation21.795.394.4134132119119134Yes20.725.4
1334922Local Messengers and Local Delivery20.896.096.16813311668133Yes19.923.9
1343131Fiber, Yarn, and Thread Mills19.793.091.1132134132132134Yes18.425.3
1351133Logging18.592.491.81251355555135Yes17.124.7
1364921Couriers and Express Delivery Services15.694.094.0108136129108136Yes14.720.7
1371151Support Activities for Crop Production15.398.097.9135137137135137Yes15.016.9

74 unranked categories

These industries are in the dataset but fail the joint 85% coverage rule. They are not assigned a rank or a headline score, and they are not assumed to have low exposure. The reason shown is derived from the two coverage columns.

74 industries left unranked for low matching coverage. Buyer School modeled estimate for coverage figures. Unranked is not zero exposure.
NAICSIndustryMain coverage (%)Task-model coverage (%)StatusReason
2121Coal Mining83.692.0UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
3117Seafood Product Preparation and Packaging88.884.7UnrankedTask-model coverage below 85%
3133Textile and Fabric Finishing and Fabric Coating Mills68.072.6UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3141Textile Furnishings Mills85.185.0UnrankedTask-model coverage below 85%
3151Apparel Knitting Mills84.482.9UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3159Apparel Accessories and Other Apparel Manufacturing84.183.1UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3161Leather and Hide Tanning and Finishing73.374.8UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3162Footwear Manufacturing82.381.7UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3169Other Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing75.074.9UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3212Veneer, Plywood, and Engineered Wood Product Manufacturing76.174.6UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3219Other Wood Product Manufacturing70.971.2UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3261Plastics Product Manufacturing85.084.8UnrankedTask-model coverage below 85%
3327Machine Shops; Turned Product; and Screw, Nut, and Bolt Manufacturing81.793.3UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
3328Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities81.893.1UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
3333Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing67.572.2UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3335Metalworking Machinery Manufacturing81.690.4UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
3336Engine, Turbine, and Power Transmission Equipment Manufacturing80.281.4UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3341Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing67.482.9UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3342Communications Equipment Manufacturing66.978.6UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3343Audio and Video Equipment Manufacturing59.065.7UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3344Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing73.179.0UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3345Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instruments Manufacturing69.176.6UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3346Manufacturing and Reproducing Magnetic and Optical Media55.865.2UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3351Electric Lighting Equipment Manufacturing63.966.5UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3352Household Appliance Manufacturing57.357.5UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3353Electrical Equipment Manufacturing61.764.1UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3359Other Electrical Equipment and Component Manufacturing65.965.5UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3361Motor Vehicle Manufacturing38.340.2UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3362Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing61.966.0UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3363Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing68.770.0UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3364Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing80.483.8UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3365Railroad Rolling Stock Manufacturing65.668.6UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3366Ship and Boat Building78.080.9UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3369Other Transportation Equipment Manufacturing64.365.0UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3379Other Furniture Related Product Manufacturing64.163.0UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3391Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing78.979.9UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
3399Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing71.873.9UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
4251Wholesale Trade Agents and Brokers80.281.5UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
4853Taxi and Limousine Service62.893.9UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
4855Charter Bus Industry84.594.4UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
4859Other Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation39.694.5UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
4861Pipeline Transportation of Crude Oil84.883.5UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
4869Other Pipeline Transportation77.779.6UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
4871Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Land60.364.7UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
4872Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Water80.279.7UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
4879Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Other58.464.5UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
4881Support Activities for Air Transportation84.893.4UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
4882Support Activities for Rail Transportation83.789.9UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
5131Newspaper, Periodical, Book, and Directory Publishers84.294.8UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
5132Software Publishers60.093.6UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
5162Media Streaming Distribution Services, Social Networks, and Other Media Networks and Content Providers73.891.0UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
5182Computing Infrastructure Providers, Data Processing, Web Hosting, and Related Services69.991.1UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
5192Web Search Portals, Libraries, Archives, and Other Information Services60.291.2UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
5211Monetary Authorities-Central Bank70.284.0UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
5259Other Investment Pools and Funds83.283.7UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
5331Lessors of Nonfinancial Intangible Assets (except Copyrighted Works)87.284.8UnrankedTask-model coverage below 85%
5415Computer Systems Design and Related Services66.092.8UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
5417Scientific Research and Development Services85.086.0UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
5613Employment Services83.682.7UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
5615Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services84.487.7UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
6214Outpatient Care Centers83.681.7UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
6215Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories74.774.2UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
6216Home Health Care Services38.638.4UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
6232Residential Intellectual and Developmental Disability, Mental Health, and Substance Abuse Facilities44.043.5UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
6233Continuing Care Retirement Communities and Assisted Living Facilities for the Elderly71.872.6UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
6239Other Residential Care Facilities58.958.2UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
6241Individual and Family Services27.627.8UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
6243Vocational Rehabilitation Services70.769.8UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
6244Child Care Services84.484.0UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
7114Agents and Managers for Artists, Athletes, Entertainers, and Other Public Figures75.775.4UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
7115Independent Artists, Writers, and Performers47.954.2UnrankedBoth coverage measures below 85%
7131Amusement Parks and Arcades81.887.9UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
7223Special Food Services79.197.6UnrankedMain coverage below 85%
7225Restaurants and Other Eating Places70.399.2UnrankedMain coverage below 85%

Field notes

Definitions below are limited to what the reports and methodology state. Derived fields are Buyer School modeled estimates; BLS employment counts are official statistics.

Fields in the ranked file and the main field groups of the full file.
FieldMeaning
overall_exposure_rankMain rank, 1 to 137. Higher exposure points sort first. Buyer School modeled estimate.
naics4Four-digit NAICS industry code as used in the BLS staffing file. Official classification.
industryOfficial industry title.
overall_language_exposure_pointsMain score. Employment-weighted average of occupational language-exposure percentiles (0 to 100) among matched employees. Index points, not a percentage of work. Buyer School modeled estimate.
match_coverage_pctMain coverage: matched employment as a percent of total industry employment. Buyer School modeled estimate.
eloundou_coverage_pctTask-model coverage: percent of industry employment matched to the alternate task-based measure. Buyer School modeled estimate.
overall_task_rankRank within the same 137 industries using the alternate task-based measure. Buyer School modeled estimate.
overall_raw_language_rankRank using the original raw language index instead of its percentile transformation. Buyer School modeled estimate.
overall_image_rankRank using the image-generation exposure index. A different modality, not a newer language model. Buyer School modeled estimate.
overall_model_rank_min, overall_model_rank_maxBest and worst rank across the four stated specifications. Model sensitivity, not a confidence interval. Buyer School modeled estimate.
office_exposure_broad, physical_broad_share_pctInputs to the separate office-opportunity construct. Not part of the main exposure score. Buyer School modeled estimate.
higher_threshold_90_eligibleTrue when both coverage measures are at least 90%.
oews_total_employment (full file)Total industry employment from BLS OEWS May 2025. Official government statistic, not a Buyer School estimate.
risk_* (full file)Legacy fields from the earlier nine-industry customer-facing screen. Supplementary only. They are not the main ranking and must not be cited as it.
benefit_* (full file)Office-opportunity fields for the companion report: narrow, broad and task-alternative specifications, their ranks and the 83-industry eligibility flag. Buyer School modeled estimate.

How to cite this research

Buyer School (2026). AI Industry Exposure Dataset, edition 2.0, prepared October 4, 2026. First published October 5, 2026. Business Buyer School. https://businessbuyerschool.com/research/ai-industry-exposure-data/. Buyer School modeled estimates using BLS OEWS May 2025 staffing and published occupational exposure measures.

  • Author and publisher: Buyer School Research, the research imprint of Business Buyer School (businessbuyerschool.com), operated by Dig Inc LLC. Organizational authorship; no individual author is named.
  • Attribution: describe scores, ranks, coverage figures and cohort counts as "Buyer School modeled estimate". Employment totals are BLS statistics.
  • Review status: prepared with AI assistance and programmatic calculations from public sources. Not independently peer reviewed. No DOI has been assigned.
  • Reuse: a data license has not been published. Short quotations of findings with attribution and a link to this page are welcome.
  • Corrections and versions: see the version history. This URL stays stable across editions.

Related

Methodology · Exposure report · Office-opportunity report